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We consider continuous time Markovian processes where populations of individual agents interact stochastically according to kinetic rules. Despite the increasing prominence of such models in fields ranging from biology to smart cities,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-16 Anastasis Georgoulas , Jane Hillston , Guido Sanguinetti

We present a new Bayesian inference method for compartmental models that takes into account the intrinsic stochasticity of the process. We show how to formulate a SIR-type Markov jump process as the solution of a stochastic differential…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-23 Benjamin Nguyen-Van-Yen , Pierre Del Moral , Bernard Cazelles

Populations are made up of an integer number of individuals and are subject to stochastic birth-death processes whose rates may vary in time. Useful quantities, like the chance of ultimate fixation, satisfy an appropriate difference…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-22 Jayant Pande , Nadav M. Shnerb

Although real-world complex systems typically interact through sparse and heterogeneous networks, analytic solutions of their dynamics are limited to models with all-to-all interactions. Here, we solve the dynamics of a broad range of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-01-28 Fernando L. Metz

We discuss a model of a system of interacting populations for the case when: (i) the growth rates and the coefficients of interaction among the populations depend on the populations densities: and (ii) the environment influences the growth…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-11-15 Nikolay K. Vitanov , Kaloyan N. Vitanov

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) were recently proposed in [1] as an alternative way to solve partial differential equations (PDEs). A neural network (NN) represents the solution while a PDE-induced NN is coupled to the solution NN,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-10-22 Xiaoli Chen , Jinqiao Duan , George Em Karniadakis

This work is devoted to studying the dynamics of a structured population that is subject to the combined effects of environmental stochasticity, competition for resources, spatio-temporal heterogeneity and dispersal. The population is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-24 Alexandru Hening , Dang H. Nguyen , George Yin

We present a deep learning model, DE-LSTM, for the simulation of a stochastic process with an underlying nonlinear dynamics. The deep learning model aims to approximate the probability density function of a stochastic process via numerical…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-10-23 Kyongmin Yeo , Igor Melnyk

Throughout many fields, practitioners often rely on differential equations to model systems. Yet, for many applications, the theoretical derivation of such equations and/or accurate resolution of their solutions may be intractable. Instead,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Grant Norman , Jacqueline Wentz , Hemanth Kolla , Kurt Maute , Alireza Doostan

The model of population protocols provides a universal platform to study distributed processes driven by pairwise interactions of anonymous agents. While population protocols present an elegant and robust model for randomized distributed…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Adam Gańczorz , Leszek Gąsieniec , Tomasz Jurdziński , Jakub Kowalski , Grzegorz Stachowiak

Fragmentation population-balance equations (PBEs) describe how particle size distributions (PSDs) evolve under breakage and daughter fragment redistribution. From a standard self-similar fragmentation class we derive an \emph{exact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-21 Juan J. Segura

In most biological studies and processes, cell proliferation and population dynamics play an essential role. Due to this ubiquity, a multitude of mathematical models has been developed to describe these processes. While the simplest models…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-23 J. Hasenauer , D. Schittler , F. Allgower

Neural population activity often exhibits rich variability and temporal structure. This variability is thought to arise from single-neuron stochasticity, neural dynamics on short time-scales, as well as from modulations of neural firing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-14 Mijung Park , Jakob H. Macke

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs), via their induced flow maps, provide a powerful framework to parameterize invertible transformations for the purpose of representing complex probability distributions. While such models have achieved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Youssef Marzouk , Zhi Ren , Sven Wang , Jakob Zech

Sequences of events in noise-driven excitable systems with slow variables often show serial correlations among their intervals of events. Here, we employ a master equation for general non-renewal processes to calculate the interval and…

Biological Physics · Physics 2011-05-23 Farzad Farkhooi , Eilif Muller , Martin P. Nawrot

In recent years, research unveiled more and more evidence for the so-called Bayesian Brain Paradigm, i.e. the human brain is interpreted as a probabilistic inference machine and Bayesian modelling approaches are hence used successfully. One…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Kevin Jasberg , Sergej Sizov

We consider Markov models of large-scale networks where nodes are characterized by their local behavior and by a mobility model over a two-dimensional lattice. By assuming random walk, we prove convergence to a system of partial…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-04-27 Max Tschaikowski , Mirco Tribastone

The first chapter concerns monotype population models. We first study general birth and death processes and we give non-explosion and extinction criteria, moment computations and a pathwise representation. We then show how different scales…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-06 Vincent Bansaye , Sylvie Méléard

In vitro cell biology experiments are routinely used to characterize cell migration properties under various experimental conditions. These experiments can be interpreted using lattice-based random walk models to provide insight into…

Applied Physics · Physics 2024-06-25 Yihan Liu , David J Warne , Matthew J Simpson

Inferring the driving equations of a dynamical system from population or time-course data is important in several scientific fields such as biochemistry, epidemiology, financial mathematics and many others. Despite the existence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-10 Anastasios Tsourtis , Yannis Pantazis , Ioannis Tsamardinos
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