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The traditional more-is-better dose selection paradigm, developed based on cytotoxic chemotherapeutics, is often problematic When applied to the development of novel molecularly targeted agents (e.g., kinase inhibitors, monoclonal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-04 Liyun Jiang , Ying Yuan

We study optimal block designs for comparing a set of test treatments with a control treatment. We provide the class of all E-optimal approximate block designs characterized by simple linear constraints. Employing this characterization, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-19 Samuel Rosa

Under two-phase designs, the outcome and several covariates and confounders are measured in the first phase, and a new predictor of interest, which may be costly to collect, can be measured on a subsample in the second phase, without…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-12 Jingjing Zou , Lori B. Daniels , Karen Messer , Daniel Rabinowitz

If explicit, formal consideration of clinical pharmacology at all informs the design and conduct of modern oncology dose-finding trials, the designs themselves hardly attest to this. Yet in conducting a trial, investigators affirm that they…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-25 David C. Norris

The primary goal of a two-stage Phase I/II trial is to identify the optimal dose for the following large-scale Phase III trial. Recently, Phase I dose-finding designs have shifted from identifying the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-16 Hao Sun , Jerry Li

This paper discusses the problem of determining optimal designs for regression models, when the observations are dependent and taken on an interval. A complete solution of this challenging optimal design problem is given for a broad class…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-25 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

The purpose of a phase I dose-finding clinical trial is to investigate the toxicity profiles of various doses for a new drug and identify the maximum tolerated dose. Over the past three decades, various dose-finding designs have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-25 Yunshan Duan , Shijie Yuan , Yuan Ji , Peter Mueller

We consider the problem of how to assign treatment in a randomized experiment, in which the correlation among the outcomes is informed by a network available pre-intervention. Working within the potential outcome causal framework, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-19 Guillaume W. Basse , Edoardo M. Airoldi

The e-value is gaining traction as a robust alternative to p-values and Bayes factors for quantifying statistical evidence. e-values are a promising method for adaptive clinical trials due to their anytime-validity: e-values ensure type I…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Stef Baas , Judith ter Schure , Joost van Rosmalen

Identifying subgroups, which respond differently to a treatment, both in terms of efficacy and safety, is an important part of drug development. A well-known challenge in exploratory subgroup analyses is the small sample size in the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-28 Marius Thomas , Björn Bornkamp

The US FDA's Project Optimus initiative that emphasizes dose optimization prior to marketing approval represents a pivotal shift in oncology drug development. It has a ripple effect for rethinking what changes may be made to conventional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-04 Yuhan Li , Yiding Zhang , Gu Mi , Ji Lin

In the chemical, pharmaceutical, and food industries, sometimes the order of adding a set of components has an impact on the final product. These are instances of the order-of-addition (OofA) problem, which aims to find the optimal sequence…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-07 Jiayi Zheng , Nicholas Rios

What is the purpose of pre-analysis plans, and how should they be designed? We model the interaction between an agent who analyzes data and a principal who makes a decision based on agent reports. The agent could be the manufacturer of a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-30 Maximilian Kasy , Jann Spiess

Traditional phase I dose finding cancer clinical trial designs aim to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) of the investigational cytotoxic agent based on a single toxicity outcome, assuming a monotone dose-response relationship.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Hao Sun , Hsin-Yu Lin , Jieqi Tu , Revathi Ananthakrishnan , Eunhee Kim

With the development of novel therapies such as molecularly targeted agents and immunotherapy, the maximum tolerated dose paradigm that "more is better" does not necessarily hold anymore. In this context, doses and schedules of novel…

Early phase, personalized dose-finding trials for combination therapies seek to identify patient-specific optimal biological dose (OBD) combinations, which are defined as safe dose combinations which maximize therapeutic benefit for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-18 James Willard , Shirin Golchi , Erica EM Moodie

We consider the problem of constructing optimal designs for model discrimination between competing regression models. Various new properties of optimal designs with respect to the popular $T$-optimality criterion are derived, which in many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Holger Dette , Stefanie Titoff

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for estimating the causal effects of an intervention. In the simplest setting, each experimental unit is randomly assigned to receive treatment or control, and then the outcomes in each treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-05 Guillaume Basse , Yi Ding , Panos Toulis

The subject of this work is two treatment groups random coefficient regression models, in which observational units receive some group-specific treatments. We provide A- and D-optimality criteria for the estimation of the fixed parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Maryna Prus

We consider the problem of selecting the optimal subgroup to treat when data on covariates is available from a randomized trial or observational study. We distinguish between four different settings including (i) treatment selection when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-28 Tyler J. VanderWeele , Alex R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan , Ronald C. Kessler