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For small area estimation of area-level data, the Fay-Herriot model is extensively used as a model based method. In the Fay-Herriot model, it is conventionally assumed that the sampling variances are known whereas estimators of sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-15 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hiromasa Tamae , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Empirical Bayes small area estimation based on the well-known Fay-Herriot model may produce unreliable estimates when outlying areas exist. Existing robust methods against outliers or model misspecification are generally inefficient when…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-28 Daisuke Kurisu , Takuya Ishihara , Shonosuke Sugasawa

National statistical institutes in many countries are now mandated to produce reliable statistics for important variables such as population, income, unemployment, health outcomes, etc. for small areas, defined by geography and/or…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-29 Adrijo Chakraborty , Gauri Sankar Datta , Abhyuday Mandal

A two-stage normal hierarchical model called the Fay--Herriot model and the empirical Bayes estimator are widely used to provide indirect and model-based estimates of means in small areas. However, the performance of the empirical Bayes…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-26 Shonosuke Sugasawa

Small area estimation (SAE) plays a central role in survey statistics and epidemiology, providing reliable estimates for domains with limited sample sizes. The multivariate Fay-Herriot model has been extensively used for this purpose,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Shushi Nishina , Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto

Handling outliers is a fundamental challenge in multivariate data analysis because outliers may distort the structures of correlation or conditional independence. Although robust Bayesian inference has been extensively studied in univariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-27 Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

In this paper, a scale mixture of Normal distributions model is developed for classification and clustering of data having outliers and missing values. The classification method, based on a mixture model, focuses on the introduction of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-23 G. Revillon , A. Djafari , C. Enderli

Whole robustness is a nice property to have for statistical models. It implies that the impact of outliers gradually vanishes as they approach plus or minus infinity. So far, the Bayesian literature provides results that ensure whole…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-14 Alain Desgagné , Philippe Gagnon

We propose a general solution to the problem of robust Bayesian inference in complex settings where outliers may be present. In practice, the automation of robust Bayesian analyses is important in the many applications involving large and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-15 Jeremie Houssineau , David J. Nott

This study introduces an outlier-robust model for analyzing hierarchically structured bounded count data within a Bayesian framework, utilizing a logistic regression approach implemented in JAGS. Our model incorporates a t-distributed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Divan A. Burger , Sean van der Merwe , Emmanuel Lesaffre

In a network meta-analysis, some of the collected studies may deviate markedly from the others, for example having very unusual effect sizes. These deviating studies can be regarded as outlying with respect to the rest of the network and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-11 Silvia Metelli , Dimitris Mavridis , Perrine Créquit , Anna Chaimani

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Linear regression with the classical normality assumption for the error distribution may lead to an undesirable posterior inference of regression coefficients due to the potential outliers. This paper considers the finite mixture of two…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-12 Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Linear regression is ubiquitous in statistical analysis. It is well understood that conflicting sources of information may contaminate the inference when the classical normality of errors is assumed. The contamination caused by the light…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-13 Philippe Gagnon , Alain Desgagné , Mylène Bédard

Inference in the presence of outliers is an important field of research as outliers are ubiquitous and may arise across a variety of problems and domains. Bayesian optimization is method that heavily relies on probabilistic inference. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-14 Ruben Martinez-Cantin , Kevin Tee , Michael McCourt

The Fay-Herriot model is a standard model for direct survey estimators in which the true quantity of interest, the superpopulation mean, is latent and its estimation is improved through the use of auxiliary covariates. In the context of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-29 Aaron T. Porter , Christopher K. Wikle , Scott H. Holan

The presence of outliers is prevalent in machine learning applications and may produce misleading results. In this paper a new method for dealing with outliers and anomal samples is proposed. To overcome the outlier issue, the proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-05 Parsa Bagherzadeh , Hadi Sadoghi Yazdi

Random effects meta-analysis model is an important tool for integrating results from multiple independent studies. However, the standard model is based on the assumption of normal distributions for both random effects and within-study…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Yue Wang , Jianhua Zhao , Fen Jiang , Lei Shi , Jianxin Pan

We consider state estimation for networked systems where measurements from sensor nodes are contaminated by outliers. A new hierarchical measurement model is formulated for outlier detection by integrating the outlier-free measurement model…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-08 Hongwei Wang , Hongbin Li , Wei Zhang , Junyi Zuo , Heping Wang , Jun Fang

In this paper, we study stochastic ordering results between two finite mixtures with single and multiple outliers, assuming subpopulations follow general exponentiated location-scale distributions. For single-outlier mixtures, several…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Raju Bhakta , Kaushik Gupta , Ghobad Saadat Kia , Suchandan Kayal
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