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The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke

We study the optimal rectangular-discrepancy approximation of permutons by finite permutations. We transfer bounds from discrepancy theory to this more restricted setup. Moreover, we show that superlinear approximation can occur only for…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Balázs Maga

As an application of Stein's method for Poisson approximation, we prove rates of convergence for the tail probabilities of two scan statistics that have been suggested for detecting local signals in sequences of independent random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Xiao Fang , David Siegmund

We derive sufficient conditions for the mixing of all orders of interacting transformations of a spatial Poisson point process, under a zero-type condition in probability and a generalized adaptedness condition. This extends a classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-24 Nicolas Privault

We prove that Poisson measures are invariant under (random) intensity preserving transformations whose finite difference gradient satisfies a cyclic vanishing condition. The proof relies on moment identities of independent interest for…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-24 Nicolas Privault

One major obstacle in applications of Stein's method for compound Poisson approximation is the availability of so-called magic factors (bounds on the solution of the Stein equation) with favourable dependence on the parameters of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-30 Fraser Daly

We explore asymptotically optimal bounds for deviations of Bernoulli convolutions from the Poisson limit in terms of the Shannon relative entropy and the Pearson $\chi^2$-distance. The results are based on proper non-uniform estimates for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-13 S. G. Bobkov , G. P. Chistyakov , F. Götze

The first part of this work considers the entropy of the sum of (possibly dependent and non-identically distributed) Bernoulli random variables. Upper bounds on the error that follows from an approximation of this entropy by the entropy of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-04-30 Igal Sason

We establish Poisson and compound Poisson approximations for stabilizing statistics of $\beta$-mixing point processes and give explicit rates of convergence. Our findings are based on a general estimate of the total variation distance of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Nicolas Chenavier , Moritz Otto

Poisson approximation using Stein's method has been extensively studied in the literature. The main focus has been on bounding the total variation distance. This paper is a first attempt on moderate deviations in Poisson approximation for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-21 Louis H. Y. Chen , Xiao Fang , Qi-Man Shao

The paper studies upper bounds for the total variation distance between two polynomials of a special form in random vectors satisfying the Doeblin-type condition. Our approach is based on the recent results concerning Nikolskii--Besov-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-07 Egor Kosov , Anastasia Zhukova

This paper considers the entropy of the sum of (possibly dependent and non-identically distributed) Bernoulli random variables. Upper bounds on the error that follows from an approximation of this entropy by the entropy of a Poisson random…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Igal Sason

In this note we discuss additional properties of mixed Poisson distributions. We discuss the convergence of mixed Poisson distributions to its mixing distribution for the scaling parameter tending to infinity. Moreover, we obtain a central…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Markus Kuba

Let $Y=X_1+\cdots+X_N$ be a sum of a random number of exchangeable random variables, where the random variable $N$ is independent of the $X_j$, and the $X_j$ are from the generalized multinomial model introduced by Tallis (1962). This…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Fraser Daly

In this paper, we propose a novel robust stochastic optimization approach with a distinctive consideration for rare events, in which divergence measures are used to bound the event-wise ambiguity sets. This is done by using the Poisson…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Aakil M. Caunhye , Douglas Alem

Compound Poisson distributions have been employed by many authors to fit experimental data, typically via the method of moments or maximum likelihood estimation. We propose a new technique and apply it to several sets of published data. It…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 S. R. Mane

We show that for all $\psi$-mixing shifts distributions of the numbers of multiple recurrencies to shrinking cylindrical neighborhoods of all points are close either to Poisson or to compound Poisson distributions. We also describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Yuri Kifer , Ariel Rapaport

This paper provides estimates for the convergence rate of the total variation distance in the framework of the Breuer-Major theorem, assuming some smoothness properties of the underlying function. The results are proved by applying new…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-26 David Nualart , Hongjuan Zhou

We use Stein's method to establish the rates of normal approximation in terms of the total variation distance for a large class of sums of score functions of marked Poisson point processes on $\mathbb{R}^d$. As in the study under the weaker…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Tianshu Cong , Aihua Xia

The purpose of the present paper is to establish explicit bounds on moderate deviation probabilities for a rather general class of geometric functionals enjoying the stabilization property, under Poisson input and the assumption of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Peter Eichelsbacher , Martin Raic , Tomasz Schreiber