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We study the persistence probability of a centered stationary Gaussian process on $\mathbb{Z}$ or $\mathbb{R}$, that is, its probability to remain positive for a long time. We describe the delicate interplay between this probability and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Naomi Feldheim , Ohad Feldheim , Shahaf Nitzan

We study the persistence probability for some discrete-time, time-reversible processes. In particular, we deduce the persistence exponent in a number of examples: first, we deal with random walks in random sceneries (RWRS) in any dimension…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Frank Aurzada , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard

We consider the problem of `discrete-time persistence', which deals with the zero-crossings of a continuous stochastic process, X(T), measured at discrete times, T = n(\Delta T). For a Gaussian Stationary Process the persistence (no…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 George C. M. A. Ehrhardt , Alan J. Bray , Satya N. Majumdar

We study the persistence probability for some two-sided discrete-time Gaussian sequences that are discrete-time analogs of fractional Brownian motion and integrated fractional Brownian motion, respectively. Our results extend the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Frank Aurzada , Micha Buck

The persistence of a stochastic variable is the probability that it does not cross a given level during a fixed time interval. Although persistence is a simple concept to understand, it is in general hard to calculate. Here we consider zero…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-09 Markus Nyberg , Ludvig Lizana

We study the persistence in a class of continuous stochastic processes that are stationary only under integer shifts of time. We show that under certain conditions, the persistence of such a continuous process reduces to the persistence of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Satya N. Majumdar , Deepak Dhar

Given that a stationary Gaussian process is above a high threshold, the length of time it spends before going below that threshold is studied. The asymptotic order is determined by the smoothness of the sample paths, which in turn is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-10 Arijit Chakrabarty , Manish Pandey , Sukrit Chakraborty

We derive the limiting distributions of exceedances point processes of randomly scaled weakly dependent stationary Gaussian sequences under some mild asymptotic conditions. In the literature analogous results are available only for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-22 Enkelejd Hashorva , Zuoxiang Peng , Zhichao Weng

Motivated by certain problems of statistical physics we consider a stationary stochastic process in which deterministic evolution is interrupted at random times by upward jumps of a fixed size. If the evolution consists of linear decay, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 O. Deloubriere , H. J. Hilhorst

We study the probability of a real-valued stationary process to be positive on a large interval $[0,N]$. We show that if in some neighborhood of the origin the spectral measure of the process has density which is bounded away from zero and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-10 Naomi D. Feldheim , Ohad N. Feldheim

We study the persistence probability for processes with stationary increments. Our results apply to a number of examples: sums of stationary correlated random variables whose scaling limit is fractional Brownian motion, random walks in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Frank Aurzada , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Françoise Pène

For a class of Gaussian stationary processes, we prove a limit theorem on the convergence of the distributions of the scaled last exit time over a slowly growing linear boundary. The limit is a double exponential (Gumbel) distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Nikita Karagodin , Mikhail Lifshits

We consider an arbitrary Gaussian Stationary Process X(T) with known correlator C(T), sampled at discrete times T_n = n \Delta T. The probability that (n+1) consecutive values of X have the same sign decays as P_n \sim \exp(-\theta_D T_n).…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 George C. M. A Ehrhardt , Alan J. Bray

We introduce the concept of `discrete-time persistence', which deals with zero-crossings of a continuous stochastic process, X(T), measured at discrete times, T = n \Delta T. For a Gaussian Markov process with relaxation rate \mu, we show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Satya N. Majumdar , Alan J. Bray , George C. M. A. Ehrhardt

Assuming certain conditions on the spectral measures of centered stationary Gaussian processes on $\mathbb{R}$ (or ${\mathbb{R}}^2$), we show that the probability of the event that their zero count in an interval (resp., nodal length in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Lakshmi Priya

New results on uniform convergence in probability for expansions of Gaussian random processes using compactly supported wavelets are given. The main result is valid for general classes of nonstationary processes. An application of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-08 Yuriy Kozachenko , Andriy Olenko , Olga Polosmak

We consider the persistence probability, the occupation-time distribution and the distribution of the number of zero crossings for discrete or (equivalently) discretely sampled Gaussian Stationary Processes (GSPs) of zero mean. We first…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 George M. C. A. Ehrhardt , Satya N. Majumdar , Alan J. Bray

A stationary Gaussian process is said to be long-range dependent (resp., anti-persistent) if its spectral density $f(\lambda)$ can be written as $f(\lambda)=|\lambda|^{-2d}g(|\lambda|)$, where $0<d<1/2$ (resp., $-1/2<d<0$), and $g$ is…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-24 Judith Rousseau , Nicolas Chopin , Brunero Liseo

In this paper we provide an upper bound for the conjunction probability of independent Gaussian smooth processes and then we prove that this bound is a good approximation with exponentially smaller error. Our result confirms the heuristic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Viet-Hung Pham

The problem is a power-law asymptotics of the probability that a self-similar process does not exceed a fixed level during long time. The exponent in such asymptotics is estimated for some Gaussian processes, including the fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-13 George Molchan
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