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This article compares the distributions of integer-valued random variables and Poisson random variables. It considers the total variation and the Wasserstein distance and provides, in particular, explicit bounds on the pointwise difference…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-07 Federico Pianoforte , Matthias Schulte

We study different fractional extensions of the Poisson process and generalized counting processes by introducing time-change represented by the inverse to the sums of stable and tempered stable subordinators. We state the governing…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Lyudmyla Sakhno , Artem Storozhuk

By a method inspired of the Stein's method, we derive an upper-bound of the Rubinstein distance between two absolutely continuous probability measures on configurations space. As an application, we show that the best way to approximate a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-04 Laurent Decreusefond , Nicolas Savy

We obtain Stein approximation bounds for stochastic integrals with respect to a Poisson random measure over ${\Bbb R}^d$, $d\geq 2$. This approach relies on third cumulant Edgeworth-type expansions based on derivation operators defined by…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-04 Nicolas Privault

We generalize the Poisson limit theorem to binary functions of random objects whose law is invariant under the action of an amenable group. Examples include stationary random fields, exchangeable sequences, and exchangeable graphs. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Haoyu Ye , Peter Orbanz , Morgane Austern

The aim of the present work is to provide a supplement to the authors' paper (2018). It is shown that our results on the approximation of distributions of sums of independent summands by the accompanying compound Poisson laws and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Friedrich Götze , Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

We use some properties of orthogonal polynomials to provide a class of upper/lower variance bounds for a function $g(X)$ of an absolutely continuous random variable $X$, in terms of the derivatives of $g$ up to some order. The new bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 G. Afendras

In this paper, we first use the distribution of the number of records to demonstrate that the right tail probabilities of counts of rare events are generally better approximated by the right tail probabilities of Poisson distribution than…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Qingwei Liu , Aihua Xia

The distribution of the sum of 1-dependent lattice vectors with supports on coordinate axes is approximated by a multivariate compound Poisson distribution and by signed compound Poisson measure. The local and $\ell_\alpha$-norms are used…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-11 V. Čekanavičius , P. Vellaisamy

We study the accuracy of a scaled Poisson approximation to the weighted sum of independent Poisson random variables, focusing on in particular the relative error of the tail distribution. A bound on the relative approximation error is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Yue Tan , Yingdong Lu , Cathy Xia

This paper deals with U-statistics of Poisson processes and multiple Wiener-It\^o integrals on the Poisson space. Via sharp bounds on the cumulants for both classes of random variables, moderate deviation principles, concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

This paper develops upper and lower bounds for the probability of Boolean expressions by treating multiple occurrences of variables as independent and assigning them new individual probabilities. Our technique generalizes and extends the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Wolfgang Gatterbauer , Dan Suciu

We consider distributional approximation by generalized Dickman distributions, which appear in number theory, perpetuities, logarithmic combinatorial structures and many other areas. We prove bounds in the Kolmogorov distance for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-21 Chinmoy Bhattacharjee , Matthias Schulte

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In a previous paper of one of the authors it was established that one of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-06 Serguei Dachian , Ilia Negri

The compound decision problem for a vector of independent Poisson random variables with possibly different means has half a century old solution. However, it appears that the classical solution needs smoothing adjustment even when there are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-29 L. Brown , E. Greenshtein , Y. Ritov

The well-known Koml\'os-Major-Tusn\'ady inequalities [Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 32 (1975) 111-131; Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 34 (1976) 33-58] provide sharp inequalities to partial sums of iid standard exponential random variables by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 Abdelhakim Necir

An often-cited fact regarding mixing or mixture distributions is that their density functions are able to approximate the density function of any unknown distribution to arbitrary degrees of accuracy, provided that the mixing or mixture…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-03-05 Hien D. Nguyen , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

We give necessary and sufficient conditions to characterize the convergence in distribution of a sequence of arbitrary random variables to a probability distribution which is the invariant measure of a diffusion process. This class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-13 Seiichiro Kusuoka , Ciprian Tudor

We develop a new method for generating prediction sets that combines the flexibility of conformal methods with an estimate of the conditional distribution $P_{Y \mid X}$. Existing methods, such as conformalized quantile regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 Vincent Plassier , Alexander Fishkov , Mohsen Guizani , Maxim Panov , Eric Moulines

Variational inference has become one of the most widely used methods in latent variable modeling. In its basic form, variational inference employs a fully factorized variational distribution and minimizes its KL divergence to the posterior.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-29 Robert Bamler , Cheng Zhang , Manfred Opper , Stephan Mandt
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