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Anomalies in economic and financial data -- often linked to rare yet impactful events -- are of theoretical interest, but can also severely distort inference. Although outlier-robust methodologies can be used, many researchers prefer…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Monica Billio , Roberto Casarin , Fausto Corradin , Antonio Peruzzi

The random-effects or normal-normal hierarchical model is commonly utilized in a wide range of meta-analysis applications. A Bayesian approach to inference is very attractive in this context, especially when a meta-analysis is based only on…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-29 Christian Röver

Auxiliary information is increasingly available from administrative and other data sources, but it is often incomplete and of non-probability origin. We propose a two-step small area estimation approach in which the first step relies on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Donatas Šlevinskas , Ieva Burakauskaitė , Andrius Čiginas

A general random effects model is proposed that allows for continuous as well as discrete distributions of the responses. Responses can be unrestricted continuous, bounded continuous, binary, ordered categorical or given in the form of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Gerhard Tutz

Ordinal response model is a popular and commonly used regression for ordered categorical data in a wide range of fields such as medicine and social sciences. However, it is empirically known that the existence of ``outliers'', combinations…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-15 Tomotaka Momozaki , Tomoyuki Nakagawa

Bayesian statistics emphasizes the importance of prior distributions, yet finding an appropriate one is practically challenging. When multiple sample results are taken regarding the frequency of the same event, these samples may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-27 Yu-Fu Shen

Modern machine learning applications should be able to address the intrinsic challenges arising over inference on massive real-world datasets, including scalability and robustness to outliers. Despite the multiple benefits of Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Dionysis Manousakas , Cecilia Mascolo

We propose a Bayesian approach using improper priors for hierarchical linear mixed models with flexible random effects and residual error distributions. The error distribution is modelled using scale mixtures of normals, which can capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 F. J. Rubio , M. F. J. Steel

The paper concerns small-area estimation in the Fay-Herriot type area-level model with random dispersions, which models the case that the sampling errors change from area to area. The resulting Bayes estimator shrinks both means and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-30 Hiromasa Tamae , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Small area estimation models are essential for estimating population characteristics in regions with limited sample sizes, thereby supporting policy decisions, demographic studies, and resource allocation, among other use cases. The spatial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-20 Zhenhua Wang , Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are a popular class of methods for analyzing longitudinal and clustered data. However, such models can be sensitive to outliers, and this can lead to biased inference on model parameters and inaccurate prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Francis K. C. Hui , Alan H. Welsh

Outliers widely occur in big-data applications and may severely affect statistical estimation and inference. In this paper, a framework of outlier-resistant estimation is introduced to robustify an arbitrarily given loss function. It has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-20 Yiyuan She , Zhifeng Wang , Jiahui Shen

The multivariate Fay-Herriot model is quite effective in combining information through correlations among small area survey estimates of related variables or historical survey estimates of the same variable or both. Though the literature on…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-29 Takumi Saegusa , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Partha Lahiri

A novel data-driven methodology is presented for the joint selection of prior parameters for both fixed and random effects in Linear Mixed Models (LMMs). This approach facilitates the estimation of complex random-effects structures, as well…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Matteo Amestoy , R. Vermeulen , Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

Spike-and-slab and horseshoe regression are arguably the most popular Bayesian variable selection approaches for linear regression models. However, their performance can deteriorate if outliers and heteroskedasticity are present in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Alberto Cabezas , Marco Battiston , Christopher Nemeth

We propose a Bayesian test of normality for univariate or multivariate data against alternative nonparametric models characterized by Dirichlet process mixture distributions. The alternative models are based on the principles of embedding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Surya T. Tokdar , Ryan Martin

Linear model prediction with a large number of potential predictors is both statistically and computationally challenging. The traditional approaches are largely based on shrinkage selection/estimation methods, which are applicable even…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-17 Hanmei Sun , Jiangshan Zhang , Jiming Jiang

Principal component regression uses principal components as regressors. It is particularly useful in prediction settings with high-dimensional covariates. The existing literature treating of Bayesian approaches is relatively sparse. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-28 Philippe Gagnon , Mylène Bédard , Alain Desgagné

Nonlinear mixed effects models have received a great deal of attention in the statistical literature in recent years because of their flexibility in handling longitudinal studies, including human immunodeficiency virus viral dynamics,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Fernanda L. Schumacher , Dipak K. Dey , Victor H. Lachos

Sparse estimation methods capable of tolerating outliers have been broadly investigated in the last decade. We contribute to this research considering high-dimensional regression problems contaminated by multiple mean-shift outliers which…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Luca Insolia , Ana Kenney , Francesca Chiaromonte , Giovanni Felici