English
Related papers

Related papers: Statistics-Free Sports Prediction

200 papers

Tennis is a popular sport worldwide, boasting millions of fans and numerous national and international tournaments. Like many sports, tennis has benefitted from the popularity of rigorous record-keeping of game and player information, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-09 Zijian Gao , Amanda Kowalczyk

The field of quantitative analytics has transformed the world of sports over the last decade. To date, these analytic approaches are statistical at their core, characterizing what is and what was, while using this information to drive…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Connor Douglas , Everett Witt , Mia Bendy , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

Evaluating the overall ability of players in the National Hockey League (NHL) is a difficult task. Existing methods such as the famous "plus/minus" statistic have many shortcomings. Standard linear regression methods work well when player…

Applications · Statistics 2013-03-01 A. C. Thomas , Samuel L. Ventura , Shane Jensen , Stephen Ma

We examine whether social data can be used to predict how members of Major League Baseball (MLB) and members of the National Basketball Association (NBA) transition between teams during their career. We find that incorporating social data…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-02 Emily J. Evans , Rebecca Jones , Joseph Leung , Benjamin Z. Webb

Cricket is unarguably one of the most popular sports in the world. Predicting the outcome of a cricket match has become a fundamental problem as we are advancing in the field of machine learning. Multiple researchers have tried to predict…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Harsh Mittal , Deepak Rikhari , Jitendra Kumar , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

In the sports of soccer, hockey and basketball the most commonly used statistics for player performance assessment are divided into two categories: offensive statistics and defensive statistics. However, qualitative assessments of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-04 Shael Brown

Professional team sports provide an excellent domain for studying the dynamics of social competitions. These games are constructed with simple, well-defined rules and payoffs that admit a high-dimensional set of possible actions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-06-17 Leto Peel , Aaron Clauset

Do NFL teams make rational decisions? What factors potentially affect the probability of wining a game in NFL? How can a team come back from a demoralizing interception? In this study we begin by examining the hypothesis of rational…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-08 Konstantinos Pelechrinis , Evangelos Papalexakis

The goal of this paper is to develop an adjusted plus-minus statistic for NHL players that is independent of both teammates and opponents. We use data from the shift reports on NHL.com in a weighted least squares regression to estimate an…

Applications · Statistics 2011-11-28 Brian Macdonald

The main objective of this paper is to investigate the extent to which the margin of victory can be predicted solely by the rankings of the opposing teams in NCAA Division I men's basketball games. Several past studies have modeled this…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-14 David Beaudoin , Thierry Duchesne

This article describes an application of three well-known statistical methods in the field of game-tree search: using a large number of classified Othello positions, feature weights for evaluation functions with a game-phase-independent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-11-17 M. Buro

Nowadays, it becomes a common practice to capture some data of sports games with devices such as GPS sensors and cameras and then use the data to perform various analyses on sports games, including tactics discovery, similar game retrieval,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Qianru Zhang , Zheng Wang , Cheng Long , Siu-Ming Yiu

Forecasting sporting events encapsulate a compelling intellectual endeavor, underscored by the substantial financial activity of an estimated $80 billion wagered in global sports betting during 2022, a trend that grows yearly. Motivated by…

Predicting the results of soccer matches is of great interest. This is not only due to the popularity of the sport and the joy of private "betting rounds", but also due to the large sports betting market. Where previously expert knowledge…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-09 Mirko Fischer , Andreas Heuer

Time series forecasting is one of the most active research topics. Machine learning methods have been increasingly adopted to solve these predictive tasks. However, in a recent work, these were shown to systematically present a lower…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-01 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares

Soccer attracts the attention of many researchers and professionals in the sports industry. Therefore, the incorporation of science into the sport is constantly growing, with increasing investments in performance analysis and sports…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Eduardo Alves Baratela , Felipe Jordão Xavier , Thomas Peron , Paulino Ribeiro Villas-Boas , Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues

Expected points is a value function fundamental to player evaluation and strategic in-game decision-making across sports analytics, particularly in American football. To estimate expected points, football analysts use machine learning…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-10 Ryan S. Brill , Ryan Yee , Sameer K. Deshpande , Abraham J. Wyner

Throughout the analytical revolution that has occurred in the NBA, the development of specific metrics and formulas has given teams, coaches, and players a new way to see the game. However - the question arises - how can we verify any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Eamon Mukhopadhyay

Box score statistics are the baseline measures of performance for National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) basketball. Between the 2011-2012 and 2015-2016 seasons, NCAA teams performed better at home compared to on the road in nearly…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-11 Matthew van Bommel , Luke Bornn , Peter Chow-White , Chuancong Gao

Sports leagues consist of conferences subdivided into divisions. Teams play a number of games within their divisions and fewer games against teams in different divisions and conferences. Usually, a league structure remains stable from one…

Applications · Statistics 2013-02-20 Brian Macdonald , William Pulleyblank