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We propose a constructive algorithm for identifying complete data distributions in graphical models of missing data. The complete data distribution is unrestricted, while the missingness mechanism is assumed to factorize according to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-12 Anna Guo , Razieh Nabi

Missing data is a pervasive problem in epidemiology, with multiple imputation (MI) a commonly used analysis method. MI is valid when data are missing at random (MAR). However, definitions of MAR with multiple incomplete variables are not…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Paul Madley-Dowd , Rachael A. Hughes , Maya B. Mathur , Jon Heron , Kate Tilling

In multivariate extreme value analysis, the estimation of the dependence structure in extremes is demanding, especially in the context of high-dimensional data. Therefore, a common approach is to reduce the model dimension by considering…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Lucas Butsch , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

The Fisher information matrix (FIM) plays an important role in the analysis of parameter inference and system design problems. In a number of cases, however, the statistical data distribution and its associated information matrix are either…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-24 Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

The Akaike information criterion (AIC) has been used as a statistical criterion to compare the appropriateness of different dark energy candidate models underlying a particular data set. Under suitable conditions, the AIC is an indirect…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-28 Ming Yang Jeremy Tan , Rahul Biswas

The standard constraint-based paradigm for causal discovery with incomplete data -- impute first, test second -- is frequently miscalibrated: any consistent conditional independence (CI) test rejects a true null with probability approaching…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Thomas S. Robinson , Ranjit Lall

A bias correction to Akaike's information criterion (AIC) is derived for seemingly unrelated regressions models. The correction is of particular use when the sample size is not much larger than the number of fitted parameters. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-05 J. L. van Velsen

We consider approximate Bayesian model choice for model selection problems that involve models whose Fisher-information matrices may fail to be invertible along other competing submodels. Such singular models do not obey the regularity…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-24 Mathias Drton , Martyn Plummer

In model selection literature, two classes of criteria perform well asymptotically in different situations: Bayesian information criterion (BIC) (as a representative) is consistent in selection when the true model is finite dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-03 Wei Liu , Yuhong Yang

Information theoretic criteria (ITC) have been widely adopted in engineering and statistics for selecting, among an ordered set of candidate models, the one that better fits the observed sample data. The selected model minimizes a penalized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Andrea Mariani , Andrea Giorgetti , Marco Chiani

Information criteria such as Akaike's (AIC) and Bayes' (BIC) are widely used for model selection in physics and beyond, quantifying the tradeoff between model complexity and goodness-of-fit to enforce parsimony. However, their derivation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Kumar Utkarsh , Daniel M. Abrams

This paper provides a systematic approach to semiparametric identification that is based on statistical information as a measure of its "quality". Identification can be regular or irregular, depending on whether the Fisher information for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Juan Carlos Escanciano

We develop a generally applicable full-information inference method for heterogeneous agent models, combining aggregate time series data and repeated cross sections of micro data. To handle unobserved aggregate state variables that affect…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-19 Laura Liu , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

The use of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in the model selection procedure is under the assumption that the observations are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). However, in practice, we do not always have i.i.d. samples.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Nan Shen , Bárbara González

Missing data are prevalent and present daunting challenges in real data analysis. While there is a growing body of literature on fairness in analysis of fully observed data, there has been little theoretical work on investigating fairness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Yiliang Zhang , Qi Long

Noncompliance and missing data often occur in randomized trials, which complicate the inference of causal effects. When both noncompliance and missing data are present, previous papers proposed moment and maximum likelihood estimators for…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-04 Hua Chen , Peng Ding , Zhi Geng , Xiao-Hua Zhou

In this work, we introduce a novel estimator of the predictive risk with Poisson data, when the loss function is the Kullback-Leibler divergence, in order to define a regularization parameter's choice rule for the Expectation Maximization…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Paolo Massa , Federico Benvenuto

The framework of Partial Information Decomposition (PID) unveils complex nonlinear interactions in network systems by dissecting the mutual information (MI) between a target variable and several source variables. While PID measures have…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-09-23 Chiara Barà , Yuri Antonacci , Marta Iovino , Ivan Lazic , Luca Faes

We derive independence tests by means of dependence measures thresholding in a semiparametric context. Precisely, estimates of phi-mutual informations, associated to phi-divergences between a joint distribution and the product distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-20 Amor Keziou , Philippe Regnault

We consider model selection in generalized linear models (GLM) for high-dimensional data and propose a wide class of model selection criteria based on penalized maximum likelihood with a complexity penalty on the model size. We derive a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein