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In this note we prove bounds on the upper and lower probability tails of sums of independent geometric or exponentially distributed random variables. We also prove negative results showing that our established tail bounds are asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Yaonan Jin , Yingkai Li , Yining Wang , Yuan Zhou

We present sharp tail asymptotics for the density and the distribution function of linear combinations of correlated log-normal random variables, that is, exponentials of components of a correlated Gaussian vector. The asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov

The task of estimation of the tails of probability distributions having small samples seems to be still opened and almost unsolvable. The paper tries to make a step in filling this gap. In 2017 Jordanova et al. introduce six new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Pavlina Jordanova , Monika Peteva

The task for a general and useful classification of the tail behaviors of probability distributions still has no satisfactory solution. Due to lack of information outside the range of the data the tails of the distribution should be…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Pavlina Jordanova

The exact expression for the probability density $p_{_N}(x)$ for sums of a finite number $N$ of random independent terms is obtained. It is shown that the very tail of $p_{_N}(x)$ has a Gaussian form if and only if all the random terms are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-29 Michael I. Tribelsky

We introduce a new statistical tool (the TP-statistic and TE-statistic) designed specifically to compare the behavior of the sample tail of distributions with power-law and exponential tails as a function of the lower threshold u. One…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 V. F. Pisarenko , D. Sornette

The approach used by Kalashnikov and Tsitsiashvili for constructing upper bounds for the tail distribution of a geometric sum with subexponential summands is reconsidered. By expressing the problem in a more probabilistic light, several…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-18 Andrew Richards

Stochastic ordering of distributions of random variables may be defined by the relative convexity of the tail functions. This has been extended to higher order stochastic orderings, by iteratively reassigning tail-weights. The actual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Idir Arab , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

Chebyshev's inequality provides an upper bound on the tail probability of a random variable based on its mean and variance. While tight, the inequality has been criticized for only being attained by pathological distributions that abuse the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Ernst Roos , Ruud Brekelmans , Wouter van Eekelen , Dick den Hertog , Johan van Leeuwaarden

We establish upper and lower bounds with matching leading terms for tails of weighted sums of two-sided exponential random variables. This extends Janson's recent results for one-sided exponentials.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Jiawei Li , Tomasz Tkocz

In this paper introduces a new family of continuous distributions namely the Poison transmuted-G family of distribution is proposed by inducing two addition parameter on the base line G distribution. Some of its mathematical properties…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Laba Handique , Subrata Chakraborty

In this paper, we introduce a new approach to generate flexible parametric families of distributions. These models arise on competitive and complementary risks scenario, in which the lifetime associated with a particular risk is not…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-22 Pedro L. Ramos , Dipak K. Dey , Francisco Louzada , Victor H. Lachos

In this article, we discuss a bivariate distribution whose conditionals are univariate binomial distributions and the marginals are not binomial that exhibits negative correlation. Some useful structural properties of this distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-10 Indranil Ghosh , Filipe Marques , Subrata Chakraborty

In this paper, according to a certain criterion, we divide the exponential distribution class into three subclasses. One of them is closely related to the regular-variation-tailed distribution class, so it is called the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Zhaolei Cui , Edward Omey , Wenyuan Wang , Yuebao Wang

For each probability distribution on a countable alphabet, a sequence of positive functionals are developed as tail indices based on Turing's perspective. By and only by the asymptotic behavior of these indices, domains of attraction for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-27 Zhiyi Zhang

In this paper, we propose a new class of distributions by exponentiating the random variables associated with the probability density functions of composite distributions. We also derive some mathematical properties of this new class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-05 Bowen Liu , Malwane M. A. Ananda

We introduce a class of distributions originating from an exponential family and having a property related to the strict stability property. A characteristic function representation for this family is obtained and its properties are…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-11 Lev B. Klebanov , Grigory Temnov

Existing theory for multivariate extreme values focuses upon characterizations of the distributional tails when all components of a random vector, standardized to identical margins, grow at the same rate. In this paper, we consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-20 J. L. Wadsworth , J. A. Tawn

We derive upper bounds on the tail conditional expectation of binomial and Poisson random variables. Those upper bounds are subsequently employed to the problem of obtaining non-asymptotic lower bounds on the probability that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-07 Christos Pelekis

Extreme events and the heavy tail distributions driven by them are ubiquitous in various scientific, engineering and financial research. They are typically associated with stochastic instability caused by hidden unresolved processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong