Related papers: Experimental Design : Optimizing Quantities of Int…
Optimization under uncertainty and risk is indispensable in many practical situations. Our paper addresses stability of optimization problems using composite risk functionals which are subjected to measure perturbations. Our main focus is…
Maximum entropy inference and learning of graphical models are pivotal tasks in learning theory and optimization. This work extends algorithms for these problems, including generalized iterative scaling (GIS) and gradient descent (GD), to…
High-fidelity scale-resolving simulations of turbulent flows quickly become prohibitively expensive, especially at high Reynolds numbers. As a remedy, we may use multifidelity models (MFM) to construct predictive models for flow quantities…
We propose a computational framework to quantify (measure) and to optimize the reliability of complex systems. The approach uses a graph representation of the system that is subject to random failures of its components (nodes and edges).…
We study computing geometric problems on uncertain points. An uncertain point is a point that does not have a fixed location, but rather is described by a probability distribution. When these probability distributions are restricted to a…
Constitutive model discovery refers to the task of identifying an appropriate model structure, usually from a predefined model library, while simultaneously inferring its material parameters. The data used for model discovery are measured…
Due to significant manufacturing process variations, the performance of integrated circuits (ICs) has become increasingly uncertain. Such uncertainties must be carefully quantified with efficient stochastic circuit simulators. This paper…
Complex phenomena in engineering and the sciences are often modeled with computationally intensive feed-forward simulations for which a tractable analytic likelihood does not exist. In these cases, it is sometimes necessary to estimate an…
Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) provides a rigorous framework for decision-making tasks in which data acquisition is often the critical bottleneck, especially in resource-constrained settings. Traditionally, BOED typically…
Exact simulations of quantum circuits (QCs) are currently limited to $\sim$50 qubits because the memory and computational cost required to store the QC wave function scale exponentially with qubit number. Therefore, developing efficient…
We present a data-driven optimal control framework that can be viewed as a generalization of the path integral (PI) control approach. We find iterative feedback control laws without parameterization based on probabilistic representation of…
Numerical models based on partial differential equations (PDE), or integro-differential equations, are ubiquitous in engineering and science, making it possible to understand or design systems for which physical experiments would be…
This paper introduces a stochastic simulator for seismic uncertainty quantification, which is crucial for performance-based earthquake engineering. The proposed simulator extends the recently developed dimensionality reduction-based…
In this paper, we study the quantum-state estimation problem in the framework of optimal design of experiments. We first find the optimal designs about arbitrary qubit models for popular optimality criteria such as A-, D-, and E-optimal…
We present batching as an omnibus device for uncertainty quantification using simulation output. We consider the classical context of a simulationist performing uncertainty quantification on an estimator $\theta_n$ (of an unknown fixed…
Reliable optimal control is challenging when the dynamics of a nonlinear system are unknown and only infrequent, noisy output measurements are available. This work addresses this setting of limited sensing by formulating a Bayesian prior…
Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is crucial in machine learning, yet most (axiomatic) studies of uncertainty measures focus on classification, leaving a gap in regression settings with limited formal justification and evaluations. In this…
Quantifying uncertainty is important for actionable predictions in real-world applications. A crucial part of predictive uncertainty quantification is the estimation of epistemic uncertainty, which is defined as an integral of the product…
QUESO stands for Quantification of Uncertainty for Estimation, Simulation and Optimization and consists of algorithms and C++ classes intended for research in uncertainty quantification, including the solution of statistical inverse problem…
We consider the sequential experimental design problem in the predict-then-optimize paradigm. In this paradigm, the outputs of the prediction model are used as coefficient vectors in a downstream linear optimization problem. Traditional…