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Standard present day large-scale structure (LSS) analyses make a major assumption in their Bayesian parameter inference --- that the likelihood has a Gaussian form. For summary statistics currently used in LSS, this assumption, even if the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-06 ChangHoon Hahn , Florian Beutler , Manodeep Sinha , Andreas Berlind , Shirley Ho , David W. Hogg

We propose and test improvements to state-of-the-art techniques of Bayeasian statistical inference based on pseudolikelihood maximization with $\ell_1$ regularization and with decimation. In particular, we present a method to determine the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-07-18 Alessia Marruzzo , Payal Tyagi , Fabrizio Antenucci , Andrea Pagnani , Luca Leuzzi

In this paper, we study sampling from a posterior derived from a neural network. We propose a new probabilistic model consisting of adding noise at every pre- and post-activation in the network, arguing that the resulting posterior can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Giovanni Piccioli , Emanuele Troiani , Lenka Zdeborová

We develop a pseudo-metric analogue of bisimulation for generalized semi-Markov processes. The kernel of this pseudo-metric corresponds to bisimulation; thus we have extended bisimulation for continuous-time probabilistic processes to a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Vineet Gupta , Radha Jagadeesan , Prakash Panangaden

Bisimulation metrics provide a robust and accurate approach to study the behavior of nondeterministic probabilistic processes. In this paper, we propose a logical characterization of bisimulation metrics based on a simple probabilistic…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-10-27 Valentina Castiglioni , Daniel Gebler , Simone Tini

We implement a pseudolikelyhood approach with l2-regularization as well as the recently introduced pseudolikelihood with decimation procedure to the inverse problem in continuous spin models on arbitrary networks, with arbitrarily…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-07-20 Payal Tyagi , Alessia Marruzzo , Andrea Pagnani , Fabrizio Antenucci , Luca Leuzzi

Implementing Bayesian inference is often computationally challenging in applications involving complex models, and sometimes calculating the likelihood itself is difficult. Synthetic likelihood is one approach for carrying out inference…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-15 David T. Frazier , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

We explore the problems of classification of composite object (images, speech signals) with low number of models per class. We study the question of improving recognition performance for medium-sized database (thousands of classes). The key…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-09-19 Andrey Savchenko

This article develops an analytical framework for studying information divergences and likelihood ratios associated with Poisson processes and point patterns on general measurable spaces. The main results include explicit analytical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Lasse Leskelä

This paper introduces an approach for detecting differences in the first-order structures of spatial point patterns. The proposed approach leverages the kernel mean embedding in a novel way by introducing its approximate version tailored to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-15 Raif M. Rustamov , James T. Klosowski

Accelerated algorithms for maximum likelihood image reconstruction are essential for emerging applications such as 3D tomography, dynamic tomographic imaging, and other high dimensional inverse problems. In this paper, we introduce and…

Computation · Statistics 2012-01-31 Stéphane Chrétien , Alfred O. Hero

We present a general method to derive continuity estimates for conditional probabilities of general (possibly continuous) spin models sub jected to local transformations. Such systems arise in the study of a stochastic time-evolution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-26 C. Kuelske , A. A. Opoku

In this work, we propose a novel framework for large-scale Gaussian process (GP) modeling. Contrary to the global, and local approximations proposed in the literature to address the computational bottleneck with exact GP modeling, we employ…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-19 Akhil Vakayil , Roshan Joseph

Stochastic differential equations provide a powerful tool for modelling dynamic phenomena affected by random noise. In case of repeated observations of time series for several experimental units, it is often the case that some of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-06 Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

We consider estimation in a particular semiparametric regression model for the mean of a counting process with ``panel count'' data. The basic model assumption is that the conditional mean function of the counting process is of the form…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jon A. Wellner , Ying Zhang

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) are used as statistical models in many disciplines. However, intractable likelihood functions for SDEs make inference challenging, and we need to resort to simulation-based techniques to estimate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-12 Grant Schneider , Peter F. Craigmile , Radu Herbei

In mathematical finance, Levy processes are widely used for their ability to model both continuous variation and abrupt, discontinuous jumps. These jumps are practically relevant, so reliable inference on the feature that controls jump…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Zhe Wang , Ryan Martin

In this paper we introduce the intuitive notion of trivergence of probability distributions (TPD). This notion allow us to calculate the similarity among triplets of objects. For this computation, we can use the well known measures of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-23 Juan-Manuel Torres-Moreno

Dependency networks (Heckerman et al., 2000) provide a flexible framework for modeling complex systems with many variables by combining independently learned local conditional distributions through pseudo-Gibbs sampling. Despite their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Kazuya Takabatake , Shotaro Akaho

Pseudo log-likelihood is a type of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method used in various fields including contextual bandits, influence maximization of social networks, and causal bandits. However, in previous literature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Shi Feng , Nuoya Xiong , Zhijie Zhang , Wei Chen