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Studies on simulation input uncertainty often built on the availability of input data. In this paper, we investigate an inverse problem where, given only the availability of output data, we nonparametrically calibrate the input models and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Aleksandrina Goeva , Henry Lam , Huajie Qian , Bo Zhang

We consider a design problem where experimental conditions (design points $X_i$) are presented in the form of a sequence of i.i.d.\ random variables, generated with an unknown probability measure $\mu$, and only a given proportion…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-05 Luc Pronzato , HaiYing Wang

Optimization is becoming increasingly common in scientific and engineering domains. Oftentimes, these problems involve various levels of stochasticity or uncertainty in generating proposed solutions. Therefore, optimization in these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-05 Peter D. Tonner , Daniel V. Samarov , A. Gilad Kusne

We demonstrate that the recently developed Optimal Uncertainty Quantification (OUQ) theory, combined with recent software enabling fast global solutions of constrained non-convex optimization problems, provides a methodology for rigorous…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-16 M. McKerns , F. J. Alexander , K. S. Hickmann , T. J. Sullivan , D. E. Vaughan

The worst-case robust adaptive beamforming problem for general-rank signal model is considered. Its formulation is to maximize the worst-case signal-to-interference-plus-noise ratio (SINR), incorporating a positive semidefinite constraint…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-05-15 Yongwei Huang , Sergiy A. Vorobyov

We study an optimization-based approach to construct statistically accurate confidence intervals for simulation performance measures under nonparametric input uncertainty. This approach computes confidence bounds from simulation runs driven…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Henry Lam , Huajie Qian

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) approaches aim to identify the best design of an engineering problem, whilst the probability of failure (PoF) remains below an acceptable value. Thus, the incorporation of the sharpest bounds on…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Niklas Miska , Daniel Balzani

Stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) has been a promising solution to complex control problems under uncertain disturbances. However, traditional SMPC approaches either require exact knowledge of probabilistic distributions, or rely…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Chao Shang , Fengqi You

The quantified constraint satisfaction problem (QCSP) is a powerful framework for modelling computational problems. The general intractability of the QCSP has motivated the pursuit of restricted cases that avoid its maximal complexity. In…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Hubie Chen

Automated synthesis of correct-by-construction controllers for autonomous systems is crucial for their deployment in safety-critical scenarios. Such autonomous systems are naturally modeled as stochastic dynamical models. The general…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-17 Thom Badings , Nils Jansen , Licio Romao , Alessandro Abate

Sensitivity analysis (SA) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) are used to assess and improve engineering models. In this study, various methods of SA and UQ are described and applied in theoretical and practical examples for use in energy…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-07 Majdi I. Radaideh , Mohammad I. Radaideh

Estimating arbitrary quantities of interest (QoIs) that are non-linear operators of complex, expensive-to-evaluate, black-box functions is a challenging problem due to missing domain knowledge and finite budgets. Bayesian optimal design of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-17 Piyush Pandita , Nimish Awalgaonkar , Ilias Bilionis , Jitesh Panchal

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

This review is designed to introduce mathematicians and computational scientists to quantum computing (QC) through the lens of uncertainty quantification (UQ) by presenting a mathematically rigorous and accessible narrative for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-30 Ryan Bennink , Olena Burkovska , Konstantin Pieper , Jorge Ramirez , Elaine Wong

A high-ranking goal of interdisciplinary modeling approaches in the natural sciences are quantitative prediction of system dynamics and model based optimization. For this purpose, mathematical modeling, numerical simulation and scientific…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Dominik Skanda , Dirk Lebiedz

We present a computational framework for estimating the uncertainty in the numerical solution of linearized infinite-dimensional statistical inverse problems. We adopt the Bayesian inference formulation: given observational data and their…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-08-07 Tan Bui-Thanh , Omar Ghattas , James Martin , Georg Stadler

We consider the utilization of a computational model to guide the optimal acquisition of experimental data to inform the stochastic description of model input parameters. Our formulation is based on the recently developed consistent…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Scott N. Walsh , Tim M. Wildey , John D. Jakeman

The calibration of complex computer codes using uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods is a rich area of statistical methodological development. When applying these techniques to simulators with spatial output, it is now standard to use…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-25 James M Salter , Daniel B Williamson , John Scinocca , Viatcheslav Kharin

We consider an unknown multivariate function representing a system-such as a complex numerical simulator-taking both deterministic and uncertain inputs. Our objective is to estimate the set of deterministic inputs leading to outputs whose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-09 Romain Ait Abdelmalek-Lomenech , Julien Bect , Vincent Chabridon , Emmanuel Vazquez

We present a method for computing A-optimal sensor placements for infinite-dimensional Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by PDEs with irreducible model uncertainties. Here, irreducible uncertainties refers to uncertainties in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Karina Koval , Alen Alexanderian , Georg Stadler