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This paper considers binomial approximation of continuous time stochastic processes. It is shown that, under some mild integrability conditions, a process can be approximated in mean square sense and in other strong metrics by binomial…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-09 Nikolai Dokuchaev

For a certain class of McKean-Vlasov processes, we introduce proxy processes that substitute the mean-field interaction with self-interaction, employing a weighted occupation measure. Our study encompasses two key achievements. First, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Kai Du , Zhenjie Ren , Florin Suciu , Songbo Wang

We present a novel method for computing reachability probabilities of parametric discrete-time Markov chains whose transition probabilities are fractions of polynomials over a set of parameters. Our algorithm is based on two key…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-03-28 Nils Jansen , Florian Corzilius , Matthias Volk , Ralf Wimmer , Erika Ábrahám , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Bernd Becker

Computing the probability of evidence even with known error bounds is NP-hard. In this paper we address this hard problem by settling on an easier problem. We propose an approximation which provides high confidence lower bounds on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Vibhav Gogate , Bozhena Bidyuk , Rina Dechter

We consider the problem of estimating the transition rate matrix of a continuous-time Markov chain from a finite-duration realisation of this process. We approach this problem in an imprecise probabilistic framework, using a set of prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-12 Thomas Krak , Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

The study of time-inhomogeneous Markov jump processes is a traditional topic within probability theory that has recently attracted substantial attention in various applications. However, their flexibility also incurs a substantial…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Martin Bladt , Oscar Peralta

The aim of the presented research is to give a rigorous mathematical approach to Feynman path integrals based on strong (pathwise) approximations based on simple random walks.

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-03-22 Tamás Szabados

We give rates of convergence in the strong invariance principle for stationary sequences satisfying some projective criteria. The conditions are expressed in terms of conditional expectations of partial sums of the initial sequence. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-02 Jérôme Dedecker , Paul Doukhan , Florence Merlevède

A noncommutative Fornasini-Marchesini system (a multi-variable version of a linear system) can be realized within a weak Markov process (a model for quantum evolution). For a discrete time parameter the resulting structure is worked out…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Rolf Gohm

Discretizations of the Feynman-Kac path integral representation of the quantum mechanical density matrix are investigated. Each infinite-dimensional path integral is approximated by a Riemann integral over a finite-dimensional function…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Stephen D. Bond , Brian B. Laird , Benedict J. Leimkuhler

This paper develops a decision algorithm for weak bisimulation on Markov Automata (MA). For that purpose, different notions of vanishing state (a concept known from the area of Generalised Stochastic Petri Nets) are defined. Vanishing…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-05-01 Johann Schuster , Markus Siegle

We establish a novel convergent iteration framework for a weak approximation of general switching diffusion. The key theoretical basis of the proposed approach is a restriction of the maximum number of switching so as to untangle and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Qinjing Qiu , Reiichiro Kawai

We study the statistical inference of nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms utilizing a single trajectory of Markovian data. Our methodology has practical applications in various scenarios, such as Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Xiang Li , Jiadong Liang , Zhihua Zhang

We analyze multidimensional Markovian integral equations that are formulated with a time-inhomogeneous progressive Markov process that has Borel measurable transition probabilities. In the case of a path-dependent diffusion process, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Alexander Kalinin

We give a necessary and sufficient condition for a homogeneous Markov process taking values in $\R^n$ to enjoy the time-inversion property of degree $\alpha$. The condition sets the shape for the semigroup densities of the process and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Stephan Lawi

We study the low temperature behaviour of path integrals for a simple one-dimensional model. Starting from the Feynman-Kac formula, we derive a new functional representation of the density matrix at finite temperature, in terms of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-08-16 Sébastien Paulin , Angel Alastuey , Thierry Dauxois

In this paper we propose a novel variance reduction approach for additive functionals of Markov chains based on minimization of an estimate for the asymptotic variance of these functionals over suitable classes of control variates. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-18 D. Belomestny , L. Iosipoi , E. Moulines , A. Naumov , S. Samsonov

In this paper, we consider the composition of two independent processes : one process corresponds to position and the other one to time. Such processes will be called iterated processes. We first propose an algorithm based on the Euler…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-03 Michèle Thieullen , Alexis Vigot

Strong invariance principles describe the error term of a Brownian approximation of the partial sums of a stochastic process. While these strong approximation results have many applications, the results for continuous-time settings have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Ardjen Pengel , Joris Bierkens

We consider a general method for the approximation of the distribution of a process conditioned to not hit a given set. Existing methods are based on particle system that are failable, in the sense that, in many situations , they are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 William Oçafrain , Denis Villemonais
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