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Selberg's central limit theorem states that the values of $\log|\zeta(1/2+i \tau)|$, where $\tau$ is a uniform random variable on $[T,2T]$, is distributed like a Gaussian random variable of mean $0$ and standard deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Eli Amzallag , Louis-Pierre Arguin , Emma Bailey , Kelvin Hui , Rajesh Rao

Motivated by problems in controlled experiments, we study the discrepancy of random matrices with continuous entries where the number of columns $n$ is much larger than the number of rows $m$. Our first result shows that if $\omega(1) = m =…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Paxton Turner , Raghu Meka , Philippe Rigollet

The integer points (sites) of the real line are marked by the positions of a standard random walk. We say that the set of marked sites is weakly, moderately or strongly sparse depending on whether the jumps of the standard random walk are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-08 Dariusz Buraczewski , Piotr Dyszewski , Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych

In this paper we study sharp thresholds for detecting sparse signals in $\beta$-models for potentially sparse random graphs. The results demonstrate interesting interplay between graph sparsity, signal sparsity, and signal strength. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-30 Rajarshi Mukherjee , Sumit Mukherjee , Subhabrata Sen

We establish the satisfiability threshold for random $k$-SAT for all $k\ge k_0$, with $k_0$ an absolute constant. That is, there exists a limiting density $\alpha_*(k)$ such that a random $k$-SAT formula of clause density $\alpha$ is with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-16 Jian Ding , Allan Sly , Nike Sun

We study two one-parameter families of point processes connected to random matrices: the Sine_beta and Sch_tau processes. The first one is the bulk point process limit for the Gaussian beta-ensemble. For beta=1, 2 and 4 it gives the limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-19 Diane Holcomb , Benedek Valkó

We use the martingale-theoretic approach of game-theoretic probability to incorporate imprecision into the study of randomness. In particular, we define several notions of randomness associated with interval, rather than precise,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Gert de Cooman , Jasper De Bock

We propose a family of variational approximations to Bayesian posterior distributions, called $\alpha$-VB, with provable statistical guarantees. The standard variational approximation is a special case of $\alpha$-VB with $\alpha=1$. When…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-09 Yun Yang , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

The estimation of the diffusion matrix $\Sigma$ of a high-dimensional, possibly time-changed L\'evy process is studied, based on discrete observations of the process with a fixed distance. A low-rank condition is imposed on $\Sigma$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-05 Denis Belomestny , Mathias Trabs

The problem of non-iterative one-shot and non-destructive correction of unavoidable mistakes arises in all Artificial Intelligence applications in the real world. Its solution requires robust separation of samples with errors from samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-05 A. N. Gorban , I. Y. Tyukin

We want to select the best systems out of a given set of systems (or rank them) with respect to their expected performance. The systems allow random observations only and we assume that the joint observation of the systems has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-23 Björn Görder , Michael Kolonko

For random combinatorial optimization problems, there has been much progress in establishing laws of large numbers and computing limiting constants for the optimal value of various problems. However, there has not been as much success in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-24 Sky Cao

Let $\Gamma$ be a countable discrete group, $H$ a lcsc totally disconnected group and $\rho : \Gamma \rightarrow H$ a homomorphism with dense image. We develop a general and explicit technique which provides, for every compact open subgroup…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-06-30 Michael Björklund , Yair Hartman , Hanna Oppelmayer

In this article we consider the graph alignment problem from the perspective of high-dimensional statistics: we aim to estimate an unknown permutation $\pi^*$ from the observation of two correlated random adjacency matrices $A_1$, $A_2$. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-30 Laurent Massoulié

In this work we show how large language models (LLMs) can learn statistical dependencies between otherwise unconditionally independent variables due to dataset selection bias. To demonstrate the effect, we developed a masked gender task…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Emily McMilin

Moving from univariate to bivariate jointly dependent long-memory time series introduces a phase parameter $(\gamma)$, at the frequency of principal interest, zero; for short-memory series $\gamma=0$ automatically. The latter case has also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-07 P. M. Robinson

In population genetics, diffusions on the unit interval are often used to model the frequency path of an allele. In this setting we derive approximations for fixation probabilities, expected hitting times and the expected…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anton Wakolbinger

Our results characterize the long-term behavior for a broad class of $\Lambda$-Wright--Fisher processes with frequency-dependent and environmental selection. In particular, we reveal a rich variety of parameter-dependent behaviors and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Fernando Cordero , Sebastian Hummel , Grégoire Véchambre

For regression model selection via maximum likelihood estimation, we adopt a vector representation of candidate models and study the likelihood ratio confidence region for the regression parameter vector of a full model. We show that when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Min Tsao

We introduce a new probabilistic model of the primes consisting of integers that survive the sieving process when a random residue class is selected for every prime modulus below a specific bound. From a rigorous analysis of this model, we…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-13 William Banks , Kevin Ford , Terence Tao
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