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We propose a coefficient of conditional dependence between two random variables $Y$ and $Z$ given a set of other variables $X_1,\ldots,X_p$, based on an i.i.d. sample. The coefficient has a long list of desirable properties, the most…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Mona Azadkia , Sourav Chatterjee

A dependent theory is a (first order complete theory) T which does not have the independence property. A main result here is: if we expand a model of T by the traces on it of sets definable in a bigger model then we preserve its being…

Logic · Mathematics 2013-02-20 Saharon Shelah

Currently available models for spatial extremes suffer either from inflexibility in the dependence structures that they can capture, lack of scalability to high dimensions, or in most cases, both of these. We present an approach to spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-17 Jennifer L. Wadsworth , Jonathan Tawn

In this paper, by establishing a Borel-Cantelli lemma for a capacity which is not necessarily continuous, and a link between a sequence of independent random variables under the sub-linear expectation and a sequence of independent random…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Li-Xin Zhang

Consider a high-dimensional linear regression problem, where the number of covariates is larger than the number of observations and the interest is in estimating the conditional variance of the response variable given the covariates. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-29 David Azriel

We establish strong invariance principles for sums of stationary and ergodic processes with nearly optimal bounds. Applications to linear and some nonlinear processes are discussed. Strong laws of large numbers and laws of the iterated…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Wei Biao Wu

This paper introduces the notions of independence and conditional independence in valuation-based systems (VBS). VBS is an axiomatic framework capable of representing many different uncertainty calculi. We define independence and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Prakash P. Shenoy

We consider the problem of conditional independence testing of $X$ and $Y$ given $Z$ where $X,Y$ and $Z$ are three real random variables and $Z$ is continuous. We focus on two main cases - when $X$ and $Y$ are both discrete, and when $X$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-05 Matey Neykov , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

A new version of a Strong Law of Large Numbers is proposed in this note for pairwise independent random variables. The main goal is to relax the assumption on a finite expectation for each term.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Alina Akhmiarova , Alexander Veretennikov

In this paper, the notion of conditionally bi-free independence for pairs of algebras is introduced. The notion of conditional $(\ell, r)$-cumulants are introduced and it is demonstrated that conditionally bi-free independence is equivalent…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2019-02-08 Yinzheng Gu , Paul Skoufranis

We establish a theory for multivariate extreme value analysis of dynamical systems. Namely, we provide conditions adapted to the dynamical setting which enable the study of dependence between extreme values of the components of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Romain Aimino , Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

This paper introduces the notion of pseudo-independence on the sublinear expectation space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathcal{P})$ via the classical conditional expectation, and the relations between pseudo-independence and Peng's independence…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Xinpeng Li

We study the consistency and weak convergence of the conditional tail function and conditional Hill estimators under broad dependence assumptions for a heavy-tailed response sequence and a covariate sequence. Consistency is established…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Martin Bladt , Laurits Glargaard , Theodor Henningsen

Many regulatory and analytic problems require that a prohibited variable influence a decision only through a designated allowable channel -- a conditional-independence requirement that arises in path-specific fairness, the handling of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Zou Yang , Sophia Xiao , Bijan Mazaheri

The Central Limit Theorem states that, in the limit of a large number of terms, an appropriately scaled sum of independent random variables yields another random variable whose probability distribution tends to a stable distribution. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-04-08 Damián H. Zanette , Inés Samengo

Limit theorems for non-additive probabilities or non-linear expectations are challenging issues which have raised progressive interest recently. The purpose of this paper is to study the strong law of large numbers and the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-03 Li-Xin Zhang

In this paper we provide a theoretical analysis of counterfactual invariance. We present a variety of existing definitions, study how they relate to each other and what their graphical implications are. We then turn to the current major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Jake Fawkes , Robin J. Evans

Conditionally specified models are often used to describe complex multivariate data. Such models assume implicit structures on the extremes. So far, no methodology exists for calculating extremal characteristics of conditional models since…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Stan Tendijck , Jonathan Tawn , Philip Jonathan

In this paper we characterize the limiting behavior of sums of extreme values of long range dependent sequences defined as functionals of linear processes with finite variance. The extremal sums behave completely different by compared to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Rafal Kulik

A non-classical formulation of the central limit theorem is given for sequences of independent random variables with finite second moments. Singular sequences whose members all have a degenerate or normal distribution are excluded from…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Alexander Shmyrov , Vasily Shmyrov
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