English

Universal deterministic patterns in stochastic count data

Quantitative Methods 2024-05-29 v1 Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability Physics and Society

Abstract

We report the existence of deterministic patterns in plots showing the relationship between the mean and the Fano factor (ratio of variance and mean) of stochastic count data. These patterns are found in a wide variety of datasets, including those from genomics, paper citations, commerce, ecology, disease outbreaks, and employment statistics. We develop a theory showing that the patterns naturally emerge when data sampled from discrete probability distributions is organised in matrix form. The theory precisely predicts the patterns and shows that they are a function of only one variable - the sample size.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2405.17530,
  title  = {Universal deterministic patterns in stochastic count data},
  author = {Zhixing Cao and Yiling Wang and Ramon Grima},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.17530},
  year   = {2024}
}

Comments

13 pages, 5 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-28T16:42:43.429Z