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Large deviations for additive path functionals of stochastic processes have attracted significant research interest, in particular in the context of stochastic particle systems and statistical physics. Efficient numerical `cloning'…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Letizia Angeli , Stefan Grosskinsky , Adam M. Johansen

We consider the stochastic volatility model obtained by adding a compound Hawkes process to the volatility of the well-known Heston model. A Hawkes process is a self-exciting counting process with many applications in mathematical finance,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-28 David R. Baños , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre , Oriol Zamora Font

Given the univariate marginals of a real-valued, continuous-time martingale, (respectively, a family of measures parameterised by $t \in [0,T]$ which is increasing in convex order, or a double continuum of call prices) we construct a family…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-15 David Hobson

A complete characterization of the possible joint distributions of the maximum and terminal value of uniformly integrable martingale has been known for some time, and the aim of this paper is to establish a similar characterization for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-04 Moritz Duembgen , L. C. G. Rogers

We present for the first time a supermartingale certificate for $\omega$-regular specifications. We leverage the Robbins & Siegmund convergence theorem to characterize supermartingale certificates for the almost-sure acceptance of Streett…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Alessandro Abate , Mirco Giacobbe , Diptarko Roy

A statistical mechanics argument relating partition functions to martingales is used to get a condition under which random geometric processes can describe interfaces in 2d statistical mechanics at criticality. Requiring multiple SLEs to…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-04-10 Michel Bauer , Denis Bernard , Kalle Kytola

Biggins [Uniform convergence of martingales in the branching random walk. {\em Ann. Probab.}, 20(1):137--151, 1992] proved local uniform convergence of additive martingales in $d$-dimensional supercritical branching random walks at complex…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners

This paper extends results of Mortimer and Williams (1991) about changes of probability measure up to a random time under the assumptions that all martingales are continuous and that the random time avoids stopping times. We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Dörte Kreher

Monotone processes, just like martingales, can often be recovered from their final values. Examples include running maxima of supermartingales, as well as running maxima, local times, and various integral functionals of sticky processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-26 Martin Larsson

The classic model of computable randomness considers martingales that take real or rational values. Recent work by Bienvenu et al. (2012) and Teutsch (2014) shows that fundamental features of the classic model change when the martingales…

Logic · Mathematics 2015-04-16 Ron Peretz

The continuous-time random walk (CTRW) is a pure-jump stochastic process with several applications in physics, but also in insurance, finance and economics. A definition is given for a class of stochastic integrals driven by a CTRW, that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-03-19 Guido Germano , Mauro Politi , Enrico Scalas , René L. Schilling

English version of the abstract. We study path-wise uniqueness property of a class of stochastic differential equations with local time and sojourn time in the boundary. ----- French version of the abstract. Nous \'etudions l'unicit\'e…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-31 Rachid Belfadli , Youssef Ouknine

We study the joint laws of a continuous, uniformly integrable martingale, its maximum, and its minimum. In particular, we give explicit martingale inequalities which provide upper and lower bounds on the joint exit probabilities of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-31 Alexander M. G. Cox , Jan Obłój

We consider a class of stochastic control problems where the state process is a probability measure-valued process satisfying an additional martingale condition on its dynamics, called measure-valued martingales (MVMs). We establish the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Alexander M. G. Cox , Sigrid Källblad , Martin Larsson , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

In this paper we define a new type of quadratic variation for cylindrical continuous local martingales on an infinite dimensional spaces. It is shown that a large class of cylindrical continuous local martingales has such a quadratic…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-11 Mark Veraar , Ivan Yaroslavtsev

In the present paper, we give some examples of stochastic differential equations which have delicateness in the Markov and strong Markov properties, the uniqueness locally in time and globally in time, and initial conditions. Moreover, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-14 Seiichiro Kusuoka

There are two major streams of literature on the modeling of financial bubbles: the strict local martingale framework and the Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette (JLS) financial bubble model. Based on a class of models that embeds the JLS model and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-21 Martin Herdegen , Sebastian Herrmann

We investigate the properties of a discrete-time martingale $\{X_m\}_{m\in \mathbb Z_{\geq 0}}$, where all differences between adjacent random variables are limited to be not more than a constant as a promise. In this situation, it is known…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-16 Go Kato

In a fully general setting, we study the relation between martingale spaces under two locally absolutely continuous probabilities and prove that the martingale representation property (MRP) is always stable under locally absolutely…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-09 Anna Aksamit , Claudio Fontana

We discuss martingales, detrending data, and the efficient market hypothesis for stochastic processes x(t) with arbitrary diffusion coefficients D(x,t). Beginning with x-independent drift coefficients R(t) we show that Martingale stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Joseph L. McCauley , Kevin E. Bassler , Gemunu H. Gunaratne
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