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Strong consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for parametric Gibbs point process models is established. The setting is very general. It includes pairwise pair potentials, finite and infinite multibody interactions and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-27 David Dereudre , Frédéric Lavancier

The three-parameter generalized extreme value distribution arises from classical univariate extreme value theory and is in common use for analyzing the far tail of observed phenomena. Curiously, important asymptotic properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Likun Zhang , Benjamin Shaby

Mixture of autoregressions (MoAR) models provide a model-based approach to the clustering of time series data. The maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of MoAR models requires the evaluation of products of large numbers of densities of normal…

Computation · Statistics 2016-10-19 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan , Pierre Orban , Pierre Bellec , Andrew L Janke

Bogdan et al. established a new criterion to determine the existence of a maximum likelihood estimator in discrete exponential families. It uses the notion of the set of uniqueness, which allows to apply the problem to the Ising model from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Tomasz Skalski , Tomasz Stroiński

Composite likelihoods are a class of alternatives to the full likelihood which are widely used in many situations in which the likelihood itself is intractable. A composite likelihood may be computed without the need to specify the full…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-08 Helen Ogden

The normalized maximized likelihood (NML) provides the minimax regret solution in universal data compression, gambling, and prediction, and it plays an essential role in the minimum description length (MDL) method of statistical modeling…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-29 Andrew Barron , Teemu Roos , Kazuho Watanabe

The manifold hypothesis says that natural high-dimensional data lie on or around a low-dimensional manifold. The recent success of statistical and learning-based methods in very high dimensions empirically supports this hypothesis,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Hong Ye Tan , Subhadip Mukherjee , Junqi Tang , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb

We define a class of probability distributions that we call simplicial mixture models, inspired by simplicial complexes from algebraic topology. The parameters of these distributions represent their topology and we show that it is possible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 James T. Griffin

The likelihood function of a finite mixture model is a non-convex function with multiple local maxima and commonly used iterative algorithms such as EM will converge to different solutions depending on initial conditions. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-19 Elad Mezuman , Yair Weiss

We study maximum likelihood estimation for the statistical model for undirected random graphs, known as the $\beta$-model, in which the degree sequences are minimal sufficient statistics. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions, based…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2013-06-19 Alessandro Rinaldo , Sonja Petrović , Stephen E. Fienberg

In this paper, we study the log-likelihood function and Maximum Likelihood Estimate (MLE) for the matrix normal model for both real and complex models. We describe the exact number of samples needed to achieve (almost surely) three…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Harm Derksen , Visu Makam

In a finite mixture of location-scale distributions maximum likelihood estimator does not exist because of the unboundedness of the likelihood function when the scale parameter of some mixture component approaches zero. In order to study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kentaro Tanaka , Akimichi Takemura

Motivated by studying asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in stochastic volatility (SV) models, in this paper we investigate likelihood estimation in state space models. We first prove, under some regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Cheng-Der Fuh

This paper shows that the normalized maximum likelihood~(NML) code-length calculated in [1] is an upper bound on the NML code-length strictly calculated for the Gaussian Mixture Model. When we use this upper bound on the NML code-length, we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-20 So Hirai , Kenji Yamanishi

We introduce the concept of maximum probability domains (MPDs), developed in the context of the analysis of electronic densities, in the study of the microscopic spatial structures of liquids. The idea of locating a particle in a three…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-22 Federica Agostini , Giovanni Ciccotti , Andreas Savin , Rodolphe Vuilleumier

We propose an efficient algorithm for approximate computation of the profile maximum likelihood (PML), a variant of maximum likelihood maximizing the probability of observing a sufficient statistic rather than the empirical sample. The PML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-21 Dmitri S. Pavlichin , Jiantao Jiao , Tsachy Weissman

In many spatial and spatial-temporal models, and more generally in models with complex dependencies, it may be too difficult to carry out full maximum likelihood (ML) analysis. Remedies include the use of pseudo-likelihood (PL) and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Nils Lid Hjort , Cristiano Varin

We establish connections between: the maximum likelihood degree (ML-degree) for linear concentration models, the algebraic degree of semidefinite programming (SDP), and Schubert calculus for complete quadrics. We prove a conjecture by…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2020-11-30 Laurent Manivel , Mateusz Michałek , Leonid Monin , Tim Seynnaeve , Martin Vodička

Maximum likelihood is the most widely used statistical estimation technique. Recent work by the authors introduced a general methodology for the construction of estimators for functionals in parametric models, and demonstrated improvements…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-29 Jiantao Jiao , Kartik Venkat , Yanjun Han , Tsachy Weissman

A discrete statistical model is a subset of a probability simplex. Its maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is a retraction from that simplex onto the model. We characterize all models for which this retraction is a rational function. This is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Eliana Duarte , Orlando Marigliano , Bernd Sturmfels