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Many flexible families of positive random variables exhibit non-closed forms of the density and distribution functions and this feature is considered unappealing for modelling purposes. However, such families are often characterized by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Lucio Barabesi , Antonio Di Noia , Marzia Marcheselli , Caterina Pisani , Luca Pratelli

The requirement-driven performance evaluation of a black-box cyber-physical system (CPS) that utilizes machine learning methods has proven to be an effective way to assess the quality of the CPS. However, the distributional evaluation of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-02 Ryohei Oura , Yuji Ito

In this work, the distributional properties of the goodness-of-fit term in likelihood-based information criteria are explored. These properties are then leveraged to construct a novel goodness-of-fit test for normal linear regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-20 Scott H. Koeneman , Joseph E. Cavanaugh

We propose a new and rather stringent criterion for testing the goodness of fit between a theory and experiment. It is motivated by the paradox that the criterion on \chi^2 for testing a theory is much weaker than the criterion for finding…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 J. C. Collins , J. Pumplin

Statistical distances (SDs), which quantify the dissimilarity between probability distributions, are central to machine learning and statistics. A modern method for estimating such distances from data relies on parametrizing a variational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-18 Sreejith Sreekumar , Zhengxin Zhang , Ziv Goldfeld

We consider the problem of clustering grouped data with possibly non-exchangeable groups whose dependencies can be characterized by a known directed acyclic graph. To allow the sharing of clusters among the non-exchangeable groups, we…

The classic chi-squared statistic for testing goodness-of-fit has long been a cornerstone of modern statistical practice. The statistic consists of a sum in which each summand involves division by the probability associated with the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-17 William Perkins , Mark Tygert , Rachel Ward

We consider goodness-of-fit tests of symmetric stable distributions based on weighted integrals of the squared distance between the empirical characteristic function of the standardized data and the characteristic function of the standard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-06 Muneya Matsui , Akimichi Takemura

Bayesian models based on the Dirichlet process and other stick-breaking priors have been proposed as core ingredients for clustering, topic modeling, and other unsupervised learning tasks. However, due to the flexibility of these models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Ryan Giordano , Runjing Liu , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick

We present new and improved non-asymptotic deviation bounds for Dirichlet processes (DPs), formulated using the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence, which is known for its optimal characterization of the asymptotic behavior of DPs. Our method…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Pierre Perrault

This paper formally derives the asymptotic distribution of a goodness-of-fit test based on the Kernel Stein Discrepancy introduced in (Oscar Key et al., "Composite Goodness-of-fit Tests with Kernels", Journal of Machine Learning Research…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Florian Brück , Veronika Reimoser , Fabian Baier

Many scientific applications involve testing theories that are only partially specified. This task often amounts to testing the goodness-of-fit of a candidate distribution while allowing for reasonable deviations from it. The tolerant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Lucas Kania , Tudor Manole , Larry Wasserman , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

We develop a new Gibbs sampler for a linear mixed model with a Dirichlet process random effect term, which is easily extended to a generalized linear mixed model with a probit link function. Our Gibbs sampler exploits the properties of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-26 Minjung Kyung , Jeff Gill , George Casella

We consider the problem of the construction of the goodness-of-fit tests for diffusion processes with small noise. The basic hypothesis is composite parametric and our goal is to obtain asymptotically distribution free tests. We propose two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Yury A. Kutoyants

We consider a multivariable functional errors-in-variables model $AX\approx B$, where the data matrices $A$ and $B$ are observed with errors, and a matrix parameter $X$ is to be estimated. A goodness-of-fit test is constructed based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-11 Alexander Kukush , Yaroslav Tsaregorodtsev

We propose a new $L^2$-type goodness-of-fit test for the family of beta distributions based on a conditional moment characterisation. The asymptotic null distribution is identified, and since it depends on the underlying parameters, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-30 Bruno Ebner , Shawn C. Liebenberg

Across several medical fields, developing an approach for disease classification is an important challenge. The usual procedure is to fit a model for the longitudinal response in the healthy population, a different model for the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-02 Jeremy T. Gaskins , Claudio Fuentes , Rolando De la Cruz

Given a sample of size $n$ from a population of individuals belonging to different species with unknown proportions, a popular problem of practical interest consists in making inference on the probability $D_{n}(l)$ that the $(n+1)$-th draw…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-18 Julyan Arbel , Stefano Favaro , Bernardo Nipoti , Yee Whye Teh

We propose a general and relatively simple method for the construction of goodness-of-fit tests on the sphere and the hypersphere. The method is based on the characterization of probability distributions via their characteristic function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-25 Bruno Ebner , Norbert Henze , Simos Meintanis

We present a non-parametric Bayesian latent variable model capable of learning dependency structures across dimensions in a multivariate setting. Our approach is based on flexible Gaussian process priors for the generative mappings and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-16 Andrew R. Lawrence , Carl Henrik Ek , Neill D. F. Campbell