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We establish a statistical learning theoretical framework aimed at extrapolation, or out-of-domain generalization, on the unobserved tails of covariates in continuous regression problems. Our strategy involves performing statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-15 Stephan Clémençon , Nathan Huet , Anne Sabourin

Asymptotically nonlocal field theories represent a sequence of higher-derivative theories whose limit point is a ghost-free, infinite-derivative theory. Here, we extend previous work on pure scalar and Abelian gauge theories to…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-03-04 Jens Boos , Christopher D. Carone

We give explicit bounds for the tail probabilities for sums of independent geometric or exponential variables, possibly with different parameters.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Svante Janson

We obtain decay rates of probabilities of tails of polynomials in several independent random variables with heavy tails and derive stable limit theorems for nonconventional sums of such polynomials

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-26 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

In this paper, we study critical and subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes, $\alpha \in (0, 2)$. We obtain the exact asymptotic behaviors of the tails of the maximal positions of all subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Haojie Hou , Yiyang Jiang , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

In this paper, we investigated the effect on extreme of random replacing for a stationary sequence satisfying a type of long dependent condition and a local dependent condition, and derived the joint asymptotic distribution of maximum from…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-26 Yuwei Li , Zhongquan Tan

We construct an example of a continuous centered random process with light tails of finite-dimensional distribution but with heavy tail of maximum distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-31 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We study tail behaviour of the distribution of the area under the positive excursion of a random walk which has negative drift and heavy-tailed increments. We determine the asymptotics for tail probabilities for the area.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-03 Denis Denisov , Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel

We have obtained some upper bounds for the probability distribution of extremes of a self-similar Gaussian random field with stationary rectangular increments that are defined on the compact spaces. The probability distributions of extremes…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Vitalii Makogin , Yuriy Kozachenko

In some fields of applications of stable distributions, especially in economics, it appears, that data have distributions similar to stable in a large region, but do not have such heavy tails. Our aim in this note is to propose several…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-17 Lenka Slámová , Lev B. Klebanov

We study the maximum of the random assignment process on rectangular matrices. We derive first-order asymptotics for the expected maximum, prove a law of large numbers under mild tail assumptions, and obtain exponential upper bounds for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Timofey Moskalenko

In this work, we derive sharp non-asymptotic deviation bounds for weighted sums of Dirichlet random variables. These bounds are based on a novel integral representation of the density of a weighted Dirichlet sum. This representation allows…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-07 Denis Belomestny , Pierre Menard , Alexey Naumov , Daniil Tiapkin , Michal Valko

Given a set of independent Poisson random variables with common mean, we study the distribution of their maximum and obtain an accurate asymptotic formula to locate the most probable value of the maximum. We verify our analytic results with…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-26 K. M. Briggs , L. Song , T. Prellberg

In this paper, according to a certain criterion, we divide the exponential distribution class into three subclasses. One of them is closely related to the regular-variation-tailed distribution class, so it is called the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Zhaolei Cui , Edward Omey , Wenyuan Wang , Yuebao Wang

We show an extension of Sanov's theorem on large deviations, controlling the tail probabilities of i.i.d. random variables with matching concentration and anti-concentration bounds. This result has a general scope, applies to samples of any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Akshay Balsubramani

The approach used by Kalashnikov and Tsitsiashvili for constructing upper bounds for the tail distribution of a geometric sum with subexponential summands is reconsidered. By expressing the problem in a more probabilistic light, several…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-18 Andrew Richards

Let $\{X_1, X_2, ... \}$ be a sequence of dependent heavy-tailed random variables with distributions $F_1, F_2,...$ on $(-\infty,\infty)$, and let $\tau$ be a nonnegative integer-valued random variable independent of the sequence $\{X_k, k…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Kam Chuen Yuen , Chuancun Yin

In this work, a new concept of nonself total asymptotically nonexpansive mapping is introduced and an iterative process is considered for two nonself totally asymptotically nonexpansive mappings. Weak and strong convergence theorems for…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Birol Gunduz , Hemen Dutta , Adem Kilicman

We consider a strictly stationary random field on the two-dimensional integer lattice with regularly varying marginal and finite-dimensional distributions. Exploiting the regular variation, we define the spatial extremogram which takes into…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Ewa Damek , Thomas Mikosch , Yuwei Zhao , Jacek Zienkiewicz

We construct a non - improved exponential bounds for distribution of normed sums of i.,i.d. random variables with random numbers of summand.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 B. M. Migdashiev , E. I. Ostrovsky