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Waiting-time statistics are generated from the Olami-Feder-Christensen model and shown to mimic some aspects of real seismicity. Preliminary analysis of the model data implies a recently proposed universal scaling law for the distribution…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-09-08 Morgan Hedges , George Takacs

Aftershocks of aftershocks - and their aftershock cascades - substantially contribute to the increased seismicity rate and the associated elevated seismic hazard after the occurrence of a large earthquake. Current state-of-the-art…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-11-07 Leila Mizrahi , Dario Jozinović

Tree-grass coexistence in savanna ecosystems depends strongly on environmental disturbances out of which crucial is fire. Most modeling attempts in the literature lack stochastic approach to fire occurrences which is essential to reflect…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Paweł Klimasara , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

The final size of an earthquake typically cannot be predicted from its ongoing seismic radiation. Expanding observations reveal distinct exceptions, such as slow earthquakes, injection-induced seismicity, and earthquake swarms, in which…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-05-19 Dye SK Sato , Keisuke Yoshida

Ruptures of the largest earthquakes can last between a few seconds and several minutes. An early assessment of the final earthquake size is essential for early warning systems. However, it is still unclear when in the rupture history this…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-07-08 Jannes Münchmeyer , Ulf Leser , Frederik Tilmann

The classic Vicsek model [Phys.Rev.Lett. {\bf75},1226(1995)] is studied in the regime of very low noise intensities, which is shown to be characterized by a cluster (MC) that contains a macroscopic fraction of the system particles. It is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-09-26 Lucas Barberis

In earthquake source inversions aimed at understanding diverse fault activities on earthquake faults using seismic observation data, uncertainties in velocity structure models are typically not considered. As a result, biases and…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-01-31 Ryoichiro Agata

Short and long range interactions between earthquakes are attracting increasing interest. Scale invariant properties of seismicity in time, space and energy argue for the presence of complex triggering mechanisms where, like a cascade…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Patrizia Tosi , Valerio De Rubeis , Vittorio Loreto , Luciano Pietronero

The one-dimensional forest-fire model including lightnings is studied numerically and analytically. For the tree correlation function, a new correlation length with critical exponent \nu ~ 5/6 is found by simulations. A Hamiltonian…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-02-24 A. Honecker , I. Peschel

Declustering aims to divide earthquake catalogs into independent events (mainshocks), and dependent (clustered) events, and is an integral component of many seismicity studies, including seismic hazard assessment. We assess the effect of…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-02-17 Leila Mizrahi , Shyam Nandan , Stefan Wiemer

Wood is a multi-scale material exhibiting a complex viscoplastic response. We study avalanches in small wood samples in compression. "Woodquakes" measured by acoustic emission are surprisingly similar to earthquakes and crackling noise in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-01 Tero Mäkinen , Amandine Miksic , Markus Ovaska , Mikko J. Alava

We report on slow earthquakes in Northern Cascadia, and show that continuous seismic energy in the subduction zone follows specific patterns leading to failure. We rely on machine learning models to map characteristic energy signals from…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-09-17 Claudia Hulbert , Bertrand Rouet-Leduc , Paul A. Johnson

Accurate spatiotemporal modeling of conditions leading to moderate and large wildfires provides better understanding of mechanisms driving fire-prone ecosystems and improves risk management. We here develop a joint model for the occurrence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Jonathan Koh , François Pimont , Jean-Luc Dupuy , Thomas Opitz

Precisely classifying earthquake types is crucial for elucidating the relationship between volcanic earthquakes and volcanic activity. However, traditional methods rely on subjective human judgment, which requires considerable time and…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-07-22 Y. Suzuki , Y. Yukutake , T. Ohminato , M. Yamasaki , Ahyi Kim

Fault ruptures of regular earthquakes typically grow in a self-similar manner, where the radiated energy is proportional to the seismic moment. Their proportionality factor, termed as scaled energy, has been conventionally described as the…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-06-19 Dye SK Sato

Coulomb-stress theory has been used for years in seismology to understand how earthquakes trigger each other. Whenever an earthquake occurs, the stress field changes, and places with positive increases are brought closer to failure.…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-07-31 Víctor Navas-Portella , Abigail Jiménez , Álvaro Corral

Earthquakes occur because of abrupt slips on faults due to accumulated stress in the Earth's crust. Because most of these faults and their mechanisms are not readily apparent, deterministic earthquake prediction is difficult. For effective…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-31 Yosihiko Ogata

We present results from a physical experiment which demonstrates that a sheared granular medium behaves in a manner analogous to earthquake activity. The device consists of an annular plate rotating over a granular medium in a stick-slip…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Fergal Dalton , David Corcoran

Earthquake network is known to be of the small-world type. The values of the network characteristics, however, depend not only on the cell size (i.e., the scale of coarse graining needed for constructing the network) but also on the size of…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-05-19 Sumiyoshi Abe , Denisse Pasten , Norikazu Suzuki

The level-set method is a prominent approach to modelling the evolution of a fire over time based on a characterised rate of spread. It however does not provide a direct means for assimilating new data and quantifying uncertainty. Fire…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-20 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , James Hilton , Stephane Mangeon , Petra Kuhnert
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