English
Related papers

Related papers: Extinction time for the contact process on general…

200 papers

We model an epidemic where the per-person infectiousness in a network of geographic localities changes with the total number of active cases. This would happen as people adopt more stringent non-pharmaceutical precautions when the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Akhil Bhimaraju , Avhishek Chatterjee , Lav R. Varshney

In the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model of disease spreading, the time to extinction of the epidemics happens at an intermediate value of the per-contact transmission probability. Too contagious infections burn out fast in the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-05 Petter Holme

We show that the contact process on a random $d$-regular graph initiated by a single infected vertex obeys the "cutoff phenomenon" in its supercritical phase. In particular, we prove that when the infection rate is larger than the critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-27 Steven Lalley , Wei Su

In this paper we study threshold-one contact processes on lattices and regular trees. The asymptotic behavior of the critical infection rates as the degrees of the graphs growing to infinity are obtained. Defining \lambda_c as the supremum…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-02 Xiaofeng Xue

This paper gives a new, simple proof of the known fact that for contact processes on general lattices, in the subcritical regime the expected number of infected sites decays exponentially fast as time tends to infinity. The proof also…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-08 Jan M. Swart

We study the contact process on a class of geometric random graphs with scale-free degree distribution, defined on a Poisson point process on $\mathbb{R}^d$. This class includes the age-dependent random connection model and the soft Boolean…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Peter Gracar , Arne Grauer

We investigate a non-Markovian analogue of the Harris contact process in a finite connected graph G=(V,E): an individual is attached to each site x in V, and it can be infected or healthy; the infection propagates to healthy neighbors just…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Luiz Renato Fontes , Pablo Almeida Gomes , Remy Sanchis

We are interested in the spread of an epidemic between two communities that have higher connectivity within than between them. We model the two communities as independent Erdos-Renyi random graphs, each with n vertices and edge probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-15 David Sivakoff

We consider the contact process on scale-free percolation, a spatial random graph model where the degree distribution of the vertices follows a power law with exponent $\beta$. We study the extinction time $\tau_{G_n}$ of the contact…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Andree Barnier , Patrick Hoscheit , Michele Salvi , Elisabeta Vergu

This paper studies contact processes on general countable groups. It is shown that any such contact process has a well-defined exponential growth rate, and this quantity is used to study the process. In particular, it is proved that on any…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-28 Jan M. Swart

This note gives an exponential tail approximation for the extinction time of a subcritical multitype branching process arising from the SIR epidemic model on a random graph with given degrees, where the type corresponds to the vertex…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Peter Windridge

Recent progress in the study of the contact process [2] has verified that the extinction-survival threshold $\lambda_1$ on a Galton-Watson tree is strictly positive if and only if the offspring distribution $\xi$ has an exponential tail. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Danny Nam , Oanh Nguyen , Allan Sly

We propose a new perspective on the asymptotic regimes of fast and slow extinction in the contact process on locally converging sequences of sparse finite graphs. We characterise the phase boundary by the existence of a metastable density,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Benedikt Jahnel , Lukas Lüchtrath , Christian Mönch

We consider the contact process on a random graph with fixed degree distribution given by a power law. We follow the work of Chatterjee and Durrett, who showed that for arbitrarily small infection parameter $\lambda$, the survival time of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-10 Thomas Mountford , Daniel Valesin , Qiang Yao

We present general results for the contact process by a method which applies to all transitive graphs of bounded degree, including graphs of exponential growth. The model's infection rates are varied through a control parameter, for which…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-29 Michael Aizenman , Paul Jung

In the multitype contact process, vertices of a graph can be empty or occupied by a type 1 or a type 2 individual; an individual of type $i$ dies with rate 1 and sends a descendant to a neighboring empty site with rate $\lambda_i$. We study…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Thomas Mountford , Pedro Luis Barrios Pantoja , Daniel Valesin

This paper is concerned with contact process with random vertex weights on regular trees, and study the asymptotic behavior of the critical infection rate as the degree of the trees increasing to infinity. In this model, the infection…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Yu Pan , Dayue Chen , Xiaofeng Xue

We study the SIRS process, a continuous-time Markov chain modeling the spread of infections on graphs. In this model, vertices are either susceptible, infected, or recovered. Each infected vertex becomes recovered at rate 1 and infects each…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Tobias Friedrich , Andreas Göbel , Nicolas Klodt , Martin S. Krejca , Marcus Pappik

The key to our investigation is an improved (and in a sense sharp) understanding of the survival time of the contact process on star graphs. Using these results, we show that for the contact process on Galton-Watson trees, when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-31 Xiangying Huang , Rick Durrett

We consider the contact process on the model of hyperbolic random graph, in the regime when the degree distribution obeys a power law with exponent $\chi \in(1,2)$ (so that the degree distribution has finite mean and infinite second…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Amitai Linker , Dieter Mitsche , Bruno Schapira , Daniel Valesin