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In this paper, we develop efficient randomized algorithms for estimating probabilistic robustness margin and constructing robustness degradation curve for uncertain dynamic systems. One remarkable feature of these algorithms is their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-13 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

In this paper, we address the problem of conducting statistical inference in settings involving large-scale data that may be high-dimensional and contaminated by outliers. The high volume and dimensionality of the data require distributed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-30 Emadaldin Mozafari-Majd , Visa Koivunen

Modern applications of conformal inference to multiple testing problems, such as outlier detection and candidate selection, often involve selecting test samples whose conformal p-values fall below a threshold. The quality of such methods is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Ziang Song , Ying Jin , Emmanuel J. Candès

Standard approaches to constructing nonparametric confidence bands for functions are frustrated by the impact of bias, which generally is not estimated consistently when using the bootstrap and conventionally smoothed function estimators.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-30 Peter Hall , Joel Horowitz

Depth measures are powerful tools for defining level sets in emerging, non--standard, and complex random objects such as high-dimensional multivariate data, functional data, and random graphs. Despite their favorable theoretical properties,…

We derive bounds on the scope for a confidence band to adapt to the unknown regularity of a nonparametric function that is observed with noise, such as a regression function or density, under the self-similarity condition proposed by Gine…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-07 Timothy B. Armstrong

Reconstructing state-space dynamics from scalar data using time-delay embedding requires choosing values for the delay $\tau$ and the dimension $m$. Both parameters are critical to the success of the procedure and neither is easy to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-06-08 Varad Deshmukh , Robert Meikle , Elizabeth Bradley , James D. Meiss , Joshua Garland

This paper develops valid bootstrap inference methods for the dynamic short panel threshold regression. We show that the standard nonparametric bootstrap is inconsistent for the first-differenced generalized method of moments (GMM)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-18 Woosik Gong , Myung Hwan Seo

The trust-region problem, which minimizes a nonconvex quadratic function over a ball, is a key subproblem in trust-region methods for solving nonlinear optimization problems. It enjoys many attractive properties such as an exact…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-09-13 V. Jeyakumar , G. Li

Time evolving surfaces can be modeled as two-dimensional Functional time series, exploiting the tools of Functional data analysis. Leveraging this approach, a forecasting framework for such complex data is developed. The main focus revolves…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Niccolò Ajroldi , Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Matteo Fontana , Simone Vantini

This work introduces the causal bootstrap, a framework for bounding smeared spectral observables from finite non-perturbative Euclidean data. The method optimizes over the convex set of positive spectral densities compatible with the data…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2026-05-21 Ryan Abbott , Sarah Fields , William I. Jay , Patrick Oare , Matteo Saccardi

Although a majority of the theoretical literature in high-dimensional statistics has focused on settings which involve fully-observed data, settings with missing values and corruptions are common in practice. We consider the problems of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-06 Yining Wang , Jialei Wang , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Aarti Singh

In pharmaceutical and toxicological research, historical control data are increasingly used to validate concurrent control groups, typically via the construction of historical control limits. While methods have been described for continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Sören Budig , Frank Schaarschmidt , Max Menssen

Due to the increasing availability of high-dimensional empirical applications in many research disciplines, valid simultaneous inference becomes more and more important. For instance, high-dimensional settings might arise in economic…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-09-14 Philipp Bach , Victor Chernozhukov , Martin Spindler

This paper proposes a bootstrap-assisted procedure to conduct simultaneous inference for high dimensional sparse linear models based on the recent de-sparsifying Lasso estimator (van de Geer et al. 2014). Our procedure allows the dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-07 Xianyang Zhang , Guang Cheng

Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) method is arguably the most celebrated one used in online decision making with partial information feedback. Existing techniques for constructing confidence bounds are typically built upon various concentration…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-01 Botao Hao , Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , Zheng Wen , Guang Cheng

We consider the problem of finding confidence intervals for the risk of forecasting the future of a stationary, ergodic stochastic process, using a model estimated from the past of the process. We show that a bootstrap procedure provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Robert Lunde , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

We consider a general regression model, without a scale parameter. Our aim is to construct a confidence interval for a scalar parameter of interest $\theta$ that utilizes the uncertain prior information that a distinct scalar parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-17 Paul Kabaila , Nishika Ranathunga

The g-formula can be used to estimate the treatment effect while accounting for confounding bias in observational studies. With regard to time-to-event endpoints, possibly subject to competing risks, the construction of valid pointwise…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-03 Jasmin Rühl , Sarah Friedrich

Hypothesis tests in models whose dimension far exceeds the sample size can be formulated much like the classical studentized tests only after the initial bias of estimation is removed successfully. The theory of debiased estimators can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-22 Jelena Bradic , Mladen Kolar