English

Computational thresholds in high-dimensional statistics: the case of graph alignment

Probability 2025-10-30 v1

Abstract

In this article we consider the graph alignment problem from the perspective of high-dimensional statistics: we aim to estimate an unknown permutation π\pi^* from the observation of two correlated random adjacency matrices A1A_1, A2A_2. We establish the following computational thresholds. For A1A_1, A2A_2 the adjacency matrices of two correlated Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graphs G(n,p){\mathcal {G}}(n,p) in the sparse regime with average degree λ:=np=O(1)\lambda:=np= O(1) and edge correlation parameter s(0,1)s\in(0,1), we identify a critical threshold s(λ)s^*(\lambda) for ss above which a message-passing, local algorithm succeeds at alignment, and below which no local algorithm succeeds. This result crucially depends on an associated model of correlated random trees. We then consider the case where A1A_1, A2A_2 are two correlated Gaussian Wigner matrices with correlation parameter s=1/1+σ2s=1/\sqrt{1+\sigma^2} for some noise parameter σ\sigma. For a fast spectral algorithm, we identify the critical scaling for noise parameter σ\sigma at which the fraction of entries of π\pi^* correctly recovered goes from 1o(1)1-o(1) to o(1)o(1). We next consider the convex relaxation approach which obtains the doubly stochastic matrix XX that minimizes XA1A2XF\|X A_1 -A_2 X\|_F. We obtain upper and lower bounds on the critical noise parameter σ\sigma at which a simple post-processing of XX correctly recovers a fraction 1o(1)1-o(1) of entries of π\pi^*. We finally identify promising future directions on i) computational thresholds for spectral methods and convex relaxation methods of practical interest, and ii) impossibility results for broad classes of algorithms, notably low degree polynomial algorithms and local search algorithms.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2510.24914,
  title  = {Computational thresholds in high-dimensional statistics: the case of graph alignment},
  author = {Laurent Massoulié},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2510.24914},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

18 pages, submitted to the proceedings of the International Congress of Mathematicians (ICM) 2026

R2 v1 2026-07-01T07:10:32.136Z