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Data-driven model discovery (DDMD) algorithms are powerful tools for extracting interpretable symbolic models from data. However, identifying the model that best balances goodness-of-fit and sparsity is often a laborious process requiring…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-26 Michael C Chung , Alen Zacharia , Juan Guan

This paper addresses one of the most prevalent problems encountered by political scientists working with difference-in-differences (DID) design: missingness in panel data. A common practice for handling missing data, known as complete case…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Sooahn Shin

While the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) are powerful tools for model selection in linear regression, they are built on different prior assumptions and thereby apply to different data generation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-15 MB de Kock , HC Eggers

This research deals with the estimation and imputation of missing data in longitudinal models with a Poisson response variable inflated with zeros. A methodology is proposed that is based on the use of maximum likelihood, assuming that data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-18 D. S. Martinez-Lobo , O. O. Melo , N. A. Cruz

Finite mixture models are ubiquitous in modern statistical modeling, and a recurring practical issue is choosing the model order. In \citet[Sankhy\=a Series A, \textbf62, pp. 49--66]{keribin2000consistent}, the Bayesian information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Hien Duy Nguyen , TrungTin Nguyen

It has been shown that AIC-type criteria are asymptotically efficient selectors of the tuning parameter in non-concave penalized regression methods under the assumption that the population variance is known or that a consistent estimator is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-02 Cheryl J. Flynn , Clifford M. Hurvich , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

Missing data is a systemic problem in practical scenarios that causes noise and bias when estimating treatment effects. This makes treatment effect estimation from data with missingness a particularly tricky endeavour. A key reason for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-27 Jeroen Berrevoets , Fergus Imrie , Trent Kyono , James Jordon , Mihaela van der Schaar

For marginal structural models, which recently play an important role in causal inference, we consider a model selection problem in the framework of a semiparametric approach using inverse-probability-weighted estimation or doubly robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Takamichi Baba , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

Information criteria, such as Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion are often applied in model selection. However, their asymptotic behaviors for selecting geostatistical regression models have not been well…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

Proper scoring rules evaluate the quality of probabilistic predictions, playing an essential role in the pursuit of accurate and well-calibrated models. Every proper score decomposes into two fundamental components -- proper calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Teodora Popordanoska , Sebastian G. Gruber , Aleksei Tiulpin , Florian Buettner , Matthew B. Blaschko

Many practical studies rely on hypothesis testing procedures applied to data sets with missing information. An important part of the analysis is to determine the impact of the missing data on the performance of the test, and this can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-15 Dan L. Nicolae , Xiao-Li Meng , Augustine Kong

The feature attribution method reveals the contribution of input variables to the decision-making process to provide an attribution map for explanation. Existing methods grounded on the information bottleneck principle compute information…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Jung-Ho Hong , Ho-Joong Kim , Kyu-Sung Jeon , Seong-Whan Lee

Model selection is the problem of distinguishing competing models, perhaps featuring different numbers of parameters. The statistics literature contains two distinct sets of tools, those based on information theory such as the Akaike…

Astrophysics · Physics 2014-10-13 Andrew R Liddle

Learning physical dynamics from data is a fundamental challenge in machine learning and scientific modeling. Real-world observational data are inherently incomplete and irregularly sampled, posing significant challenges for existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Zihan Zhou , Chenguang Wang , Hongyi Ye , Yongtao Guan , Tianshu Yu

We investigate methods for parameter learning from incomplete data that is not missing at random. Likelihood-based methods then require the optimization of a profile likelihood that takes all possible missingness mechanisms into account.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-02 Manfred Jaeger

The information criterion for determining the number of explanatory variables in a subset regression modeling is discussed. Information criterion such as AIC is effective and frequently used in model selection for ordinary regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Genshiro Kitagawa

Popular statistical software provides Bayesian information criterion (BIC) for multilevel models or linear mixed models. However, it has been observed that the combination of statistical literature and software documentation has led to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-24 Sun-Joo Cho , Hao Wu , Matthew Naveiras

Model selection is a cornerstone of statistical inference, where information criteria are widely employed to balance model fit and complexity. However, classical likelihood-based criteria are often highly sensitive to contamination,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Udita Goswami , Shuvashree Mondal

In data-driven optimization, the sample performance of the obtained decision typically incurs an optimistic bias against the true performance, a phenomenon commonly known as the Optimizer's Curse and intimately related to overfitting in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Garud Iyengar , Henry Lam , Tianyu Wang

The problem of choosing appropriate values for missing data is often encountered in the data science. We describe a novel method containing both traditional mathematics and machine learning elements for prediction (imputation) of missing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Peteris Daugulis , Vija Vagale , Emiliano Mancini , Filippo Castiglione
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