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Stable distribution is one of the attractive models that well describes fat-tail behaviors and scaling phenomena in various scientific fields. The approach based upon the method of moments yields a simple procedure for estimating stable law…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-24 Shinji Kakinaka , Ken Umeno

We study a continuous time contracting model in which a principal hires a risk averse agent to manage a project over a finite horizon and provides sequential payments whose timing is endogenously determined. The resulting nonzero-sum…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-01 Guillermo Alonso Alvarez , Ibrahim Ekren , Liwei Huang

In most cases, insurance contracts are linked to the financial markets, such as through interest rates or equity-linked insurance products. To motivate an evaluation rule in these hybrid markets, Artzner et al. (2022) introduced the notion…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-12 Katharina Oberpriller , Moritz Ritter , Thorsten Schmidt

This paper introduces a node formulation for multistage stochastic programs with endogenous (i.e., decision-dependent) uncertainty. Problems with such structure arise when the choices of the decision maker determine a change in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-05 Giovanni Pantuso

In this paper we study iterative algorithms for finding a common element of the set of fixed points of $\kappa$-strict pseudocontractions or finding a solution of a variational inequality problem for a monotone, Lipschitz continuous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-12-05 Jean-Philippe Chancelier

We develop a new approach to estimating flexible demand models with exogenous supply-side shocks. Our approach avoids conventional assumptions of exogenous product characteristics, putting no restrictions on product entry, despite using…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-08 Kirill Borusyak , Mauricio Caceres Bravo , Peter Hull

We propose an aggregate notion of non-transferable utility (NTU) stability for decentralized matching markets with fixed prices, where market clearing is achieved through one-sided money burning, which can be interpreted as waiting. Agents…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-11 Alfred Galichon , Yu-Wei Hsieh , Antoine Jacquet

This paper studies consensus problems for multi-agent systems defined on directed graphs where the consensus dynamics involves nonlinear and discontinuous functions. Sufficient conditions, involving the nonlinear functions and the topology…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-16 J. Wei , A. R. F. Everts , M. K. Camlibel , A. J. van der Schaft

Evidence-based decision-making entails collecting (costly) observations about an underlying phenomenon of interest, and subsequently committing to an (informed) decision on the basis of accumulated evidence. In this setting, active sensing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-26 Daniel Jarrett , Mihaela van der Schaar

This paper studies a distributed continuous-time aggregative optimization problem, which is a fundamental problem in the price-based energy management. The objective of the distributed aggregative optimization is to minimize the sum of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Xin Cai , Feng Xiao , Bo Wei , Aiping Wang

This paper is devoted to a study of robust fundamental theorems of asset pricing in discrete time and finite horizon settings. Uncertainty is modelled by a (possibly uncountable) family of price processes on the same probability space. Our…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-04 Huy N. Chau

We consider a large population of learning agents noncooperatively selecting strategies from a common set, influencing the dynamics of an exogenous system (ES) we seek to stabilize at a desired equilibrium. Our approach is to design a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Jair Certório , Nuno C. Martins , Richard J. La , Murat Arcak

This paper mainly investigates consensus problem with pull-based event-triggered feedback control. For each agent, the diffusion coupling feedbacks are based on the states of its in-neighbors at its latest triggering time and the next…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-04-27 Xinlei Yi , Wenlian Lu , Tianping Chen

We use the statistical properties of Shannon entropy estimator and Kullback-Leibler divergence to study the predictability of ultra-high frequency financial data. We develop a statistical test for the predictability of a sequence based on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-20 Andrey Shternshis , Stefano Marmi

Using results from convex analysis, we investigate a novel approach to identification and estimation of discrete choice models which we call the Mass Transport Approach (MTA). We show that the conditional choice probabilities and the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-17 Khai Xiang Chiong , Alfred Galichon , Matt Shum

Probabilities of Causation play a fundamental role in decision making in law, health care and public policy. Nevertheless, their point identification is challenging, requiring strong assumptions such as monotonicity. In the absence of such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-06 Numair Sani , Atalanti A. Mastakouri , Dominik Janzing

In a wide variety of applications, humans interact with a complex environment by means of asynchronous stochastic discrete events in continuous time. Can we design online interventions that will help humans achieve certain goals in such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Utkarsh Upadhyay , Abir De , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

Different from existing literature on testing the macro-spanning hypothesis of bond risk premia, which only considers mean regressions, this paper investigates whether the yield curve represented by CP factor (Cochrane and Piazzesi, 2005)…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-07 Xiaosai Liao , Xinjue Li , Qingliang Fan

We consider stochastic model predictive control of a multi-agent systems with constraints on the probabilities of inter-agent collisions. We first study a sample-based approximation of the collision probabilities and use this approximation…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2011-08-17 Daniel Lyons , Jan-P. Calliess , Uwe D. Hanebeck

Inspired by the paper Greenhalgh et al. [5] we investigate a class of two dimensional stochastic differential equations related to susceptible-infected-susceptible epidemic models with demographic stochasticity. While preserving the key…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Enrico Bernardi , Vinayak Chuni , Alberto Lanconelli