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Parameter inference is a fundamental problem in data-driven modeling. Given observed data that is believed to be a realization of some parameterized model, the aim is to find parameter values that are able to explain the observed data. In…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-04-20 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Ruedi Stoop

Compared to the nominal scale, the ordinal scale for a categorical outcome variable has the property of making a monotonicity assumption for the covariate effects meaningful. This assumption is encoded in the commonly used proportional odds…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-04 Olli Saarela , Christian Rohrbeck , Elja Arjas

Reliable forward uncertainty quantification in engineering requires methods that account for aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. In many applications, epistemic effects arising from uncertain parameters and model form dominate prediction…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for evaluating the effects of changes to real-world systems. Data in these tests may be difficult to collect and outcomes may have high variance, resulting in potentially large measurement error.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-27 Benjamin Letham , Brian Karrer , Guilherme Ottoni , Eytan Bakshy

Injection molding is a critical manufacturing process, but controlling warpage remains a major challenge due to complex thermomechanical interactions. Simulation-based optimization is widely used to address this, yet traditional methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Yezhuo Li , Fan Zhang , Dhanashree Shinde , Qiong Zhang , Sai Pradeep , Srikanth Pilla , Gang Li

This article introduces methods for constructing prediction bounds or intervals for the number of future failures from heterogeneous reliability field data. We focus on within-sample prediction where early data from a failure-time process…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Colin Lewis-Beck , Qinglong Tian , William Q. Meeker

This letter presents a framework for synthesizing a robust full-state feedback controller for systems with unknown nonlinearities. Our approach characterizes input-output behavior of the nonlinearities in terms of local norm bounds using…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Sze Kwan Cheah , Diganta Bhattacharjee , Maziar S. Hemati , Ryan J. Caverly

The ill-posedness of the inverse problem of recovering a regression function in a nonparametric instrumental variable model leads to estimators that may suffer from a very slow, logarithmic rate of convergence. In this paper, we show that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-27 Denis Chetverikov , Daniel Wilhelm

Heteroskedastic errors can lead to inaccurate statistical conclusions if they are not properly handled. We introduce a test for heteroskedasticity for the nonparametric regression model with multiple covariates. It is based on a suitable…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-21 Justin Chown , Ursula U. Müller

This paper develops a method for estimating housing production functions when builders choose capital after observing local conditions that are unobserved by the econometrician. Because observed capital variation reflects both technological…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-06 Yusuke Adachi

In many instances, the application of approximate Bayesian methods is hampered by two practical features: 1) the requirement to project the data down to low-dimensional summary, including the choice of this projection, which ultimately…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-26 David T. Frazier

Stochastic Nonlinear Optimal Control (SNOC) involves minimizing a cost function that averages out the random uncertainties affecting the dynamics of nonlinear systems. For tractability reasons, this problem is typically addressed by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-27 Mahrokh Ghoddousi Boroujeni , Clara Lucía Galimberti , Andreas Krause , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

We consider the problem of minimizing a convex function that is evolving according to unknown and possibly stochastic dynamics, which may depend jointly on time and on the decision variable itself. Such problems abound in the machine…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Joshua Cutler , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Zaid Harchaoui

We present an extension to the robust phase estimation protocol, which can identify incorrect results that would otherwise lie outside the expected statistical range. Robust phase estimation is increasingly a method of choice for…

In the present paper, several types of efficiency conditions are established for vector optimization problems with cone constraints affected by uncertainty, but with no information of stochastic nature about the uncertain data. Following a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-01 Amos Uderzo

In competitive industries, a reliable yield forecasting is a prime factor to accurately determine the production costs and therefore ensure profitability. Indeed, quantifying the risks long before the effective manufacturing process enables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Julie Oger , Emmanuel Lesigne , Philippe Leduc

We develop Bayesian predictive stacking for geostatistical models, where the primary inferential objective is to provide inference on the latent spatial random field and conduct spatial predictions at arbitrary locations. We exploit…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Lu Zhang , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee

In this work, we present a novel inner product design for stochastic computing. Stochastic computing is an emerging computing technique, that encodes a number in the probability of observing a one in a random bit stream. This leads to…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2018-11-21 Werner Haselmayr , Daniel Wiesinger , Michael Lunglmayr

Regression problems with bounded continuous outcomes frequently arise in real-world statistical and machine learning applications, such as the analysis of rates and proportions. A central challenge in this setting is predicting a response…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-21 Zhanli Wu , Fabrizio Leisen , F. Javier Rubio

This paper studies a stochastic algorithm for linearly constrained nonconvex optimization, where the objective function is smooth but only unbiased stochastic gradients with bounded variance are available. We propose a momentum-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Chenyang Qiu , Mihitha Maithripala , Zongli Lin
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