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We determine the distributions of some random variables related to a simple model of an epidemic with contact tracing and cluster isolation. This enables us to apply general limit theorems for super-critical Crump-Mode-Jagers branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Jean Bertoin

We consider a subcritical branching process in an i.i.d. random environment, in which one immigrant arrives at each generation. We consider the event $% \mathcal{A}_{i}(n)$ that all individuals alive at time $n$ are offspring of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 E. E. Dyakonova , V. A. Vatutin

In this paper, we establish a version of the central limit theorem for Markov-Feller continuous time processes (with a Polish state space) that are exponentially ergodic in the bounded-Lipschitz distance and enjoy a continuous form of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-09 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the survival probability of a multitype branching process in random environment. The class of processes we consider here corresponds, in the one-dimensional situation, to the strongly subcritical case.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Vitali Wachtel

Under an appropriate regular variation condition, the affinely normalized partial sums of a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables converges weakly to a non-Gaussian stable random variable. A functional version…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-12 Bojan Basrak , Danijel Krizmanić , Johan Segers

We study the evolution of gene frequencies in a population living in $\mathbb{R}^d$, modelled by the spatial Lambda Fleming-Viot process with natural selection (Barton, Etheridge and Veber, 2010 and Etheridge, Veber and Yu, 2014). We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Raphaël Forien , Sarah Penington

We extend in two directions our previous results about the sampling and the empirical measures of immortal branching Markov processes. Direct applications to molecular biology are rigorous estimates of the mutation rates of polymerase chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Didier Piau

We consider supercritical branching random walks on transitive graphs and we prove a law of large numbers for the mean displacement of the ensemble of particles, and a Stam-type central limit theorem for the empirical distributions, thus…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Robin Kaiser , Martin Klötzer , Ecaterina Sava-Huss

In this work, we establish a Trotter-Kato type theorem. More precisely, we characterize the convergence in distribution of Feller processes by examining the convergence of their generators. The main novelty lies in providing quantitative…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Dirk Erhard , Tertuliano Franco , Milton Jara , Eduardo Pimenta

We consider a family of general branching processes with reproduction parameters depending on the age of the individual as well as the population age structure and a parameter $K$, which may represent the carrying capacity. These processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-06 Jie Yen Fan , Kais Hamza , Peter Jagers , Fima C. Klebaner

The asymptotics of the first rows and columns of random Young diagrams corresponding to extremal characters of the infinite symmetric group is studied. We consider rows and columns with linear growth in $n$, the number of boxes of random…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-18 Alexey Bufetov

The stratified resampling mechanism is one of the resampling schemes commonly used in the resampling steps of particle filters. In the present paper, we prove a central limit theorem for this mechanism under the assumption that the initial…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-07 Roberta Flenghi , Benjamin Jourdain

We use point processes theory to describe the asymptotic distribution of all upper order statistics for observations collected at renewal times. As a corollary, we obtain limiting theorems for corresponding extremal processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Bojan Basrak , Drago Špoljarić

Suppose $B_i:= B(p,r_i)$ are nested balls of radius $r_i$ about a point $p$ in a dynamical system $(T,X,\mu)$. The question of whether $T^i x\in B_i$ infinitely often (i. o.) for $\mu$ a.e.\ $x$ is often called the shrinking target problem.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Nicolai Haydn , Matthew Nicol , Sandro Vaienti , Licheng Zhang

We consider a critical bisexual branching process in a random environment generated by independent and identically distributed random variables. Assuming that the process starts with a large number of pairs $N$, we prove that its extinction…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-13 A. P. Zhiyanov , A. V. Shklyaev

We investigate the probability density of rescaled sums of iterates of deterministic dynamical systems, a problem relevant for many complex physical systems consisting of dependent random variables. A Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is only…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ugur Tirnakli , Christian Beck , Constantino Tsallis

We prove the central limit theorem (CLT) for a sequence of independent zero-mean random variables $\xi_j$, perturbed by predictable multiplicative factors $\lambda_j$ with values in intervals $[\underline\lambda_j,\overline\lambda_j]$. It…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Dmitry B. Rokhlin

We consider the branching process in random environment $\{Z_n\}_{n\geq 0}$, which is a~population growth process where individuals reproduce independently of each other with the reproduction law randomly picked at each generation. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Dariusz Buraczewski , Piotr Dyszewski

Bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) are Markov chains indexed by a full binary tree representing the evolution of a trait along a population where each individual has two children. Motivated by the functional estimation of the density of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-17 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Jean-François Delmas

In this short note, we provide an explicit sufficient condition for non-explosion of Crump--Mode--Jagers branching processes with pure birth reproduction. It shows that the standard sufficient condition for explosion, namely the convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Oleksii Galganov , Andrii Ilienko