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Machine learning (ML) is increasingly used in high-stakes settings, yet multiplicity - the existence of multiple good models - means that some predictions are essentially arbitrary. ML researchers and philosophers posit that multiplicity…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Anna P. Meyer , Yea-Seul Kim , Aws Albarghouthi , Loris D'Antoni

The Random Parameters model was proposed to explain the structure of the covariance matrix in problems where most, but not all, of the eigenvalues of the covariance matrix can be explained by Random Matrix Theory. In this article, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Camilo Rodrigues Neto , Andr\' e C. R. Martins

The field of Machine Learning has changed significantly since the 1970s. However, its most basic principle, Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM), remains unchanged. We propose Functional Risk Minimization~(FRM), a general framework where…

By discussing several examples, the theory of generalized functional models is shown to be very natural for modeling some situations of reasoning under uncertainty. A generalized functional model is a pair (f, P) where f is a function…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Paul-Andre Monney

Factorial designs are widely used due to their ability to accommodate multiple factors simultaneously. The factor-based regression with main effects and some interactions is the dominant strategy for downstream data analysis, delivering…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-09 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding

We present a brief overview of the methods for making statistical inference (testing statistical hypotheses, construction of confidence and/or prediction intervals and regions) about linear functions of the fixed effects and/or about the…

Computation · Statistics 2013-01-07 Viktor Witkovský

We introduce a new mathematical framework for the probabilistic description of an experiment upon a system of any type in terms of initial information representing this system. Based on the notions of an information state, an information…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Elena R. Loubenets

Practical problems with missing data are common, and statistical methods have been developed concerning the validity and/or efficiency of statistical procedures. On a central focus, there have been longstanding interests on the mechanism…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-26 Rui Duan , C. Jason Liang , Pamela Shaw , Cheng Yong Tang , Yong Chen

Random effects are the gold standard for capturing structural heterogeneity in data, such as spatial dependencies, individual differences, or temporal dependencies. However, testing for their presence is challenging, as it involves a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Fabio Vieira , Hongwei Zhao , Joris Mulder

A random set is a generalisation of a random variable, i.e. a set-valued random variable. The random set theory allows a unification of other uncertainty descriptions such as interval variable, mass belief function in Dempster-Shafer theory…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Truong-Vinh Hoang , Hermann G. Matthies

We show how random matrix theory can be applied to develop new algorithms to extract dynamic factors from macroeconomic time series. In particular, we consider a limit where the number of random variables N and the number of consecutive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-19 Małgorzata Snarska

The compactness phenomenon is one of the featured aspects of structuralism in mathematics. In simple and broad words, a compactness property holds in a structure if a related property is satisfied by sufficiently many substructures of that…

Logic · Mathematics 2024-08-29 Rahman Mohammadpour

Selective inference aims at providing valid inference after a data-driven selection of models or hypotheses. It is essential to avoid overconfident results and replicability issues. While significant advances have been made in this area for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Matteo D'Alessandro , Magne Thoresen

We propose a random-effects approach to missing values for generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) analysis. The method converts a GLMM with missing covariates to another GLMM without missing covariates. The standard GLMM analysis tools for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Thuan Nguyen , Jiangshan Zhang , Jiming Jiang

Fixed-order perturbative calculations for differential cross sections can suffer from non-physical artifacts: they can be non-positive, non-normalizable, and non-finite, none of which occur in experimental measurements. We propose a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-12-19 Rikab Gambhir , Radha Mastandrea

Quantifying the usefulness of individual features in random forests learning can greatly enhance its interpretability. Existing studies have shown that some popularly used feature importance measures for random forests suffer from the bias…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-14 Chien-Ming Chi , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

An appeal for symmetry is made to build established notions of specific representation and specific nonlinearity of measurement (often called model error) into a canonical linear regression model. Additive components are derived from the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-19 Richard E. Danielson

Context-aware recommendation algorithms focus on refining recommendations by considering additional information, available to the system. This topic has gained a lot of attention recently. Among others, several factorization methods were…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2015-05-20 Balázs Hidasi , Domonkos Tikk

This paper discusses predictive inference and feature selection for generalized linear models with scarce but high-dimensional data. We argue that in many cases one can benefit from a decision theoretically justified two-stage approach:…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Juho Piironen , Markus Paasiniemi , Aki Vehtari

In a previous paper [Adcock & Huybrechs, 2019] we described the numerical approximation of functions using redundant sets and frames. Redundancy in the function representation offers enormous flexibility compared to using a basis, but…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-13 Ben Adcock , Daan Huybrechs