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In this paper, we propose a novel method of model-based time series clustering with mixtures of general state space models (MSSMs). Each component of MSSMs is associated with each cluster. An advantage of the proposed method is that it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Ryoichi Ishizuka , Takashi Imai , Kaoru Kawamoto

Clustering task of mixed data is a challenging problem. In a probabilistic framework, the main difficulty is due to a shortage of conventional distributions for such data. In this paper, we propose to achieve the mixed data clustering with…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-01 Matthieu Marbac , Christophe Biernacki , Vincent Vandewalle

This study addresses the problem of convolutional kernel learning in univariate, multivariate, and multidimensional time series data, which is crucial for interpreting temporal patterns in time series and supporting downstream machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Xinyu Chen , HanQin Cai , Fuqiang Liu , Jinhua Zhao

In this paper we develop a general framework for constructing and analysing coupled Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers, allowing for both (possibly degenerate) diffusion and piecewise deterministic Markov processes. For many performance…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-29 N. Nuesken , G. A. Pavliotis

This paper introduces vector copulas associated with multivariate distributions with given multivariate marginals, based on the theory of measure transportation, and establishes a vector version of Sklar's theorem. The latter provides a…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-14 Yanqin Fan , Marc Henry

In the absence of Gaussianity assumptions without disturbing spatial continuity interpolating along the whole spatial surface for different time lags is challenging. The past researchers pay enough attention to Spatio-temporal interpolation…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-28 Debjoy Thakur , Ishapathik Das

Missing values are pervasive in large-scale time-series data, posing challenges for reliable analysis and decision-making. Many neural architectures have been designed to model and impute the complex and heterogeneous missingness patterns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Joseph Arul Raj , Linglong Qian , Zina Ibrahim

Two numerical methods are proposed for detection of coupling between multiple time series generated by deterministic nonlinear systems. The first detects interdependence or the existence of coupling between time series. The second…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-07 Timothy Sauer , George Sugihara

Signals coming from multivariate higher order conditional moments as well as the information contained in exogenous covariates, can be effectively exploited by rational investors to allocate their wealth among different risky investment…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-21 Mauro Bernardi , Leopoldo Catania

Thermal and other transport coefficients were recently shown to be largely independent of the microscopic representation of the energy (current) densities or, more generally, of the relevant conserved densities/currents. In this paper we…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-08 Aris Marcolongo , Loris Ercole , Stefano Baroni

There are multiple cluster randomised trial designs that vary in when the clusters cross between control and intervention states, when observations are made within clusters, and how many observations are made at that time point. Identifying…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Samuel I. Watson , Alan Girling , Karla Hemming

The following working document summarizes our work on the clustering of financial time series. It was written for a workshop on information geometry and its application for image and signal processing. This workshop brought several experts…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-28 Gautier Marti , Frank Nielsen , Philippe Donnat , Sébastien Andler

With rapid development of techniques to measure brain activity and structure, statistical methods for analyzing modern brain-imaging play an important role in the advancement of science. Imaging data that measure brain function are usually…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-05 Haoyi Fu , Lu Tang , Ori Rosen , Alison E. Hipwell , Theodore J. Huppert , Robert T. Krafty

We develop improved rearrangement algorithms to find the dependence structure that minimizes a convex function of the sum of dependent variables with given margins. We propose a new multivariate dependence measure, which can assess the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-14 Carole Bernard , Don McLeish

We exploit Gaussian copulas to specify a class of multivariate circular distributions and obtain parametric models for the analysis of correlated circular data. This approach provides a straightforward extension of traditional multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Francesco Lagona , Marco Mingione

We propose a node clustering method for time-varying graphs based on the assumption that the cluster labels are changed smoothly over time. Clustering is one of the fundamental tasks in many science and engineering fields including signal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-12 Katsuki Fukumoto , Koki Yamada , Yuichi Tanaka , Hoi-To Wai

Temporal data, obtained in the setting where it is only possible to observe one time point per experiment, is widely used in different research fields, yet remains insufficiently addressed from the statistical point of view. Such data often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Polina Arsenteva , Mohamed Amine Benadjaoud , Hervé Cardot

Unsupervised clustering of temporal data is both challenging and crucial in machine learning. In this paper, we show that neither traditional clustering methods, time series specific or even deep learning-based alternatives generalise well…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Nuno Mota Goncalves , Ioana Giurgiu , Anika Schumann

Internal measures that are used to assess the quality of a clustering usually take into account intra-group and/or inter-group criteria. There are many papers in the literature that propose algorithms with provable approximation guarantees…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Eduardo S. Laber , Lucas Murtinho

We present a novel probabilistic clustering model for objects that are represented via pairwise distances and observed at different time points. The proposed method utilizes the information given by adjacent time points to find the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-04-16 Julia E. Vogt , Marius Kloft , Stefan Stark , Sudhir S. Raman , Sandhya Prabhakaran , Volker Roth , Gunnar Rätsch