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We analyze, both analytically and numerically, the time-dependence of the return probability in closed systems of interacting particles. Main attention is paid to the interplay between two regimes, one of which is characterized by the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 F. M. Izrailev , A. Castaneda-Mendoza

We describe a measurement device principle based on discrete iterations of Bayesian updating of system state probability distributions. Although purely classical by nature, these measurements are accompanied with a progressive collapse of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-11 Michel Bauer , Denis Bernard , Tristan Benoist

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing in the situation where the first hypothesis is simple and the second one is local one-sided composite. We describe the choice of the thresholds and the power functions of different tests when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Serguei Dachian , Yury Kutoyants , Lin Yang

We consider covariance parameter estimation for a Gaussian process under inequality constraints (boundedness, monotonicity or convexity) in fixed-domain asymptotics. We address the estimation of the variance parameter and the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-04 François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Andrés F. López-Lopera

We study point processes on the real line whose configurations $X$ are locally finite, have a maximum and evolve through increments which are functions of correlated Gaussian variables. The correlations are intrinsic to the points and…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-26 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Michael Aizenman

We consider the problem of inferring a latent function in a probabilistic model of data. When dependencies of the latent function are specified by a Gaussian process and the data likelihood is complex, efficient computation often involve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-23 Martin Tegner , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Stephen Roberts

We study a stationary Gibbs particle process with deterministically bounded particles on Euclidean space defined in terms of an activity parameter and non-negative interaction potentials of finite range. Using disagreement percolation we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Viktor Beneš , Christoph Hofer-Temmel , Günter Last , Jakub Večeřa

Scattering moments provide nonparametric models of random processes with stationary increments. They are expected values of random variables computed with a nonexpansive operator, obtained by iteratively applying wavelet transforms and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Joan Bruna , Stéphane Mallat , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-François Muzy

Gaussian processes (GPs) enable principled computation of model uncertainty, making them attractive for safety-critical applications. Such scenarios demand that GP decisions are not only accurate, but also robust to perturbations. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-08 Andrea Patane , Arno Blaas , Luca Laurenti , Luca Cardelli , Stephen Roberts , Marta Kwiatkowska

In this article we show the existence of limiting spectral distribution of a symmetric random matrix whose entries come from a stationary Gaussian process with covariances satisfying a summability condition. We provide an explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-15 Arijit Chakrabarty , Rajat Subhra Hazra , Deepayan Sarkar

We derive, up to a constant factor, matching lower and upper bounds on the concentration functions of suprema of separable centered Gaussian processes and order statistics of Gaussian random fields. These bounds reveal that suprema of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-19 Alexander Giessing

We provide posterior contraction rates for constrained deep Gaussian processes in non-parametric density estimation and classication. The constraints are in the form of bounds on the values and on the derivatives of the Gaussian processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-15 François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux

In this short paper we derive a formula for the spatial persistence probability of the Airy_1 and the Airy_2 processes. We then determine numerically a persistence coefficient for the Airy_1 process and its dependence on the threshold.

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-04-24 Patrik L. Ferrari , René Frings

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent copies of a stationary process $\{X(t), t\ge0\}$. For given positive constants $u,T$, define the set of $r$th conjunctions $ C_{r,T,u}:= \{t\in [0,T]: X_{r:n}(t) > u\}$ with $X_{r:n}(t)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-07 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Chengxiu Ling

This paper investigates the approximation of Gaussian random variables in Banach spaces, focusing on the high-probability bounds for the approximation of Gaussian random variables using finitely many observations. We derive non-asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Daniel Winkle , Ingo Steinwart , Bernard Haasdonk

In this article we establish two fundamental results for the sublevel set persistent homology for stationary processes indexed by the positive integers. The first is a strong law of large numbers for the persistence diagram (treated as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-22 Andrew M. Thomas

We introduce a new scalable approximation for Gaussian processes with provable guarantees which hold simultaneously over its entire parameter space. Our approximation is obtained from an improved sample complexity analysis for sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-18 Quang Minh Hoang , Trong Nghia Hoang , Hai Pham , David P. Woodruff

We study the persistence probabilities of a moving average process of order one with innovations that follow a Laplace distribution. The persistence probabilities can be computed fully explicitly in terms of classical combinatorial…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Frank Aurzada , Kilian Raschel

We investigate continuum percolation for Cox point processes, that is, Poisson point processes driven by random intensity measures. First, we derive sufficient conditions for the existence of non-trivial sub- and super-critical percolation…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Christian Hirsch , Benedikt Jahnel , Elie Cali

Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many recent works have incorporated physical constraints or other a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Laura Swiler , Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Cosmin Safta , John Jakeman
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