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In the paper we consider some piecewise deterministic Markov process whose continuous component evolves according to semiflows, which are switched at the jump times of a Poisson process. The associated Markov chain describes the states of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-06 Dawid Czapla , Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

In a (two-type) Wright-Fisher diffusion with directional selection and two-way mutation, let $x$ denote today's frequency of the beneficial type, and given $x$, let $h(x)$ be the probability that, among all individuals of today's…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-10 Ute Lenz , Sandra Kluth , Ellen Baake , Anton Wakolbinger

We consider a stochastic model describing a constant size $N$ population that may be seen as a directed polymer in random medium with $N$ sites in the transverse direction. The population dynamics is governed by a noisy traveling wave…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Aser Cortines

This paper considers the problem of regression over distributions, which is becoming increasingly important in machine learning. Existing approaches often ignore the geometry of the probability space or are computationally expensive. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Maksim Maslov , Alexander Kugaevskikh , Matthew Ivanov

We give derivations of some basic results for the Bernstein approximation in $n$ variables that are useful in investigating copulas. It is shown that Bernstein approximations of copulas are again copulas. We exhibit a stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-06 MD Taylor

We study the convergence of random function iterations for finding an invariant measure of the corresponding Markov operator. We call the problem of finding such an invariant measure the stochastic fixed point problem. This generalizes…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-24 Neal Hermer , D. Russell Luke , Anja Sturm

We obtain bounds on the average size of Bohr sets with coefficients parametrised by polynomials over finite fields and obtain a series of general results and also some sharper results for specific sets which are important for applications…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Riley Baird , Bryce Kerr , Igor Shparlinski

Let $f$ be a real function defined on the interval $[0,1]$ which is constant on $(a,b)\subset [0,1]$, and let $B_nf$ be its associated $n$th Bernstein polynomial. We prove that, for any $x\in (a,b)$, $|B_nf(x)-f(x)|$ converges to $0$ as…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2024-11-18 José A. Adell , Daniel Cárdenas-Morales , Antonio J. López-Moreno

In this paper, we adopt a Bayesian point of view for predicting real continuous-time processes. We give two equivalent definitions of a Bayesian predictor and study some properties: admissibility, prediction sufficiency, non-unbiasedness,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Delphine Blanke , Denis Bosq

We consider the task of filtering a dynamic parameter evolving as a diffusion process, given data collected at discrete times from a likelihood which is conjugate to the marginal law of the diffusion, when a generic dual process on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Guillaume Kon Kam King , Andrea Pandolfi , Marco Piretto , Matteo Ruggiero

We study the convergence of stochastic fixed point iterations in the consistent case (in the sense of Butnariu and Fl{\aa}m (1995)) in several different settings, under decreasingly restrictive regularity assumptions of the fixed point…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-26 Neal Hermer , D. Russell Luke , Anja Sturm

This paper deals with sequences of random variables $X_n$ only taking values in $\{0,\ldots,n\}$. The probability generating functions of such random variables are polynomials of degree $n$. Under the assumption that the roots of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-18 Benedikt Rednoß , Christoph Thäle

"Quantum trajectories" are solutions of stochastic differential equations of non-usual type. Such equations are called "Belavkin" or "Stochastic Schr\"odinger Equations" and describe random phenomena in continuous measurement theory of Open…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Clement Pellegrini

This paper investigates the supervised learning problem with observations drawn from certain general stationary stochastic processes. Here by \emph{general}, we mean that many stationary stochastic processes can be included. We show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-11 Hanyuan Hang , Yunlong Feng , Ingo Steinwart , Johan A. K. Suykens

We present an elementary proof of a conjecture by I. Ra\c{s}a which is an inequality involving Bernstein basis polynomials and convex functions. It was affirmed in positive very recently by the use of stochastic convex orderings. Moreover,…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-09-02 Ulrich Abel

We introduce polynomial processes in the sense of [8] in the context of stochastic portfolio theory to model simultaneously companies' market capitalizations and the corresponding market weights. These models substantially extend volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-12 Christa Cuchiero

We discuss Stein's method for approximation by the stationary distribution of a single-birth Markov chain, in conjunction with stochastic monotonicity and similar assumptions. We use bounds on the increments of the solution of Poisson's…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Fraser Daly

Devoted to multi-task learning and structured output learning, operator-valued kernels provide a flexible tool to build vector-valued functions in the context of Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces. To scale up these methods, we extend the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-25 Romain Brault , Florence d'Alché-Buc , Markus Heinonen

We generalize Taylor's theorem by introducing a stochastic formulation based on an underlying Poisson point process model. We utilize this approach to propose a novel non-linear regression framework and perform statistical inference of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 Weichao Wu , Athanasios C. Micheas

Stochastic kinetic models are often used to describe complex biological processes. Typically these models are analytically intractable and have unknown parameters which need to be estimated from observed data. Ideally we would have…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-13 Richard J. Boys , Holly F. Ainsworth , Colin S. Gillespie