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In this paper, we consider the task of clustering a set of individual time series while modeling each cluster, that is, model-based time series clustering. The task requires a parametric model with sufficient flexibility to describe the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Ryohei Umatani , Takashi Imai , Kaoru Kawamoto , Shutaro Kunimasa

The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, we provide a novel characterization of independence of random vectors based on the checkerboard approximation to a multivariate copula. Using this result, we then propose a new family of tests of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-07 José M. González-Barrios , Eduardo Gutiérrez-Peña , Juan D. Nieves , Raúl Rueda

In the copula-based approach to univariate time series modeling, the finite dimensional temporal dependence of a stationary time series is captured by a copula. Recent studies investigate how copula-based time series models can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Sven Pappert , Harry Joe

Economic policy and research rely on the correct evaluation of the billions of high-frequency data points that we collect every day. Consistent clustering algorithms, like DBSCAN, allow us to make sense of the data in a useful way. However,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Nicholas Waltz

For pulsar projects it is often necessary to predict the pulse phase in advance, for example, when preparing for new observations. Interpolation of the pulse phase between existing measurements is also often required, for example, when…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-04 X. P. Deng , W. Coles , G. Hobbs , M. J. Keith , R. N. Manchester , R. M. Shannon , J. H. Zheng

In this work, we investigate an optimization problem over adapted couplings between pairs of real valued random variables, possibly describing random times. We relate those couplings to a specific class of causal transport plans between…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Rémi Lassalle

In mixture models, anisotropic noise within each cluster is widely present in real-world data. This work investigates both computationally efficient procedures and fundamental statistical limits for clustering in high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Chengzhu Huang , Yuqi Gu

In this paper, a novel method to perform model-based clustering of time series is proposed. The procedure relies on two iterative steps: (i) K global forecasting models are fitted via pooling by considering the series pertaining to each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Ángel López Oriona , Pablo Montero Manso , José Antonio Vilar Fernández

Extracting significant places or places of interest (POIs) using individuals' spatio-temporal data is of fundamental importance for human mobility analysis. Classical clustering methods have been used in prior work for detecting POIs, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-03 Yunlong Wang , Bjoern Sommer , Falk Schreiber , Harald Reiterer

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

Time series clustering is an essential machine learning task with applications in many disciplines. While the majority of the methods focus on time series taking values on the real line, very few works consider time series defined on the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-15 Ángel López-Oriona , Ying Sun , Rosa M. Crujeiras

Time-series clustering serves as a powerful data mining technique for time-series data in the absence of prior knowledge about clusters. A large amount of time-series data with large size has been acquired and used in various research…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-21 Tomoki Inoue , Koyo Kubota , Tsubasa Ikami , Yasuhiro Egami , Hiroki Nagai , Takahiro Kashikawa , Koichi Kimura , Yu Matsuda

We propose parametric copulas that capture serial dependence in stationary heteroskedastic time series. We develop our copula for first order Markov series, and extend it to higher orders and multivariate series. We derive the copula of a…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-26 Rubén Loaiza-Maya , Michael S. Smith , Worapree Maneesoonthorn

Multivariate time series classification is a task with increasing importance due to the proliferation of new problems in various fields (economy, health, energy, transport, crops, etc.) where a large number of information sources are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Francisco J. Baldán , José M. Benítez

A novel technique is proposed to optimize energy efficiency for wireless networks based on hierarchical mobile clustering. The new bi-level clustering technique minimizes mutual interference and energy consumption in large-scale tracking…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-02-11 Uthman Baroudi , Abdulrahman Abu Elkhail , Hesham Alfares

Optimum experimental design theory has recently been extended for parameter estimation in copula models. However, the choice of the correct dependence structure still requires wider analyses. In this work the issue of copula selection is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-29 Elisa Perrone , Andreas Rappold , Werner G. Müller

We propose a novel probabilistic approach to multilevel clustering problems based on composite transportation distance, which is a variant of transportation distance where the underlying metric is Kullback-Leibler divergence. Our method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Nhat Ho , Viet Huynh , Dinh Phung , Michael I. Jordan

The independence clustering problem is considered in the following formulation: given a set $S$ of random variables, it is required to find the finest partitioning $\{U_1,\dots,U_k\}$ of $S$ into clusters such that the clusters…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-21 Daniil Ryabko

This paper presents a multiscale approach to efficiently compute approximate optimal transport plans between point sets. It is particularly well-suited for point sets that are in high-dimensions, but are close to being intrinsically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Samuel Gerber , Mauro Maggioni

Copulas are a fundamental tool for modelling multivariate dependencies in data, forming the method of choice in diverse fields and applications. However, the adoption of existing models for multimodal and high-dimensional dependencies is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 David Huk , Theodoros Damoulas