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The predictability of discrete-time processes is studied in a deterministic setting. A family of one-step-ahead predictors is suggested for processes of which the energy decays at higher frequencies. For such processes, the prediction error…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Nikolai Dokuchaev

We obtain an almost sure bound for oscillation rates of empirical distribution functions for stationary causal processes. For short-range dependent processes, the oscillation rate is shown to be optimal in the sense that it is as sharp as…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Wei Biao Wu

Gaussian process (GP) models are widely used to emulate propagation uncertainty in computer experiments. GP emulation sits comfortably within an analytically tractable Bayesian framework. Apart from propagating uncertainty of the input…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-30 Silvia Montagna , Surya T. Tokdar

The article contains an overview over locally stationary processes. At the beginning time varying autoregressive processes are discussed in detail - both as as a deep example and an important class of locally stationary processes. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-06 Rainer Dahlhaus

We investigate the limiting behavior of discrete determinantal point processes (DPPs) towards continuous DPPs when the size of the set to sample from goes to infinity. We propose a non-asymptotic characterization of this limit in terms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Hugo Jaquard , Nicolas Keriven

Simulations of a stochastic fixed-energy sandpile in one and two dimensions reveal slow relaxation of the order parameter, even far from the critical point. The decay of the activity is best described by a stretched-exponential form. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ronald Dickman

For AR(1)-processes $X_n=\rho X_{n-1}+\xi_n$, $n\in\mathbb{N}$, where $\rho\in\mathbb{R}$ and $(\xi_i)_{i\in\mathbb{N}}$ is an i.i.d. sequence of random variables, we study the persistence probabilities $\mathbb{P}(X_0\ge 0,\dots, X_N\ge…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Frank Aurzada , Marvin Kettner

We analyze the performance of quantum parameter estimation in the presence of the most general Gaussian dissipative reservoir. We derive lower bounds on the precision of phase estimation and a closely related problem of frequency…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-01-17 Marcin Jarzyna , Marcin Zwierz

The randomized Gauss--Seidel method and its extension have attracted much attention recently and their convergence rates have been considered extensively. However, the convergence rates are usually determined by upper bounds, which cannot…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Yanjun Zhang , Hanyu Li

We consider the 1D Expected Improvement optimization based on Gaussian processes having spectral densities converging to zero faster than exponentially. We give examples of problems where the optimization trajectory is not dense in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-12-18 Dmitry Yarotsky

The problem of a diffusing particle moving among diffusing traps is analyzed in general space dimension d. We consider the case where the traps are initially randomly distributed in space, with uniform density rho, and derive upper and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 R. A. Blythe , A. J. Bray

This paper concerns the instantaneous frequency (IF) of continuous-time, zero-mean, complex-valued, proper, mean-square differentiable nonstationary Gaussian stochastic processes. We compute the probability density function for the IF for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-07-08 Patrik Wahlberg , Peter J. Schreier

We study persistence probabilities of Hermite processes. As a tool, we derive a general decorrelation inequality for the Rosenblatt process, which is reminiscent of Slepian's lemma for Gaussian processes or the FKG inequality and which may…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Frank Aurzada , Christian Mönch

First, we present some results about the H\"older continuity of the sample paths of so called dilatively stable processes which are certain infinitely divisible processes having a more general scaling property than self-similarity. As a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Endre Igloi , Matyas Barczy

This note is concerned with weakly interacting stochastic particle systems with possibly singular pairwise interactions. In this setting, we observe a connection between entropic propagation of chaos and exponential concentration bounds for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-06 Joe Jackson , Antonios Zitridis

Multistable processes, that is, processes which are, at each "time", tangent to a stable process, but where the index of stability varies along the path, have been recently introduced as models for phenomena where the intensity of jumps is…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-01 Ronan Le Guével , Jacques Lévy-Véhel

A time-varying empirical spectral process indexed by classes of functions is defined for locally stationary time series. We derive weak convergence in a function space, and prove a maximal exponential inequality and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

Consider a discrete-time martingale $\{X_t\}$ taking values in a Hilbert space $\mathcal H$. We show that if for some $L \geq 1$, the bounds $\mathbb{E} \left[\|X_{t+1}-X_t\|_{\mathcal H}^2 \mid X_t\right]=1$ and $\|X_{t+1}-X_t\|_{\mathcal…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-10 James R. Lee , Yuval Peres , Charles K. Smart

Discrete stability extends the classical notion of stability to random elements in discrete spaces by defining a scaling operation in a randomised way: an integer is transformed into the corresponding binomial distribution. Similarly…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-10 Youri Davydov , Ilya Molchanov , Sergei Zuyev

In this work, we consider a binary sequential hypothesis testing problem with distributed and asynchronous measurements. The aim is to analyze the effect of sampling times of jointly $\textit{wide-sense stationary}$ (WSS) Gaussian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-12 Nandan Sriranga , Saikiran Bulusu , Baocheng Geng , Pramod K. Varshney