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Interventional causal models describe several joint distributions over some variables used to describe a system, one for each intervention setting. They provide a formal recipe for how to move between the different joint distributions and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-06 Eigil F. Rischel , Sebastian Weichwald

Spatial models for areal data are often constructed such that all pairs of adjacent regions are assumed to have near-identical spatial autocorrelation. In practice, data can exhibit dependence structures more complicated than can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-04 Michael F. Christensen , Peter D. Hoff

Linear structural equation models relate the components of a random vector using linear interdependencies and Gaussian noise. Each such model can be naturally associated with a mixed graph whose vertices correspond to the components of the…

The prevalence of multivariate space-time data collected from monitoring networks and satellites, or generated from numerical models, has brought much attention to multivariate spatio-temporal statistical models, where the covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-14 Huang Huang , Ying Sun , Marc G. Genton

A social system is susceptible to perturbation when its collective properties depend sensitively on a few pivotal components. Using the information geometry of minimal models from statistical physics, we develop an approach to identify…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-06 Edward D. Lee , Daniel M. Katz , Michael J. Bommarito , Paul Ginsparg

We report the existence of deterministic patterns in plots showing the relationship between the mean and the Fano factor (ratio of variance and mean) of stochastic count data. These patterns are found in a wide variety of datasets,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-29 Zhixing Cao , Yiling Wang , Ramon Grima

Heteroscedasticity -- where the variance of a variable changes with other variables -- is pervasive in real data, and elucidating why it arises from the perspective of statistical moments is crucial in scientific knowledge discovery and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Yoichi Chikahara

Context: Statistical properties of the cosmic density fields are to a large extent encoded in the shape of the one-point density probability distribution functions (PDF). In order to successfully exploit such observables, a detailed…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-20 Francis Bernardeau

Latent variable models are popularly used to measure latent factors (e.g., abilities and personalities) from large-scale assessment data. Beyond understanding these latent factors, the covariate effect on responses controlling for latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Jing Ouyang , Chengyu Cui , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Sheng Jiang , Surya T. Tokdar

Locally weighted regression was created as a nonparametric learning method that is computationally efficient, can learn from very large amounts of data and add data incrementally. An interesting feature of locally weighted regression is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-05 Franziska Meier , Philipp Hennig , Stefan Schaal

In this paper, we propose a general framework for designing sensing matrix $\boldsymbol{A} \in \mathbb{R}^{d\times p}$, for estimation of sparse covariance matrix from compressed measurements of the form $\boldsymbol{y} =…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Muralikrishnna G. Sethuraman , Hang Zhang , Faramarz Fekri

Compositional data have two unique characteristics compared to typical multivariate data: the observed values are nonnegative and their summand is exactly one. To reflect these characteristics, a specific regularized regression model with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-24 Jong-June Jeon , Yongdai Kim , Sungho Won , Hosik Choi

In this paper we consider the axiomatic characterization of information and certainty measures in a unified way. We present the general axiomatic system which captures the common properties of a large number of the measures previously…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-17 Velimir M. Ilic , Miomir S. Stankovic

We present a novel extension of multi-output Gaussian processes for handling heterogeneous outputs. We assume that each output has its own likelihood function and use a vector-valued Gaussian process prior to jointly model the parameters in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-04 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Many economic variables feature changes in their conditional mean and volatility, and Time Varying Vector Autoregressive Models are often used to handle such complexity in the data. Unfortunately, when the number of series grows, they…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-19 G. Cubadda , S. Grassi , B. Guardabascio

In this paper, we consider a bidimensional autoregressive model of order 1 with $\alpha-$stable noise. Since in this case the classical measure of dependence known as the covariance function is not defined, the spatio-temporal dependence…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-27 Aleksandra Grzesiek , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

Change point tests for abrupt changes in the mean of functional data, i.e., random elements in infinite-dimensional Hilbert spaces, are either based on dimension reduction techniques, e.g., based on principal components, or directly based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Claudia Kirch , Hedvika Ranošová , Martin Wendler

Estimation of mean and covariance functions is fundamental for functional data analysis. While this topic has been studied extensively in the literature, a key assumption is that there are enough data in the domain of interest to estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-01 Zhenhua Lin , Jane-Ling Wang , Qixian Zhong

Consider a high-dimensional linear regression problem, where the number of covariates is larger than the number of observations and the interest is in estimating the conditional variance of the response variable given the covariates. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-29 David Azriel