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An estimation method is proposed for a wide variety of discrete time stochastic processes that have an intractable likelihood function but are otherwise conveniently specified by an integral transform such as the characteristic function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 T. Merkouris

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

This paper explicitly computes the transition densities of a spectrally negative stable process with index greater than one, reflected at its infimum. First we derive the forward equation using the theory of sun-dual semigroups. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Boris Baeumer , Mihály Kovács , Mark M. Meerschaert , René L. Schilling , Peter Straka

Potential theory is a central tool to understand and analyse Markov processes. In this article, we develop its probabilistic counterpart for branching Markov chains. Specifically, we examine versions of quasi-processes or interlacements…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Steffen Dereich , Martin Maiwald

The time evolution of the two-time conditional probability of the classical stochastic process is described in an analogous form of the quantum mechanical wave equations. By using it, we emulate the same strange behaviors as those of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-01-11 Hiroyuki Tomita

Weak convergence of inertial iterative method for solving variational inequalities is the focus of this paper. The cost function is assumed to be non-Lipschitz and monotone. We propose a projection-type method with inertial terms and give…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Yekini Shehu , Olaniyi. S. Iyiola

We derive the explicit form of the rate function for semi-Markov processes. Here, the "random time change trick" plays an essential role. Also, by exploiting the contraction principle of the large deviation theory to the explicit form, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-14 Yuki Sughiyama , Testuya J. Kobayashi

We study the so-called two-time-scale stochastic approximation, a simulation-based approach for finding the roots of two coupled nonlinear operators. Our focus is to characterize its finite-time performance in a Markov setting, which often…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Thinh T. Doan

We derive concentration inequalities for empirical means $\frac{1}{t} \int_0^t f(X_s) ds$ where $X_s$ is an irreducible Markov jump process on a finite state space and $f$ some observable. Using a Feynman-Kac semigroup we first derive a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-13 Santiago Carrero Ibanez

We develop a martingale approximation approach to studying the limiting behavior of quadratic forms of Markov chains. We use the technique to examine the asymptotic behavior of lag-window estimators in time series and we apply the results…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Yves F. Atchade , Matias D. Cattaneo

In this paper, we propose a class of efficient, accurate, and general methods for solving state-estimation problems with equality and inequality constraints. The methods are based on recent developments in variable splitting and partially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Rui Gao , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

Many natural and engineered systems can be modeled as discrete state Markov processes. Often, only a subset of states are directly observable. Inferring the conditional probability that a system occupies a particular hidden state, given the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-04 Daniel Chen , Alexander G. Strang , Andrew W. Eckford , Peter J. Thomas

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

This article develops general conditions for weak convergence of adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo processes and is shown to imply a weak law of large numbers for bounded Lipschitz continuous functions. This allows an estimation theory for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Austin Brown , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We provide an efficient and accurate simulation scheme for the rough Heston model in the standard ($H>0$) as well as the hyper-rough regime ($H > -1/2$). The scheme is based on low-dimensional Markovian approximations of the rough Heston…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-09 Christian Bayer , Simon Breneis

We achieve a quantum speed-up of fully polynomial randomized approximation schemes (FPRAS) for estimating partition functions that combine simulated annealing with the Monte-Carlo Markov Chain method and use non-adaptive cooling schedules.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-06-12 Pawel Wocjan , Chen-Fu Chiang , Anura Abeyesinghe , Daniel Nagaj

For a Gaussian process $X$ and smooth function $f$, we consider a Stratonovich integral of $f(X)$, defined as the weak limit, if it exists, of a sequence of Riemann sums. We give covariance conditions on $X$ such that the sequence converges…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-10 Daniel Harnett , David Nualart

The empirical likelihood inference is extended to a class of semiparametric models for stationary, weakly dependent series. A partially linear single-index regression is used for the conditional mean of the series given its past, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Matthieu Marbac , Valentin Patilea

We explicitly connect (discrete-time) quantum walks on Z with a four-state Markov additive process via a Feynman-type formula (2.5). Using this representation, we derive a relation between the spectral decomposition of the Markov additive…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-16 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Tomoyuki Ichiba , Ka Lok Lam

In this paper, we investigate a nonparametric approach to provide a recursive estimator of the transition density of a non-stationary piecewise-deterministic Markov process, from only one observation of the path within a long time. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Romain Azaïs