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Maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) is arguably the most important tool for statisticians, and many methods have been developed to find the MLE. We present a new inequality involving posterior distributions of a latent variable that holds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Niels Lundtorp Olsen

A hidden Markov model with trends is a hidden Markov model whose emission distributions are translated by a trend that depends on the current hidden state and on the current time. Contrary to standard hidden Markov models, such processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Luc Lehéricy , Augustin Touron

The combined Universal Probability M(D) of strings x in sets D is close to max M({x}) over x in D: their ~logs differ by at most D's information j=I(D:H) about the halting sequence H. Thus if all x have complexity K(x) >k, D carries >i bits…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2014-03-21 Samuel Epstein , Leonid A. Levin

Multivariate extreme-value analysis is concerned with the extremes in a multivariate random sample, that is, points of which at least some components have exceptionally large values. Mathematical theory suggests the use of max-stable models…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-03 Johan Segers

The saddlepoint approximation to the likelihood, and its corresponding maximum likelihood estimate (MLE), offer an alternative estimation method when the true likelihood is intractable or computationally expensive. However, maximizing this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Godrick Oketch , Rachel M. Fewster , Jesse Goodman

We define a Maximum Likelihood (ML for short) estimator for the correlation function, {\xi}, that uses the same pair counting observables (D, R, DD, DR, RR) as the standard Landy and Szalay (1993, LS for short) estimator. The ML estimator…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-11-27 Eric Jones Baxter , Eduardo Rozo

Completion problems, of recovering a point from a set of observed coordinates, are abundant in applications to image reconstruction, phylogenetics, and data science. We consider a completion problem coming from algebraic statistics: to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-04 May Cai , Cecilie Olesen Recke , Thomas Yahl

We study the maximum likelihood (ML) degree of discrete exponential independence models and models defined by the second hypersimplex. For models with two independent variables, we show that the ML degree is an invariant of a matroid…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-04 Oliver Clarke , Serkan Hoşten , Nataliia Kushnerchuk , Janike Oldekop

Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) have been used extensively in statistical models of spike train data. However, the maximum likelihood estimates of the model parameters and their uncertainty, can be challenging to compute in situations…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-07 Sahand Farhoodi , Uri Eden

Maximum pseudo-likelihood (MPL) is a semiparametric estimation method often used to obtain the dependence parameters in copula models from data. It has been shown that despite being consistent, and in some cases efficient, MPL estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Alexandra Dias

Spectral learning recently generated lots of excitement in machine learning, largely because it is the first known method to produce consistent estimates (under suitable conditions) for several latent variable models. In contrast, maximum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-19 Han Zhao , Pascal Poupart

We consider the density of states of structured Hermitian random matrices with a variance profile. As the dimension tends to infinity the associated eigenvalue density can develop a singularity at the origin. The severity of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-06 Torben Krüger , David Renfrew

In multivariate or spatial extremes, inference for max-stable processes observed at a large collection of locations is among the most challenging problems in computational statistics, and current approaches typically rely on less expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-20 Stefano Castruccio , Raphaël Huser , Marc Genton

Multi-label Classification (MLC) assigns an instance to one or more non-exclusive classes. A challenge arises when the dataset contains a large proportion of instances with no assigned class, referred to as negative data, which can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Dumindu Tissera , Omar Awadallah , Muhammad Umair Danish , Ayan Sadhu , Katarina Grolinger

Multivariate circular observations, i.e. points on a torus are nowadays very common. Multivariate wrapped models are often appropriate to describe data points scattered on p-dimensional torus. However, statistical inference based on this…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-16 Anahita Nodehi , Mousa Golalizadeh , Mehdi Maadooliat , Claudio Agostinelli

In this article we provide examples, methods and algorithms to determine conditions on the parameters of certain type of parametric optimization problems, such that among the resulting local minima and maxima there is at least one which…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2022-03-31 Emil Horobet , Jose Israel Rodriguez

We consider an equivariant approach imposing data-driven bounds for the variances to avoid singular and spurious solutions in maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of clusterwise linear regression models. We investigate its use in the choice…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-17 R. Di Mari , R. Rocci , S. A. Gattone

Mixtures of Linear Regressions (MLR) is an important mixture model with many applications. In this model, each observation is generated from one of the several unknown linear regression components, where the identity of the generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Yuanzhi Li , Yingyu Liang

We study statistical models that are parametrized by squares of linear forms. All critical points of the likelihood function are real and positive. There is one critical point in each region of the projective hyperplane arrangement defined…

Commutative Algebra · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Hannah Friedman , Bernd Sturmfels , Maximilian Wiesmann

As the size of engineered systems grows, problems in reliability theory can become computationally challenging, often due to the combinatorial growth in the cut sets. In this paper we demonstrate how Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) - a…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-14 Louis J. M. Aslett , Tigran Nagapetyan , Sebastian J. Vollmer
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