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By and large the process of learning concepts that are embedded in time is regarded as quite a mature research topic. Hidden Markov models, recurrent neural networks are, amongst others, successful approaches to learning from temporal data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-16 Alessandro Betti , Marco Gori

We provide a general framework to study stochastic sequences related to individual learning in economics, learning automata in computer sciences, social learning in marketing, and other applications. More precisely, we study the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-07 Carlos Oyarzun , Johannes Ruf

We propose to optimize neural networks with a uniformly-distributed random learning rate. The associated stochastic gradient descent algorithm can be approximated by continuous stochastic equations and analyzed within the Fokker-Planck…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Daniele Musso

The execution time of programs is a key element in many areas of computer science, mainly those where achieving good performance (e.g., scheduling in cloud computing) or a predictable one (e.g., meeting deadlines in embedded systems) is the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Matheus Henrique Junqueira Saldanha

We consider learning causal relationships under conditional moment restrictions. Unlike causal inference under unconditional moment restrictions, conditional moment restrictions pose serious challenges for causal inference, especially in…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-30 Masahiro Kato , Masaaki Imaizumi , Kenichiro McAlinn , Haruo Kakehi , Shota Yasui

We analyze the practices of reservoir computing in the framework of statistical learning theory. In particular, we derive finite sample upper bounds for the generalization error committed by specific families of reservoir computing systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Lukas Gonon , Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Juan-Pablo Ortega

The current definition of a conditional probability distribution enables one to update probabilities only on the basis of stochastic information. This paper provides a definition for conditional probability distributions with non-stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-18 Pier Giovanni Bissiri , Stephen G. Walker

This paper establishes bounds on the performance of empirical risk minimization for large-dimensional linear regression. We generalize existing results by allowing the data to be dependent and heavy-tailed. The analysis covers both the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-23 Christian Brownlees , Guðmundur Stefán Guðmundsson

A new class of stochastic processes called independent and periodically identically distributed (i.p.i.d.) processes is defined to capture periodically varying statistical behavior. Algorithms are proposed to detect changes in such i.p.i.d.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Taposh Banerjee , Prudhvi Gurram , Gene Whipps

Selecting the best regularization parameter in inverse problems is a classical and yet challenging problem. Recently, data-driven approaches have become popular to tackle this challenge. These approaches are appealing since they do require…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Jonathan Chirinos Rodriguez , Ernesto De Vito , Cesare Molinari , Lorenzo Rosasco , Silvia Villa

We develop an approach for estimating models described via conditional moment restrictions, with a prototypical application being non-parametric instrumental variable regression. We introduce a min-max criterion function, under which the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-15 Nishanth Dikkala , Greg Lewis , Lester Mackey , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Partial monitoring is an expressive framework for sequential decision-making with an abundance of applications, including graph-structured and dueling bandits, dynamic pricing and transductive feedback models. We survey and extend recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Johannes Kirschner , Tor Lattimore , Andreas Krause

Uncertainty in optimization is often represented as stochastic parameters in the optimization model. In Predict-Then-Optimize approaches, predictions of a machine learning model are used as values for such parameters, effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Pieter Smet

We consider stochastic optimization problems involving an expected value of a nonlinear function of a base random vector and a conditional expectation of another function depending on the base random vector, a dependent random vector, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Andrzej Ruszczyński , Shangzhe Yang

We consider the Bayesian analysis of models in which the unknown distribution of the outcomes is specified up to a set of conditional moment restrictions. The nonparametric exponentially tilted empirical likelihood function is constructed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Siddhartha Chib , Minchul Shin , Anna Simoni

While conditional diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in various applications, they require abundant data to train from scratch, which is often infeasible in practice. To address this issue, transfer learning has emerged as an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Ziheng Cheng , Tianyu Xie , Shiyue Zhang , Cheng Zhang

In massive data analysis, training and testing data often come from very different sources, and their probability distributions are not necessarily identical. A feature example is nonparametric classification in posterior drift model where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Ruiqi Liu , Kexuan Li , Zuofeng Shang

This paper studies the dynamic programming principle using the measurable selection method for stochastic control of continuous processes. The novelty of this work is to incorporate intermediate expectation constraints on the canonical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Yuk-Loong Chow , Xiang Yu , Chao Zhou

We show how to estimate a model's test error from unlabeled data, on distributions very different from the training distribution, while assuming only that certain conditional independencies are preserved between train and test. We do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-17 Jacob Steinhardt , Percy Liang

A rich line of recent work has studied distributionally robust learning approaches that seek to learn a hypothesis that performs well, in the worst-case, on many different distributions over a population. We argue that although the most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Jabari Hastings , Christopher Jung , Charlotte Peale , Vasilis Syrgkanis