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Order patterns apply well to many fields, because of minimal stationarity assumptions. Here we fix the methodology of patterns of length 3 by introducing an orthogonal system of four pattern contrasts. These contrasts are statistically…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Christoph Bandt

Generative, temporal network models play an important role in analyzing the dependence structure and evolution patterns of complex networks. Due to the complicated nature of real network data, it is often naive to assume that the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-15 Daniel Cirkovic , Tiandong Wang , Xianyang Zhang

Dynamic networks consist of a sequence of time-varying networks, and it is of great importance to detect the network change points. Most existing methods focus on detecting abrupt change points, necessitating the assumption that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-13 Yuzhao Zhang , Jingnan Zhang , Yifan Sun , Junhui Wang

The detection of change points is a pivotal task in statistical analysis. In the quantum realm, it is a new primitive where one aims at identifying the point where a source that supposedly prepares a sequence of particles in identical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-10-11 Gael Sentís , John Calsamiglia , Ramon Munoz-Tapia

This work proposes a detectability condition for linear time-varying systems based on the exponential dichotomy spectrum. The condition guarantees the existence of an observer, whose gain is determined only by the unstable modes of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-20 Markus Tranninger , Richard Seeber , Martin Steinberger , Martin Horn , Christian Pötzsche

This paper develops a novel change point identification method for high-dimensional data using random projections. By projecting high-dimensional time series into a one-dimensional space, we are able to leverage the rich literature for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Yi Xu , Yeonwoo Rho

This paper presents a method called One-class Classification using Length statistics of Emerging Patterns Plus (OCLEP+).

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-27 Guozhu Dong , Sai Kiran Pentukar

Online detection of changes in stochastic systems, referred to as sequential change detection or quickest change detection, is an important research topic in statistics, signal processing, and information theory, and has a wide range of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-12 Liyan Xie , Shaofeng Zou , Yao Xie , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Short-term patterns in financial time series form the cornerstone of many algorithmic trading strategies, yet extracting these patterns reliably from noisy market data remains a formidable challenge. In this paper, we propose an…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-11 Rishabh Gupta , Shivam Gupta , Jaskirat Singh , Sabre Kais

Since Bandt and Pompe's seminal work, permutation entropy has been used in several applications and is now an essential tool for time series analysis. Beyond becoming a popular and successful technique, permutation entropy inspired a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-06-10 Arthur A. B. Pessa , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

Changepoint detection is commonly formulated by minimizing the sum of in-sample losses to quantify the model's overall fit. However, for flexible modeling procedures -- especially those involving high-dimensional parameter spaces or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Chengde Qian , Guanghui Wang , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

In this paper, we investigate temporal clusters of extremes defined as subsequent exceedances of high thresholds in a stationary time series. Two meaningful features of these clusters are the probability distribution of the cluster size and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Marco Oesting , Alexander Schnurr

We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes (i.e., large jump discontinuities) in the rate function of a point process. The rate function is assumed to be fully unknown, non-stationary, and may itself be a random process that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Anna Brandenberger , Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar

Detection of periodic patterns of interest within noisy time series data plays a critical role in various tasks, spanning from health monitoring to behavior analysis. Existing learning techniques often rely on labels or clean versions of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Berken Utku Demirel , Christian Holz

This article introduces a novel method for detecting distinctive structural changes in economic data, particularly within frequency distribution tables. The approach identifies significant shifts in the distribution of a variable over time…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-04 Joanna Dębicka , Edyta Mazurek

Graph-based methods have shown particular strengths in change-point detection (CPD) tasks for high-dimensional nonparametric settings. However, existing CPD research has rarely addressed data with repeated measurements or local group…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Serim Han , Jingru Zhang , Hoseung Song

We consider the sequential change-point detection problem of detecting changes that are characterized by a subspace structure. Such changes are frequent in high-dimensional streaming data altering the form of the corresponding covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Liyan Xie , George V. Moustakides , Yao Xie

We consider dynamical systems evolving near an equilibrium statistical state where the interest is in modelling long term behavior that is consistent with thermodynamic constraints. We adjust the distribution using an entropy-optimizing…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2014-11-25 Keith Myerscough , Jason Frank , Benedict Leimkuhler

Motivated by a condition monitoring application arising from subsea engineering we derive a novel, scalable approach to detecting anomalous mean structure in a subset of correlated multivariate time series. Given the need to analyse such…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Martin Tveten , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

Changes in the statistical properties of a stochastic process are typically assumed to occur via change-points, which demark instantaneous moments of complete and total change in process behavior. In cases where these transitions occur…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Chris Browne
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