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In this paper, we consider time-inhomogeneous branching processes and time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes, in which the offspring distribution and birth and death rates (respectively) vary in time. A classical result of branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Nicholas Bhattacharya , Mark Perlman

Although power laws of the Zipf type have been used by many workers to fit rank distributions in different fields like in economy, geophysics, genetics, soft-matter, networks etc., these fits usually fail at the tails. Some distributions…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-10-12 Gerardo G. Naumis , Germinal Cocho

Consider a heavy-tailed branching process (denoted by $Z_{n}$) in random environments, under the condition which infers that $\mathbb{E}\log m(\xi_{0})=\infty$. We show that (1) there exists no proper $c_{n}$ such that $\{Z_{n}/c_{n}\}$ has…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Wenming Hong , Xiaoyue Zhang

Proliferating cell populations at steady state growth often exhibit broad protein distributions with exponential tails. The sources of this variation and its universality are of much theoretical interest. Here we address the problem by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-24 Tamar Friedlander , Naama Brenner

Conditioning a multitype Galton-Watson process to stay alive into the indefinite future leads to what is known as its associated $Q$-process. We show that the same holds true if the process is conditioned to reach a positive threshold or a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-09 Sophie Pénisson

We consider population-size-dependent branching processes (PSDBPs) which eventually become extinct with probability one. For these processes, we derive maximum likelihood estimators for the mean number of offspring born to individuals when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , Carmen Minuesa

For a branching process in random environment it is assumed that the offspring distribution of the individuals varies in a random fashion, independently from one generation to the other. Interestingly there is the possibility that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-07 V. I. Afanasyev , C. Boeinghoff , G. Kersting , V. A. Vatutin

Tail asymptotics of the solution $R$ to a fixpoint problem of type $R =_{st} Q + \sum_1^N R_m$ is derived under heavy-tailed conditions allowing both dependence between $Q$ and $N$ and the tails to be of the same order of magnitude. Similar…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Søren Asmussen , Sergey Foss

The optimal fluctuation approach is applied to study the most distant (non-universal) tails of the free-energy distribution function P(F) for an elastic string (of a large but finite length L) interacting with a quenched random potential. A…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 I. V. Kolokolov , S. E. Korshunov

A model of homogeneously driven dissipative system, consisting of a collection of $N$ particles that are characterized by only their velocities, is considered. Adopting a discrete time dynamics, at each time step, a pair of velocities is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-30 V. V. Prasad , Sanjib Sabhapandit , Abhishek Dhar

A phase-type distribution is the distribution of the time until absorption in a finite state-space time-homogeneous Markov jump process, with one absorbing state and the rest being transient. These distributions are mathematically tractable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-08 Martin Bladt , Jorge Yslas

We consider a class of multitype Galton-Watson branching processes with a countably infinite type set $\mathcal{X}_d$ whose mean progeny matrices have a block lower Hessenberg form. For these processes, the probability $\boldsymbol{q}(A)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne

We consider the critical branching processes in correlated random environment which is positively associated and study the probability of survival up to the n-th generation. Moreover, when the environment is given by fractional Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Xinxin Chen , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard

We define discrete generating series for arbitrary functions \( f \colon \mathbb{Z}^n \rightarrow \mathbb{C} \) and derive functional relations that these series satisfy. For linear difference equations with constant coefficients, we…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Vitaly Alekseev , Tom Cuchta , Alexander Lyapin

Epidemics unfold by means of a spreading process from each infected individual to a random number of secondary cases. It has been claimed that the so-called superspreading events in COVID-19 are governed by a power-law tailed distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-29 Carles Falcó , Álvaro Corral

Motivated by the growing interest in sound forecast evaluation techniques with an emphasis on distribution tails rather than average behaviour, we investigate a fundamental question arising in this context: Can statistical features of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-08 Jonas Brehmer , Kirstin Strokorb

It has been observed in numerous experiments, simulations, and various theoretical treatments that the spreading of particles can be modeled by the continuous-time random walk. We consider two well-known cases, i.e., Gaussian displacements…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-21 Wanli Wang , Kaixin Zhang , Yuda Cheng

The work continues the author's many-year research in theory of maximal branching processes, which are obtained from classical branching processes by replacing the summation of descendant numbers with taking the maximum. One can say that in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Alexey V. Lebedev

We study survival properties of inhomogeneous Galton-Watson processes. We determine the so-called branching number (which is the reciprocal of the critical value for percolation) for these random trees (conditioned on being infinite), which…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-22 Erik Broman , Ronald Meester

We consider strictly stationary heavy tailed time series whose finite-dimensional exponent measures are concentrated on axes, and hence their extremal properties cannot be tackled using classical multivariate regular variation that is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-10 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier
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