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We study a continuous time branching process where an individual splits into two daughters with rate b and dies with rate a, starting from a single individual at t=0. We show that the model can be mapped exactly to a random walk problem…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-13 Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso

It is argued that there is a need for fat-tailed distributions that become thin in the extreme tail. A 3-parameter distribution is introduced that visually resembles the t-distribution and interpolates between the normal distribution and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Rose D Baker

Stem cells, through their ability to produce daughter stem cells and differentiate into specialized cells, are essential in the growth, maintenance, and repair of biological tissues. Understanding the dynamics of cell populations in the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-02 Huyen Nguyen , Haim Bar , Zhiyi Chi , Vladimir Pozdnyakov

Countably infinite systems of linear ODEs arise as forward equations for many continuous-time Markov processes. The standard recipe -- truncate to a finite cap N and exponentiate -- pays cubic cost in N and a time-growing boundary-feedback…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Joshua C Chang

A critical branching process $\left\{Z_{k},k=0,1,2,...\right\} $ in a random environment generated by a sequence of independent and identically distributed random reproduction laws is considered.\ Let $Z_{p,n}$ be the number of particles at…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-30 V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

Let $\left\{ Z(n),n\geq 1\right\} $ be a critical Galton-Watson branching process with finite variance for the offspring size of particles. Assuming that $0<Z(n)\leq \varphi (n)$, where either $\varphi (n)=an$ for some $a>0$ or $\varphi…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-11 Minzhi Liu , Vladimir Vatutin

A critical branching process with immigration which evolve in a random environment is considered. Assuming that immigration is not allowed when there are no individuals in the aboriginal population we investigate the tail distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-10 Elena Dyakonova , Doudou Li , Vladimir Vatutin , Mei Zhang

The aim of this paper is to investigate how the correlation properties of a stationary Markovian stochastic processes affect the First Passage Time distribution. First Passage Time issues are a classical topic in stochastic processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-03-31 S. Micciché

We consider a branching random walk on $\mathbb{Z}$ started by $n$ particles at the origin, where each particle disperses according to a mean-zero random walk with bounded support and reproduces with mean number of offspring $1+\theta/n$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Eyal Neuman , Xinghua Zheng

Regularity properties of solutions to variational problems are established for a broad class of strictly convex splitting-type energy densities of the principal form $f$: $\mathbb{R}^2 \to \mathbb{R}$, \[ f(\xi_1,\xi_2) = f_1\big( \xi_1…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-08-13 Michael Bildhauer , Martin Fuchs

We consider random walks amongst random conductances in the cases where the conductances can be arbitrarily small, with a heavy-tailed distribution at 0, and where the conductances may or may not have a heavy-tailed distribution at…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-19 David A. Croydon , Daniel Kious , Carlo Scali

We consider Galton-Watson branching processes with countable typeset $\mathcal{X}$. We study the vectors ${\bf q}(A)=(q_x(A))_{x\in\mathcal{X}}$ recording the conditional probabilities of extinction in subsets of types $A\subseteq…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Daniela Bertacchi , Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , Fabio Zucca

We investigate a two-type critical Bellman--Harris branching process with the following properties: the tail of the life-length distribution of the first type particles is of order $o(t^{-2})$; the tail of the life-length distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-06 Vladimir Vatutin , Alexander Iksanov , Valentin Topchii

We show that a large class of stationary continuous-time regenerative processes are finitarily isomorphic to one another. The key is showing that any stationary renewal point process whose jump distribution is absolutely continuous with…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Yinon Spinka

In this work, we introduce a spatial branching process to model the growth of the mycelial network of a filamentous fungus. In this model, each filament is described by the position of its tip, the trajectory of which is solution to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Lena Kuwata

Consider $n$ i.i.d. random vectors on $\mathbb{R}^2$, with unknown, common distribution function $F$. Under a sharpening of the extreme value condition on $F$, we derive a weighted approximation of the corresponding tail copula process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 John H. J. Einmahl , Laurens de Haan , Deyuan Li

We consider the behaviour of branching-selection particle systems in the large population limit. The dynamics of these systems is the combination of the following three components: (a) Motion: particles move on the real line according to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Jean Bérard , Brieuc Frénais

We study a continuous-time branching random walk on the lattice $\mathbb{Z}^{d}$, $d\in \mathbb{N}$, with a single source of branching, that is the lattice point where the birth and death of particles can occur. The random walk is assumed…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-23 Anastasiya Rytova , Elena Yarovaya

It is well known that a supercritical single-type Bienyam\'e-Galton-Watson process can be viewed as a decomposable branching process formed by two subtypes of particles: those having infinite line of descent and those who have finite number…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-21 Serik Sagitov , Altynay Shaimerdenova

Tail risk measures are fully determined by the distribution of the underlying loss beyond its quantile at a certain level, with Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall and Range Value-at-Risk being prime examples. They are induced by law-based…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-07 Tobias Fissler , Fangda Liu , Ruodu Wang , Linxiao Wei