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This paper develops a Bayesian computational platform at the interface between posterior sampling and optimization in models whose marginal likelihoods are difficult to evaluate. Inspired by adversarial optimization, namely Generative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Tetsuya Kaji , Veronika Rockova

We conduct non-asymptotic analysis on the mean-field variational inference for approximating posterior distributions in complex Bayesian models that may involve latent variables. We show that the mean-field approximation to the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-06 Wei Han , Yun Yang

Maximum pseudolikelihood method has been among the most important methods for learning parameters of statistical physics models, such as Ising models. In this paper, we study how pseudolikelihood can be derived for learning parameters of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-09 Onur Dikmen

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

Recently, there has been significant interest in linear regression in the situation where predictors and responses are not observed in matching pairs corresponding to the same statistical unit as a consequence of separate data collection…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-04 Martin Slawski , Guoqing Diao , Emanuel Ben-David

Kernel methods are one of the mainstays of machine learning, but the problem of kernel learning remains challenging, with only a few heuristics and very little theory. This is of particular importance in methods based on estimation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-03 Seth Flaxman , Dino Sejdinovic , John P. Cunningham , Sarah Filippi

This paper concerns pseudo labelling in segmentation. Our contribution is fourfold. Firstly, we present a new formulation of pseudo-labelling as an Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for clear statistical interpretation. Secondly, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-14 Mou-Cheng Xu , Yukun Zhou , Chen Jin , Marius de Groot , Daniel C. Alexander , Neil P. Oxtoby , Yipeng Hu , Joseph Jacob

We present a unified view of likelihood based Gaussian progress regression for simulation experiments exhibiting input-dependent noise. Replication plays an important role in that context, however previous methods leveraging replicates have…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-18 Mickael Binois , Robert B. Gramacy , Michael Ludkovski

Following Selberg it is known that uniformly for V << (logloglog T)^{1/2 - \epsilon} the measure of those t \in [T;2T] for which log |\zeta(1/2 + it)| > V*((1/2)loglog T)^{1/2} is approximately T times the probability that a standard…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-26 Maksym Radziwill

Local projections (LPs) are widely used for impulse response analysis, but Bayesian methods face challenges due to the absence of a likelihood function. Existing approaches rely on pseudo-likelihoods, which often result in poorly calibrated…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-19 Masahiro Tanaka

The problem of joint estimation of multiple graphical models from high dimensional data has been studied in the statistics and machine learning literature, due to its importance in diverse fields including molecular biology, neuroscience…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-04 Peyman Jalali , Kshitij Khare , George Michailidis

The inspection of residuals is a fundamental step to investigate the quality of adjustment of a parametric model to data. For spatial point processes, the concept of residuals has been recently proposed by Baddeley et al. (2005) as an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-07 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Frédéric Lavancier

Asynchronous event sequence clustering aims to group similar event sequences in an unsupervised manner. Mixture models of temporal point processes have been proposed to solve this problem, but they often suffer from overfitting, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Yiwei Dong , Shaoxin Ye , Yuwen Cao , Qiyu Han , Hongteng Xu , Hanfang Yang

Fisher's likelihood is widely used for statistical inference for fixed unknowns. This paper aims to extend two important likelihood-based methods, namely the maximum likelihood procedure for point estimation and the confidence procedure for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Hangbin Lee , Youngjo Lee

This paper is concerned with statistical inference for infinite range interaction Gibbs point processes and in particular for the large class of Ruelle superstable and lower regular pairwise interaction models. We extend classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-05 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Frédéric Lavancier

Maximum pseudo-likelihood (MPL) is a semiparametric estimation method often used to obtain the dependence parameters in copula models from data. It has been shown that despite being consistent, and in some cases efficient, MPL estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Alexandra Dias

Quantitative studies in many fields involve the analysis of multivariate data of diverse types, including measurements that we may consider binary, ordinal and continuous. One approach to the analysis of such mixed data is to use a copula…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter D. Hoff

The Gumbel-max trick is a method to draw a sample from a categorical distribution, given by its unnormalized (log-)probabilities. Over the past years, the machine learning community has proposed several extensions of this trick to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-09 Iris A. M. Huijben , Wouter Kool , Max B. Paulus , Ruud J. G. van Sloun

In this paper, we study pseudo-labelling. Pseudo-labelling employs raw inferences on unlabelled data as pseudo-labels for self-training. We elucidate the empirical successes of pseudo-labelling by establishing a link between this technique…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Moucheng Xu , Yukun Zhou , Chen Jin , Marius de Groot , Daniel C. Alexander , Neil P. Oxtoby , Yipeng Hu , Joseph Jacob

We describe an adaptation of the simulated annealing algorithm to nonparametric clustering and related probabilistic models. This new algorithm learns nonparametric latent structure over a growing and constantly churning subsample of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-25 Fritz Obermeyer , Jonathan Glidden , Eric Jonas
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