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We consider a feature-based personalized pricing problem in which the buyer is strategic: given the seller's pricing policy, the buyer can augment the features that they reveal to the seller to obtain a low price for the product. We model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-19 Zhi Chen , Bradley Sturt , Weijun Xie

This article provides a novel framework to evaluate limit order tactics that highlights expected fill price, adverse price selection cost, and opportunity cost. We formulate the problem of optimal execution of market orders with nonlinear…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-05 Vladimir Markov

Premium automotive manufacturers face increasingly complex forecasting challenges due to high product variety, sparse variant-level data, and volatile market dynamics. This study addresses monthly automobile demand forecasting across a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Tom Nahrendorf , Stefan Minner , Helfried Binder , Richard Zinck

Model predictive control is a control approach that minimizes a stage cost over a predicted system trajectory based on a model of the system and is capable of handling state and input constraints. For uncertain models, robust or adaptive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-29 Francisco Moreno-Mora , Lukas Beckenbach , Stefan Streif

When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-24 Noam Finkelstein , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Ilya Shpitser

We study a pricing setting where each customer is offered a contextualized price based on customer and/or product features. Often only historical sales data are available, so we observe whether a customer purchased a product at the price…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Max Biggs , Ruijiang Gao , Wei Sun

The functional linear regression model with points of impact is a recent augmentation of the classical functional linear model with many practically important applications. In this work, however, we demonstrate that the existing data-driven…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-14 Dominik Liebl , Stefan Rameseder , Christoph Rust

The estimation of risk measures recently gained a lot of attention, partly because of the backtesting issues of expected shortfall related to elicitability. In this work we shed a new and fundamental light on optimal estimation procedures…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-25 Marcin Pitera , Thorsten Schmidt

This paper deals with the problem of quantifying the impact of model misspecification when computing general expected values of interest. The methodology that we propose is applicable in great generality, in particular, we provide examples…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-04 Jose Blanchet , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

In auction and matching markets, estimating the welfare effects of demand-side treatments is challenging because of spillovers through the mechanism. We develop a quasi-experimental approach that avoids parametric assumptions typically…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-03 Evan Munro

This paper aims to provide a practical example on the assessment and propagation of input uncertainty for option pricing when using tree-based methods. Input uncertainty is propagated into output uncertainty, reflecting that option prices…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Henryk Gzyl , German Molina , Enrique ter Horst

We consider a novel formulation of the dynamic pricing and demand learning problem, where the evolution of demand in response to posted prices is governed by a stochastic variant of the popular Bass model with parameters $\alpha, \beta$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-10 Shipra Agrawal , Steven Yin , Assaf Zeevi

The assortment planning problem is a central piece in the revenue management strategy of any company in the retail industry. In this paper, we study a robust assortment optimization problem for substitutable products under a sequential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Saharnaz Mehrani , Jorge A. Sefair

Price perception by consumers represents a challenge to the ability of a business to correctly and profitably price and sell their products or services in a given market and any new target market. Complicating the perception of prices is…

General Economics · Economics 2024-02-20 Shawn Berry

In continuous-choice settings, consumers decide not only on whether to purchase a product, but also on how much to purchase. Thus, firms optimize a full price schedule rather than a single price point. This paper provides a methodology to…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-13 Soheil Ghili , Russ Yoon

In this paper, we solve the multiple product price optimization problem under interval uncertainties of the price sensitivity parameters in the demand function. The objective of the price optimization problem is to maximize the overall…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Mahdi Hamzeei , Alvin Lim , Jiefeng Xu

In a recent paper Noh et al. (2013) proposed a new semiparametric estimate of a regression function with a multivariate predictor, which is based on a specification of the dependence structure between the predictor and the response by means…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-25 Holger Dette , Ria Van Hecke , Stanislav Volgushev

A critical need for industrial recommender systems is the ability to evaluate recommendation policies offline, before deploying them to production. Unfortunately, widely used off-policy evaluation methods either make strong assumptions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Alexander Buchholz , Ben London , Giuseppe di Benedetto , Thorsten Joachims

Model efficiency is a critical aspect of developing and deploying machine learning models. Inference time and latency directly affect the user experience, and some applications have hard requirements. In addition to inference costs, model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Mostafa Dehghani , Anurag Arnab , Lucas Beyer , Ashish Vaswani , Yi Tay

We consider the problem of learning from revealed preferences in an online setting. In our framework, each period a consumer buys an optimal bundle of goods from a merchant according to her (linear) utility function and current prices,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Kareem Amin , Rachel Cummings , Lili Dworkin , Michael Kearns , Aaron Roth