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We show that the conditional independence (CI) implication problem with bounded cardinalities, which asks whether a given CI implication holds for all discrete random variables with given cardinalities, is co-NEXPTIME-hard. The problem…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Michał Makowski

We study a class of determinantal ideals that are related to conditional independence (CI) statements with hidden variables. Such CI statements correspond to determinantal conditions on a matrix whose entries are probabilities of events…

Commutative Algebra · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Oliver Clarke , Fatemeh Mohammadi , Johannes Rauh

We introduce the notion of a conditionally free product and conditionally free convolution. We describe this convolution both from a combinatorial point of view, by showing its connection with the lattice of non-crossing partitions, and…

funct-an · Mathematics 2008-02-03 Marek Bozejko , Michael Leinert , Roland Speicher

We study the distribution of maxima (Extreme Value Statistics) for sequences of observables computed along orbits generated by random transformations. The underlying, deterministic, dynamical system can be regular or chaotic. In the former…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Davide Faranda , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

Conditional independence plays a foundational role in database theory, probability theory, information theory, and graphical models. In databases, conditional independence appears in database normalization and is known as the (embedded)…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Miika Hannula

We propose a general new method, the conditional permutation test, for testing the conditional independence of variables $X$ and $Y$ given a potentially high-dimensional random vector $Z$ that may contain confounding factors. The proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-08 Thomas B. Berrett , Yi Wang , Rina Foygel Barber , Richard J. Samworth

We propose a sequential, anytime-valid method to test the conditional independence of a response $Y$ and a predictor $X$ given a random vector $Z$. The proposed test is based on e-statistics and test martingales, which generalize likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-22 Peter Grünwald , Alexander Henzi , Tyron Lardy

This work investigates the intersection property of conditional independence. It states that for random variables $A,B,C$ and $X$ we have that $X$ independent of $A$ given $B,C$ and $X$ independent of $B$ given $A,C$ implies $X$ independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-18 Jonas Peters

A {\em maximal inequality} seeks to estimate $\mathbb{E}\max_i X_i$ in terms of properties of the $X_i$. When the latter are independent, the union bound (in its various guises) can yield tight upper bounds. If, however, the $X_i$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Aryeh Kontorovich

This paper explores a conditional Gibbs theorem for a random walkinduced by i.i.d. (X_{1},..,X_{n}) conditioned on an extreme deviation of its sum (S_{1}^{n}=na_{n}) or (S_{1}^{n}>na_{n}) where a_{n}\rightarrow\infty. It is proved that when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-04 Michel Broniatowski , Zhansheng Cao

Free probability analogs of the basics of extreme-value theory are obtained, based on Ando's spectral order. This includes classification of freely max-stable laws and their domains of attraction, using ``free extremal convolutions'' on the…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Gerard Ben Arous , Dan Virgil Voiculescu

We show that, for two non-trivial random variables X and Y under a sublinear expectation space, if X is independent from Y and Y is independent from X, then X and Y must be maximally distributed.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-05 Mingshang Hu

Multivariate extreme value theory assumes a multivariate domain of attraction condition for the distribution of a random vector. This necessitates that each component satisfies a marginal domain of attraction condition. An approximation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Bikramjit Das , Sidney I. Resnick

Conditional probabilities are a core concept in machine learning. For example, optimal prediction of a label $Y$ given an input $X$ corresponds to maximizing the conditional probability of $Y$ given $X$. A common approach to inference tasks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-09 Yoav Wald , Amir Globerson

The article studies the almost surely asymptotics of extreme values $\bar{\xi}_n = \max_{1\leq i \leq n} \xi_i$, where $ \xi , \xi_1 , \xi_2 , \ldots$ are discrete identically distributed random variables. One of the main results on this…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Kateryna Akbash , Ivan Matsak

Possibilistic conditional independence is investigated: we propose a definition of this notion similar to the one used in probability theory. The links between independence and non-interactivity are investigated, and properties of these…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Pascale Fonck

Testing independence is of significant interest in many important areas of large-scale inference. Using extreme-value form statistics to test against sparse alternatives and using quadratic form statistics to test against dense alternatives…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-31 Danning Li , Lingzhou Xue

It is well known that an extreme order statistic and a central order statistic (os) as well as an intermediate os and a central os from a sample of iid univariate random variables get asymptotically independent as the sample size increases.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Michael Falk , Florian Wisheckel

Conditional independence and Markov properties are powerful tools allowing expression of multidimensional probability distributions by means of low-dimensional ones. As multidimensional possibilistic models have been studied for several…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Jirina Vejnarova

We establish a strong law of large numbers for one-dimensional continuous-time random walks in dynamic random environments under two main assumptions: the environment is required to satisfy a decoupling inequality that can be interpreted as…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Weberson S. Arcanjo , Rangel Baldasso , Marcelo R. Hilário , Renato S. dos Santos