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Renewal processes with heavy-tailed power law distributed sojourn times are commonly encountered in physical modelling and so typical fluctuations of observables of interest have been investigated in detail. To describe rare events the rate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-26 Wanli Wang , Johannes H. P. Schulz , Weihua Deng , Eli Barkai

The system of interacting Brownian motions, where a particle is reflected asymmetrically from its left neighbor, belongs to the KPZ universality class, with multi-point asymptotics having been derived in previous works. In this paper we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Thomas Weiss

We investigate an additive perturbation of a complex Wishart random matrix and prove that a large deviation principle holds for the spectral measures. The rate function is associated to a vector equilibrium problem coming from logarithmic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-14 Adrien Hardy , Arno B. J. Kuijlaars

In 2003, Varadhan [V03] developed a robust method for proving quenched and averaged large deviations for random walks in a uniformly elliptic and i.i.d. environment (RWRE) on $\mathbb Z^d$. One fundamental question which remained open was…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-26 Rodrigo Bazaes , Chiranjib Mukherjee , Alejandro Ramirez , Santiago Saglietti

In this paper, we study the upper tail large deviation for the one-dimensional frog model. In this model, sleeping and active frogs are assigned to vertices on $\mathbb Z$. While sleeping frogs do not move, the active ones move as…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Van Hao Can , Naoki Kubota , Shuta Nakajima

Large-deviations theory deals with tails of probability distributions and the rare events of random processes, for example spreading packets of particles. Mathematically, it concerns the exponential fall-of of the density of thin-tailed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Erez Aghion , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

We consider the Bouchaud trap model on the integers in the case that the trap distribution has a slowly varying tail at infinity. Our main result is a functional limit theorem for the model under the annealed law, analogous to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-21 David Croydon , Stephen Muirhead

Eigenvalues of Wigner matrices has been a major topic of investigation. A particularly important subclass of such random matrices is formed by the adjacency matrix of an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi graph $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ equipped with i.i.d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-15 Shirshendu Ganguly , Ella Hiesmayr , Kyeongsik Nam

We propose a multivariate generative model to capture the complex dependence structure often encountered in business and financial data. Our model features heterogeneous and asymmetric tail dependence between all pairs of individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Xiangqian Sun , Xing Yan , Qi Wu

We consider weighted geodesic random walks in a complete Riemannian manifold $(M,g)$. We show that for almost all sequences of weights (with respect to a suitable measure), these weighted geodesic random walks satisfy, when suitably scaled,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Rik Versendaal

Stochastic processes with random reinforced relocations have been introduced in the physics literature to model animal foraging behaviour. Such a process evolves as a Markov process, except at random relocation times, when it chooses a time…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-12 Erion-Stelios Boci , Cécile Mailler

We prove large deviation results for the position of the rightmost particle, denoted by $M_n$, in a one-dimensional branching random walk in a case when Cram\'er's condition is not satisfied. More precisely we consider step size…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Piotr Dyszewski , Nina Gantert , Thomas Höfelsauer

We study large deviations for some non-local parabolic type equations. We show that, under some assumptions on the non-local term, problems defined in a bounded domain converge with an exponential rate to the solution of the problem defined…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2008-12-01 Cristina Brändle , Emmanuel Chasseigne

In this paper, we consider the linearly reinforced and the once-reinforced random walk models in the transient phase on trees. We show the large deviations for the upper tails for both models. We also show the exponential decay for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-15 Yu Zhang

We examine the rate of decay to the limit of the tail dependence coefficient of a bivariate skew t distribution which always displays asymptotic tail dependence. It contains as a special case the usual bivariate symmetric t distribution,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-05 Thomas Fung , Eugene Seneta

We study sampling from a target distribution ${\nu_* = e^{-f}}$ using the unadjusted Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC) algorithm. For any potential function $f$ whose tails behave like ${\|x\|^\alpha}$ for ${\alpha \in [1,2]}$, and has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-28 Murat A. Erdogdu , Rasa Hosseinzadeh

We consider an acyclic network of single-server queues with heterogeneous processing rates. It is assumed that each queue is fed by the superposition of a large number of i.i.d. Gaussian processes with stationary increments and positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Martin Zubeldia , Michel Mandjes

We study the large deviations of sums of correlated random variables described by a matrix product ansatz, which generalizes the product structure of independent random variables to matrices whose non-commutativity is the source of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-02-18 Florian Angeletti , Hugo Touchette , Eric Bertin , Patrice Abry

We prove quenched versions of a central limit theorem, a large deviations principle as well as a local central limit theorem for expanding on average cocycles. This is achieved by building an appropriate modification of the spectral method…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Davor Dragičević , Julien Sedro

In this paper, we study lower tail probabilities of the height function $\mathfrak{h}(M,N)$ of the stochastic six-vertex model. We introduce a novel combinatorial approach to demonstrate that the tail probabilities…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Sayan Das , Yuchen Liao , Matteo Mucciconi