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In this work we review the application of the theory of Gaussian processes to the modeling of noise in pulsar-timing data analysis, and we derive various useful and optimized representations for the likelihood expressions that are needed in…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2014-11-19 Rutger van Haasteren , Michele Vallisneri

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

Bayesian methods are actively used for parameter identification and uncertainty quantification when solving nonlinear inverse problems with random noise. However, there are only few theoretical results justifying the Bayesian approach.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Vladimir Spokoiny

We present a novel graphical framework for modeling non-negative sequential data with hierarchical structure. Our model corresponds to a network of coupled non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) modules, which we refer to as a positive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-07-16 Brian K. Vogel

In this article a flexible Bayesian non-parametric model is proposed for non-homogeneous hidden Markov models. The model is developed through the amalgamation of the ideas of hidden Markov models and predictor dependent stick-breaking…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-10 Abhra Sarkar , Anindya Bhadra , Bani K. Mallick

Bayesian state and parameter estimation have been automated effectively in a variety of probabilistic programming languages. The process of model comparison on the other hand, which still requires error-prone and time-consuming manual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Bart van Erp , Wouter W. L. Nuijten , Thijs van de Laar , Bert de Vries

We develop an efficient sampling approach for handling complex missing data patterns and a large number of missing observations in conditionally Gaussian state space models. Two important examples are dynamic factor models with unbalanced…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-08 Joshua C. C. Chan , Aubrey Poon , Dan Zhu

Our concern is selecting the concentration matrix's nonzero coefficients for a sparse Gaussian graphical model in a high-dimensional setting. This corresponds to estimating the graph of conditional dependencies between the variables. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-04-05 Christophe Ambroise , Julien Chiquet , Catherine Matias

Although variable selection is one of the most popular areas of modern statistical research, much of its development has taken place in the classical paradigm compared to the Bayesian counterpart. Somewhat surprisingly, both the paradigms…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Minerva Mukhopadhyay , Sourabh Bhattacharya

The factor analysis model is a statistical model where a certain number of hidden random variables, called factors, affect linearly the behaviour of another set of observed random variables, with additional random noise. The main assumption…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Muhammad Ardiyansyah , Luca Sodomaco

In this paper, we consider the nonstationary matrix-valued time series with common stochastic trends. Unlike the traditional factor analysis which flattens matrix observations into vectors, we adopt a matrix factor model in order to fully…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-25 Degui Li , Yayi Yan , Qiwei Yao

Probabilistic matrix factorization (PMF) is a powerful method for modeling data associated with pairwise relationships, finding use in collaborative filtering, computational biology, and document analysis, among other areas. In many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-03-26 Ryan Prescott Adams , George E. Dahl , Iain Murray

Dimension reduction techniques are among the most essential analytical tools in the analysis of high-dimensional data. Generalized principal component analysis (PCA) is an extension to standard PCA that has been widely used to identify…

In this article, we primarily propose a novel Bayesian characterization of stationary and nonstationary stochastic processes. In practice, this theory aims to distinguish between global stationarity and nonstationarity for both parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Sucharita Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We perform differential expression analysis of high-throughput sequencing count data under a Bayesian nonparametric framework, removing sophisticated ad-hoc pre-processing steps commonly required in existing algorithms. We propose to use…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-04 Siamak Zamani Dadaneh , Xiaoning Qian , Mingyuan Zhou

Boolean matrix factorisation aims to decompose a binary data matrix into an approximate Boolean product of two low rank, binary matrices: one containing meaningful patterns, the other quantifying how the observations can be expressed as a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-28 Tammo Rukat , Chris C. Holmes , Michalis K. Titsias , Christopher Yau

Graphical models are commonly used tools for modeling multivariate random variables. While there exist many convenient multivariate distributions such as Gaussian distribution for continuous data, mixed data with the presence of discrete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-30 Jianqing Fan , Han Liu , Yang Ning , Hui Zou

An old problem in multivariate statistics is that linear Gaussian models are often unidentifiable, i.e. some parameters cannot be uniquely estimated. In factor (component) analysis, an orthogonal rotation of the factors is unidentifiable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-04 Aapo Hyvärinen , Ilyes Khemakhem , Ricardo Monti

We develop a novel Bayesian method to select important predictors in regression models with multiple responses of diverse types. A sparse Gaussian copula regression model is used to account for the multivariate dependencies between any…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Angelos Alexopoulos , Leonardo Bottolo

Cascades of Poisson processes are probabilistic models for spatio-temporal phenomena in which (i) previous events may trigger subsequent events, and (ii) both the background and triggering processes are conditionally Poisson. Such phenomena…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-14 Chris. J. Oates