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Conformal prediction provides a powerful framework for constructing distribution-free prediction regions with finite-sample coverage guarantees. While extensively studied in univariate settings, its extension to multi-output problems…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-04 Victor Dheur , Matteo Fontana , Yorick Estievenart , Naomi Desobry , Souhaib Ben Taieb

We develop joint confidence regions for linear regression coefficients when the regressors and errors are jointly stationary and ergodic with unspecified serial dependence. The method applies random smoothing, using an independent auxiliary…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Mous-Abou Hamadou , Martial Longla , Mathias Nthiani Muia , Mahmud Hasan

Spectral analysis plays a crucial role in high-dimensional statistics, where determining the asymptotic distribution of various spectral statistics remains a challenging task. Due to the difficulties of deriving the analytic form, recent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Guoyu Zhang , Dandan Jiang , Fang Yao

Split-plot or repeated measures designs are frequently used for planning experiments in the life or social sciences. Typical examples include the comparison of different treatments over time, where both factors may possess an additional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-13 Maria Umlauft , Marius Placzek , Frank Konietschke , Markus Pauly

Data with multiple functional recordings at each observational unit are increasingly common in various fields including medical imaging and environmental sciences. To conduct inference for such observations, we develop a paired two-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-16 Colin Decker , Dehan Kong , Stanislav Volgushev

In this paper we consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for coefficients of martingale regression models (in particular, time series models) after variable selection. Although constructing confidence intervals are common…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Ka Wai Tsang , Wei Dai

Consider the observation of n iid realizations of an experiment with d>1 possible outcomes, which corresponds to a single observation of a multinomial distribution M(n,p) where p is an unknown discrete distribution on {1,...,d}. In many…

Computation · Statistics 2010-06-15 Djalil Chafai , Didier Concordet

In a linear regression model of fixed dimension $p \leq n$, we construct confidence regions for the unknown parameter vector based on the Lasso estimator that uniformly and exactly hold the prescribed in finite samples as well as in an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-08 Karl Ewald , Ulrike Schneider

Uncertainty quantification for estimation through stochastic optimization solutions in an online setting has gained popularity recently. This paper introduces a novel inference method focused on constructing confidence intervals with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Wanrong Zhu , Zhipeng Lou , Ziyang Wei , Wei Biao Wu

We address functional uncertainty quantification for ill-posed inverse problems where it is possible to evaluate a possibly rank-deficient forward model, the observation noise distribution is known, and there are known parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Michael Stanley , Pau Batlle , Pratik Patil , Houman Owhadi , Mikael Kuusela

We develop a uniform inference theory for high-dimensional slope parameters in threshold regression models, allowing for either cross-sectional or time series data. We first establish oracle inequalities for prediction errors, and L1…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-16 Jiatong Li , Hongqiang Yan

Statistical inference in high-dimensional settings is challenging when standard unregularized methods are employed. In this work, we focus on the case of multiple correlated proportions for which we develop a Bayesian inference framework.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Max Westphal

A new computation method of frequentist $p$-values and Bayesian posterior probabilities based on the bootstrap probability is discussed for the multivariate normal model with unknown expectation parameter vector. The null hypothesis is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Hidetoshi Shimodaira

Cox proportional hazards model with measurement errors is considered. In Kukush and Chernova (2017), we elaborated a simultaneous estimator of the baseline hazard rate $\lambda(\cdot)$ and the regression parameter $\beta$, with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-06 Oksana Chernova , Alexander Kukush

Modern problems in statistics tend to include estimators of high computational complexity and with complicated distributions. Statistical inference on such estimators usually relies on asymptotic normality assumptions, however, such…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-08 Eyal Fisher , Regev Schweiger , Saharon Rosset

This work presents a novel simulation-based approach for constructing confidence regions in parametric models, which is particularly suited for generative models and situations where limited data and conventional asymptotic approximations…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Elena Bortolato , Laura Ventura

In this paper, we investigate the supremum-norm generalization error and the uniform inference for a specific class of kernel regression methods, namely the kernel gradient flows. Under the widely adopted capacity-source condition framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Yuqian Cheng , Zhuo Chen , Qian Lin

This paper studies simultaneous inference of conditional distributions in nonlinear time series from a sieve M-regression perspective. Existing literature on sieve M-regression has primarily focused on pointwise asymptotics, leaving the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Tianpai Luo , Zhou Zhou

This article concerns the application of bootstrap methodology to construct a likelihood-based confidence region for operating conditions associated with the maximum of a response surface constrained to a specified region. Unlike classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-11-14 Roger D. Gibb , I-Li Lu , Walter H. Carter

This paper takes a step towards addressing the difficulty of constructing Control Barrier Functions (CBFs) for parallel safety boundaries. A single CBF for both boundaries has been reported to be difficult to validate for safety, and we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Kwang Hak Kim , Mamadou Diagne , Miroslav Krstić