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In this paper we propose a new approach for sequential monitoring of a parameter of a $d$-dimensional time series, which can be estimated by approximately linear functionals of the empirical distribution function. We consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Holger Dette , Josua Gösmann

In many real-world problems of real-time monitoring high-dimensional streaming data, one wants to detect an undesired event or change quickly once it occurs, but under the sampling control constraint in the sense that one might be able to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Wanrong Zhang , Yajun Mei

Sequential change-point detection in non-Gaussian stochastic processes is challenging because the underlying densities are rarely known in real time. Classical parametric procedures such as CUSUM lose optimality under distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Serhii Zabolotnii

The problem of detecting a change in the drift of a Brownian motion is considered. The change point is assumed to have a modified exponential prior distribution with unknown parameters. A worst-case analysis with respect to these parameters…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Taposh Banerjee , George V. Moustakides

In this paper, Bayesian quickest change detection problems with sampling right constraints are considered. Specifically, there is a sequence of random variables whose probability density function will change at an unknown time. The goal is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-16 Jun Geng , Erhan Bayraktar , Lifeng Lai

We apply large deviations theory to study asymptotic performance of running consensus distributed detection in sensor networks. Running consensus is a stochastic approximation type algorithm, recently proposed. At each time step k, the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-10-26 Dragana Bajovic , Dusan Jakovetic , Joao Xavier , Bruno Sinopoli , Jose M. F. Moura

The problem of sequentially detecting an abrupt change in a sequence of independent and identically distributed (IID) random variables is addressed. Whereas previous approaches assume a known probability density function (PDF) at the start…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 James Falt , Steven D. Blostein

A novel quickest detection setting is proposed which is a generalization of the well-known Bayesian change-point detection model. Suppose \{(X_i,Y_i)\}_{i\geq 1} is a sequence of pairs of random variables, and that S is a stopping time with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Urs Niesen , Aslan Tchamkerten

Since the work of Page in the 1950s, the problem of detecting an abrupt change in the distribution of stochastic processes has received a great deal of attention. In particular, a deep connection has been established between Lorden's…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Sveinn Ólafsson

We consider the quickest change-point detection problem where the aim is to detect the onset of a pre-specified drift in "live"-monitored standard Brownian motion; the change-point is assumed unknown (nonrandom). The object of interest is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-19 Aleksey S. Polunchenko

We address the problem of searching for a change point in an anomalous process among a finite set of M processes. Specifically, we address a composite hypothesis model in which each process generates measurements following a common…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Liad Lea Didi , Tomer Gafni , Kobi Cohen

We consider the diffusion $(R_t^r)_{t\ge0}$ generated by the equation $dR_t^r=dt+\mu R_t^r dB_t$ with $R_0^r\triangleq r\ge0$ fixed, and where $\mu\neq0$ is given, and $(B_t)_{t\ge0}$ is standard Brownian motion. We assume that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-10 Aleksey S. Polunchenko

For the problem of sequential detection of changes, we adopt the probability maximizing approach in place of the classical minimization of the average detection delay, and propose modified versions of the Shiryaev, Lorden and Pollak…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-16 George V. Moustakides

Modern information systems generate large volumes of data with anomalies that occur at unknown points in time and have to be detected quickly and reliably with low false alarm rates. The paper develops a general theory of quickest…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Alexander G Tartakovsky , Valentin Spivak

This paper proposes a new minimum description length procedure to detect multiple changepoints in time series data when some times are a priori thought more likely to be changepoints. This scenario arises with temperature time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-14 Yingbo Li , Robert Lund , Anuradha Hewaarachchi

We study change point detection and localization for univariate data in fully nonparametric settings in which, at each time point, we acquire an i.i.d. sample from an unknown distribution. We quantify the magnitude of the distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-27 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

High-dimensional data has become popular due to the easy accessibility of sensors in modern industrial applications. However, one specific challenge is that it is often not easy to obtain complete measurements due to limited sensing powers…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-26 Xinyu Zhao , Jiuyun Hu , Yajun Mei , Hao Yan

Time-varying random objects have been increasingly encountered in modern data analysis. Moreover, in a substantial number of these applications, periodic behaviour of the random objects has been observed. We develop a novel procedure to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-27 Jiazhen Xu , Andrew T. A. Wood , Tao Zou

We study the problem of solving fixed-point equations for seminorm-contractive operators and establish foundational results on the non-asymptotic behavior of iterative algorithms in both deterministic and stochastic settings. Specifically,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Zaiwei Chen , Sheng Zhang , Zhe Zhang , Shaan Ul Haque , Siva Theja Maguluri

In this paper, we study the quickest change detection with mismatched post-change models. A change point is the time instant at which the distribution of a random process changes. The objective of quickest change detection is to minimize…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-27 Jingxian Wu , Jing Yang