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While sensitivity analysis improves the transparency and reliability of mathematical models, its uptake by modelers is still scarce. This is partially explained by its technical requirements, which may be hard to understand and implement by…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-20 Arnald Puy , Pamphile T. Roy , Andrea Saltelli

Weighting methods are popular tools for estimating causal effects; assessing their robustness under unobserved confounding is important in practice. In the following paper, we introduce a new set of sensitivity models called "variance-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-14 Melody Huang , Samuel D. Pimentel

Monte-Carlo valuation engines can generate pathwise sensitivities of a derivative value with respect to a high-dimensional vector of model primitives. Hedge ratios with respect to market instruments are then linked to these primitive…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-26 Christian P Fries

Global sensitivity analysis of a numerical code, more specifically estimation of Sobol indices associated with input variables, generally requires a large number of model runs. When those demand too much computation time, it is necessary to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2012-01-16 Alexandre Janon , Maëlle Nodet , Clémentine Prieur

This paper studies sensitivity analysis of Stochastic Frontier Models. We elaborate relaxations of the baseline assumptions in the Stochastic Frontier Models and characterize the identified set under this relaxations. Furthermore, we derive…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-30 Santiago Acerenza , Francisco Rosas

This work introduces the use of multivariate global sensitivity analysis for assessing the impact of uncertain electric machine design parameters on efficiency maps and profiles. Contrary to the common approach of applying variance-based…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Aylar Partovizadeh , Sebastian Schöps , Dimitrios Loukrezis

We introduce a novel framework to account for sensitivity to rewards uncertainty in sequential decision-making problems. While risk-sensitive formulations for Markov decision processes studied so far focus on the distribution of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-16 Nelson Vadori , Sumitra Ganesh , Prashant Reddy , Manuela Veloso

The accuracy of probability distributions inferred using machine-learning algorithms heavily depends on data availability and quality. In practical applications it is therefore fundamental to investigate the robustness of a statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-01 Christiane Goergen , Manuele Leonelli

In this paper, we introduce new indices adapted to outputs valued in general metric spaces. This new class of indices encompasses the classical ones; in particular, the so-called Sobol indices and the Cram{\'e}r-von-Mises indices.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Fabrice Gamboa , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Leonardo Moreno

Variance-based sensitivity indices have established themselves as a reference among practitioners of sensitivity analysis of model output. It is not unusual to consider a variance-based sensitivity analysis as informative if it produces at…

One of the fundamental challenges in drawing causal inferences from observational studies is that the assumption of no unmeasured confounding is not testable from observed data. Therefore, assessing sensitivity to this assumption's…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-25 Md Abdul Basit , Mahbub A. H. M. Latif , Abdus S Wahed

Global sensitivity analysis aims at quantifying respective effects of input random variables (or combinations thereof) onto variance of a physical or mathematical model response. Among the abundant literature on sensitivity measures, Sobol'…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-12 E. Burnaev , I. Panin , B. Sudret

Instrumental variables regression is a tool that is commonly used in the analysis of observational data. The instrumental variables are used to make causal inference about the effect of a certain exposure in the presence of unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-07 Valentin Vancak , Arvid Sjölander

We propose and discuss sensitivity metrics for reliability analysis, which are based on the value of information. These metrics are easier to interpret than other existing sensitivity metrics in the context of a specific decision and they…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-03 Daniel Straub , Max Ehre , Iason Papaioannou

ANOVA decomposition of function with random input variables provides ANOVA functionals (AFs), which contain information about the contributions of the input variables on the output variable(s). By embedding AFs into an appropriate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Matieyendou Lamboni

Bayesian networks are one of the most widely used classes of probabilistic models for risk management and decision support because of their interpretability and flexibility in including heterogeneous pieces of information. In any applied…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Manuele Leonelli , Jim Q. Smith , Sophia K. Wright

Most analyses of randomised trials with incomplete outcomes make untestable assumptions and should therefore be subjected to sensitivity analyses. However, methods for sensitivity analyses are not widely used. We propose a mean score…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-21 Ian R. White , James Carpenter , Nicholas J. Horton

Rare events play a key role in many applications and numerous algorithms have been proposed for estimating the probability of a rare event. However, relatively little is known on how to quantify the sensitivity of the probability with…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-06 Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis , Luc Rey-Bellet

In the context of computer code experiments, sensitivity analysis of a complicated input-output system is often performed by ranking the so-called Sobol indices. One reason of the popularity of Sobol's approach relies on the simplicity of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-30 R. Fraiman , F. Gamboa , L. Moreno

The R package "sensobol" provides several functions to conduct variance-based uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, from the estimation of sensitivity indices to the visual representation of the results. It implements several…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-06 Arnald Puy , Samuele Lo Piano , Andrea Saltelli , Simon A. Levin
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